The Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo is poised for a thrilling Serie A encounter on Sunday between Atalanta and Fiorentina, with both teams struggling to get their season up and running.
La Dea have had a difficult start to their season, which led to the sacking of Ivan Juric. They have won just one, lost three and drawn one in their last five games.
Their new manager, Raffaele Palladino, started his tenure with a disappointing 3-1 loss to Napoli last weekend, but was able to recover from the defeat in the UEFA Champions League, with a 3-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt.
Meanwhile, La Viola have also had a bad patch this season, failing to secure a win. They have managed only two draws and suffered three losses in their last five games. Their most recent league match saw them earn a 1-1 draw against Juventus and failed to get a win in the UEFA Europa League, losing 1-0 at home to AEK Athens.
Read our Atalanta vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check Serie A predictions.
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Atalanta vs Fiorentina prediction: Home team to win
Key statistics
- La Dea have just lost once in their last five home games in all competitions.
- Atalanta have won three of their last five home meetings against Fiorentina.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Fiorentina
Both teams have been in bad form in their last five games, but we expect Atalanta to get a win in this game. La Dea will be looking to get back to winning ways and the new manager will be aiming for his first win to kickstart his tenure.
We believe that Atalanta possesses enough offensive quality to get the win and we are predicting a 2-1 win in their favour for this game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Atalanta are the favourites
- Home: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.9%
- Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- Away: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers have tipped Atalanta as the favourites, with home odds of 1.73 giving them a 57.9% probability of securing the victory. The draw is priced at 3.70 (27.0%), while an away win for Fiorentina is listed at 4.60, translating to a 21.7% chance of an upset.
Most recent head-to-head: History slightly favours Austria
Atalanta and Fiorentina’s previous meetings have been very tight, but the away team have the edge slightly. They have won three and La Dea have won two of their last five clashes.
The visitors secured a narrow 1-0 victory in their most recent fixture in 2025, which followed a 3-2 win for Atalanta in 2024. La Dea will be looking to balance their last five head-to-head records with a win against the host.
Italy Serie A 30/03/25
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 15/09/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 02/06/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 24/04/24
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Coppa Italia 03/04/24
Fiorentina
Atalanta
After reviewing our key Atalanta vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Atalanta preview: Key players injured
Atalanta have a couple of injury concerns ahead of this clash. Giorgio Scalvini is sidelined with a muscle injury and Mitchel Bakker remains out with a cruciate ligament injury, targeting a comeback next year.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Hien, Ahanor, Bellanova, de Roon, Ederson, Zappacosta, De Ketelaere, Scamacca & Lookman
Last five fixtures
- 26.11.25 – Eintracht Frankfurt 0 – 3 Atalanta
- 22.11.25 – Napoli 3 – 1 Atalanta
- 09.11.25 – Atalanta 0 – 3 Sassuolo
- 05.11.25 – Marseille 0 – 1 Atalanta
- 01.11.25 – Udinese 1 – 0 Atalanta
Fiorentina preview: Visitors struggling with injuries
Robin Gosens is sidelined with a thigh injury for Fiorentina, while Tariq Lamptey is doubtful due to a knee injury. Dodo remains out with a thigh injury and Christian Kouame is also doubtful as he continues to recover from a cruciate ligament injury.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Comuzzo, Ranieri, Mari, Pongracic, Parisi, Sohm, Fagioli, Mandragora, Gudmundsson & Kean
Last five fixtures
- 27.11.25 – Fiorentina 0 – 1 AEK Athens
- 22.11.25 – Fiorentina 1 – 1 Juventus
- 09.11.25 – Genoa 2 – 2 Fiorentina
- 06.11.25 – Mainz 2 – 1 Fiorentina
- 02.11.25 – Fiorentina 0 – 1 Lecce
Player to watch: Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca, Atalanta’s centre-forward, will be leading the line for Atalanta in this game and will be a big threat to the opposition. The Italian international has been in excellent goal-scoring form recently, proving himself to be a reliable threat in the opponent's final third.
Scamacca has scored two goals this season, with the recent one being against Napoli. His strong aerial presence will represent the greatest danger to the Fiorentina defence in this game.