Atalanta will take on Napoli in Serie A on Saturday, 18 January in a huge match as the Italian title race continues to bubble.
The visitors come into the match on top of the pile with a three-point lead over Inter Milan in second place and a four-point lead over Atalanta in third. A win for Atalanta here would see them move above Napoli while a loss would leave them with a mountain to climb.
As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, here is our Atalanta vs Napoli prediction.
Contents
Atalanta vs Napoli prediction: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- Atalanta are unbeaten in their last seven league matches at home (six wins, one draw).
- Napoli have picked up just one point from their three previous matches against teams in the top four this season.
- Both teams have scored in three of Atalanta's last four league matches.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2- 1 Napoli
Napoli may come into this match in better form than Atalanta but it's difficult to look past how dominant Gian Piero Gasperini's men were when the two teams met earlier in the season. That 3-0 win, coupled with Napoli's other struggles against top opposition this season, leans us towards a narrow win for the hosts.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta start as narrow favourites
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Atalanta vs Napoli odds suggest that the bookies aren't quite sure which way this one is going to go with all three results priced in close proximity to each other. Ladbrokes have made Atalanta the slight favourites and have given them a 44.4% chance of securing the win while Napoli have been given a 31.3% chance of coming out on top.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: A tops-turvy fixture
This is a fixture that can be quite streaky as proven by the fact that Atalanta have won both of their two most recent clashes with Napoli 3-0. However, prior to that, Napoli had won four matches on the bounce against Atalanta so both teams will be feeling confident ahead of kick-off.
Italy Serie A 03/11/24
Napoli
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 30/03/24
Napoli
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 25/11/23
Atalanta
Napoli
Italy Serie A 11/03/23
Napoli
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 05/11/22
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta preview: A must-win fixture?
Atalanta had a season for the history books last season but they can top that this time around if they can win their first-ever Serie A title. To make that giant leap, you feel as if they need to make a statement in the matches against Napoli and Inter Milan. A win, and therefore taking maximum points from Napoli across their two fixtures this season, would be huge.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Scalvini, Hien, Djimsiti, Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Ruggeri, Pasalic, Lookman, De Ketelaere
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
W
Bologna
0
Atalanta
2
Italy Serie A 06/04/25
L
Lazio
1
Atalanta
0
Italy Serie A 30/03/25
L
Fiorentina
1
Atalanta
0
Italy Serie A 16/03/25
L
Inter Milan
2
Atalanta
0
Italy Serie A 09/03/25
W
Juventus
0
Atalanta
4
Napoli preview: Looking to round off a difficult week
Napoli are having a brilliant season but the departure of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is a massive blow. The Georgian walked out on Napoli despite the club being on the verge of their second league title in three seasons. What better way to show defiance in the face of adversity than to record a win over one of their title rivals?
Predicted lineup: Meret (GK), Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Jesus, Olivera, Lobokta, Anguissa, Politano, McTominay, Neres, Lukaku
Italy Serie A 14/04/25
W
Empoli
0
Napoli
3
Italy Serie A 07/04/25
D
Bologna
1
Napoli
1
Italy Serie A 30/03/25
W
AC Milan
1
Napoli
2
Italy Serie A 16/03/25
D
Venezia
0
Napoli
0
Italy Serie A 09/03/25
W
Fiorentina
1
Napoli
2
Player to watch: Scott McTominay
Scott McTominay had a knack for scoring big goals in big matches during his time with Manchester United and after enjoying a stellar first half of the season with Napoli, the midfielder could be lining up another big goal this weekend against Atalanta. McTominay has already scored four times in Serie A so it wouldn't be a surprise by any means.