Atalanta will take on Genoa in the Coppa Italia round of 16 on Wednesday at the Gewiss Stadium, with both teams looking to qualify for the next round of the cup competition.
La Dea are steadily finding their rhythm under their new manager, Raffaele Palladino, recording consecutive wins. Their confidence received a boost with a commanding 2-0 home victory over Fiorentina in their recent league match.
The visitors, on the other hand, have been in good form heading into this cup tie, with two wins, two draws and one loss. They got back to winning ways, showing fighting spirit in their most recent league match, securing a 2-1 home victory over Hellas Verona.
Read our Atalanta vs Genoa predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Coppa Italia predictions.
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Atalanta vs Genoa prediction: An easy win for the host
Key statistics
- Atalanta have won four of their last five meetings with Genoa.
- Over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five encounters.
- BTTS have been played in three of their last five clashes.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Genoa
La Dea have not had a good run in the last few weeks, but we expect them to secure a decisive victory against Genoa. Atalanta have a dominant head-to-head record against Genoa and generally performs well at the Gewiss Stadium.
Given Genoa's struggle to win away from home with just one win in their last five away games, we believe Atalanta will control the match efficiently and secure a 3-1 victory over their visitors in this clash.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Atalanta are the favourite
- Home: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
- Draw: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- Away: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.
The hosts are clear favourites to win this game, with the bookmakers giving them odds of 1.50, implying a 66.7% chance of victory. A draw is priced at 4.33 (23.1%), while Genoa are the weaker team, with their odds at 6.00, giving them just a 16.7% chance of an upset.
Most recent head-to-head: Record heavily favours the home side
Looking at their previous records, the last five competitive meetings between Atalanta and Genoa show a significant advantage for the home team. Atalanta have secured four victories and one draw in these encounters.
The last meeting of both teams ended in a 5-1 demolition of Genoa and another 2-0 win for Atalanta in the reverse fixture. La Dea have won their last four meetings in a row against the away team.
Italy Serie A 17/05/25
Genoa
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 05/10/24
Atalanta
Genoa
Italy Serie A 11/02/24
Genoa
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 22/10/23
Atalanta
Genoa
Italy Serie A 13/03/22
Atalanta
Genoa
After reviewing our key Atalanta vs Genoa predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Atalanta preview: Few injuries in defence
Atalanta will be without Giorgio Scalvini and Mitchel Bakker, both sidelined with injuries, leaving gaps in their defensive line that the manager may need to address. Their absence could affect the team’s ability to rotate at the back as Palladino looks to give some players some rest.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Kolasinac, Djimsiti, Bellanova, de Roon, Pasalic, Zalewski, De Ketelaere, Krstovic & Sulemana
Last five fixtures
- 30.11.25 – Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina
- 26.11.25 – Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 Atalanta
- 22.11.25 – Napoli 3–1 Atalanta
- 09.11.25 – Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
- 05.11.25 – Marseille 0–1 Atalanta
Genoa preview: Some injury doubts in the team
Meanwhile, Genoa are also facing injury concerns, with Junior Messias and Maxwel Cornet unavailable for selection. The duo’s absence reduces options in midfield and attack, which may force the manager, Daniele De Rossi, to make some adjustments and rotate his squad for the cup game.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Masini, Ekuban, Caricol, Thorsby, Frendrup, Carboni, Sabelli, Vasquez, Fini & Venturino
Last five fixtures
- 29.11.25 – Genoa 2–1 Verona
- 22.11.25 – Cagliari 3–3 Genoa
- 09.11.25 – Genoa 2–2 Fiorentina
- 03.11.25 – Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa
- 29.10.25 – Genoa 0–2 Cremonese
Player to watch: Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere is one of Atalanta’s main stars in this game and he operates as the key creative link for the team. The attacking midfielder has scored three goals and provided two assists this season.
He has great technical skill and vision, which will be key to unlocking the Genoa defence and his presence could help Atalanta secure progression in the next round of the competition.