The Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is set for a Serie A battle on Sunday following the end of the international break, as Atalanta host Lazio. La Dea have grown in confidence since their poor start to the season and have maintained an unbeaten record in the league. Their recent league game before the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers ended in a 1-1 draw against Como.
The Eagles, on the other hand, also come into the match having secured a dramatic 3-3 draw against Torino in their last outing. They are currently trying to gain their footing in the league following a difficult start to the season
Read our Atalanta vs Lazio predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Atalanta vs Lazio prediction: Home team to nick a win
Key statistics
- Atalanta are unbeaten at home in all competitions this season.
- La Dea have won two of their last five encounters against the Eagles.
- Atalanta have played BTTS in three of their last five home meetings with Lazio.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Lazio
Atalanta’s home form this season have been decent and we are predicting a narrow 2-1 victory for the host. The last five games of both teams have been tight, with two wins each, but La Dea have a slight edge at home heading into this tie. Furthermore, three of the last six competitive encounters between these two clubs have resulted in over 2.5 goals. We believe Atalanta can nick a narrow victory against the Eagles.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Atalanta are slight favourites
- Home: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
- Away: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The home team are slight favourite with a 51.3% chance of victory at 1.95 odds. The visitors follow with a 27.0% chance at 3.70 odds, while a draw is priced at 3.60, giving it a 27.8% probability at the Gewiss Stadium.
Most recent head-to-head: Tight record
Looking at their previous meetings, there has been no dominant winner. Both teams have had two wins each in their last five encounters, with just one draw separating them. Their previous game in the Serie A ended in a 1-1 draw in the first leg, while the return leg saw Lazio claim a 1-0 victory over Atalanta.
Italy Serie A 06/04/25
Atalanta
Lazio
Italy Serie A 28/12/24
Lazio
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 04/02/24
Atalanta
Lazio
Italy Serie A 08/10/23
Lazio
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 11/02/23
Lazio
Atalanta
After reviewing our key Atalanta vs Lazio predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Atalanta preview: Injury concerns in the team
Ivan Juric will be without Mitchel Bakker, who is out with a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected to return until March 2026. Sead Kolasinac is also sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, with a projected comeback in December. Meanwhile, Raoul Bellanova is recovering from a muscle injury and is anticipated to return in October.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Hien, Ahanor, Zappacosta, Ederson, De Roon, Zalewski, Samardzic, Sulemana & Krstovic
Last five fixtures
- 04.10.25 – Atalanta 1 – 1 Como
- 30.09.25 – Atalanta 2 – 1 Club Brugge KV
- 27.09.25 – Juventus 1 – 1 Atalanta
- 21.09.25 – Torino 0 – 3 Atalanta
- 17.09.25 – PSG 4 – 0 Atalanta
Lazio preview: Multiple injuries to worry about
Maurizio Sarri has a lot of injury troubles in his team. Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Luca Pellegrini, Matias Vecino and Nicolo Rovella are all sidelined with thigh, knee, hamstring and groin injuries, respectively and are expected to return in late October.
Mattia Zaccagni is unavailable due to a muscle injury, with a projected comeback in November. Meanwhile, Samuel Gigot and Valentin Castellanos are both doubtful for the upcoming fixture as they recover from muscle problems.
Predicted lineup: Provedel (GK), Marusic, Gila, Romagnoli, Tavares, Guendouzi, Cataldi, Basic, Cancellieri, Dia & Zaccagni
Last five fixtures
- 04.10.25 – Lazio 3 – 3 Torino
- 29.09.25 – Genoa 0 – 3 Lazio
- 21.09.25 – Lazio 0 – 1 AS Roma
- 14.09.25 – Sassuolo 1 – 0 Lazio
- 31.08.25 – Lazio 4 – 0 Verona
Player to watch: Kamaldeen Sulemana
Kamaldeen Sulemana will be key to Atalanta’s attack against Lazio, who has shown impressive composure in front of goal in recent outings. The striker has notched three goals and one assist in his last five Serie A appearances, underlining his importance to La Dea’s attacking play. His sharp finishing and ability to lead the line will be crucial if Atalanta are to break down Lazio’s resilient defence.