Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/12/2025
Atalanta players celebrating || Credit IMAGO / Xinhua
🔥 Our Hot tip

First-half draw

Atalanta have won three times at home in their last five meetings against Cagliari.

Atalanta’s win during the week will come as a motivation as they gradually pick themselves up when they welcome Cagliari to the Gewiss Stadium on Saturday.

Raffaele Palladino enjoyed a magical night in midweek as Atalanta’s 2-1 victory over Chelsea pushed them closer to securing a top-eight Champions League spot. However, despite their impressive European form under the new manager, Atalanta have struggled to carry that momentum into Serie A, having lost four of their last five league matches.

Meanwhile, Cagliari will be hoping they’ve finally turned a corner. After going ten league games without a win, they shocked top-four hopefuls Roma with a 1-0 home victory, potentially signalling the end of their long domestic slump.

Read our Atalanta vs Cagliari predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.

Atalanta vs Cagliari prediction: Away team to win

Key statistics

  • Atalanta have won three of their last five home meetings against Cagliari.
  • Their last three encounters ended in a first-half draw.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five meetings.

Correct score prediction: Atalanta 3-1 Cagliari

La Dea have been on a good run of games before their loss last weekend and will be looking to get back to that form with a win over Cagliari. They will be pushed by the desire to bounce back from their recent league defeat and we expect them to secure a home victory in this match.

The Bergamo club has a strong dominance over Cagliari in this fixture, but Cagliari's recent win against AS Roma shows they are capable of causing an upset. However, the home team's attacking depth should prove decisive and we are predicting a 3-1 victory for Atalanta.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookmakers tip Atalanta to win

  • Home: 7/20 (1.35) – 74.1%
  • Draw: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
  • Away: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

Looking at the odds given by the bookmaker, it is more likely for Atalanta to win than to lose this game. They have been made the clear favourites, with odds at 1.35, implying a 74.1% chance of victory. Cagliari are heavy underdogs at 8.50 (11.8%), while the draw is priced at 5.00 (20.0%). The bookmakers are tilting towards La Dea winning this game.

Most recent head-to-head: The record favours La Dea

Atalanta have had it difficult against Cagliari, with the two teams sharing two wins each and one draw. However, La Dea have been more dominant at home against the visitors, securing three wins and losing two in their last five home encounters.

The last encounter between the two teams ended in a goalless 0-0 draw in 2025 and their second meeting ended in a 0-1 away victory for Atalanta in 2024. The last time La Dea secured a home victory against them was in 2023, with a 2-0 win.

Italy Serie A 15/02/25

Atalanta

Atalanta

0
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 14/12/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

0
Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 07/04/24

Cagliari

Cagliari

2
Atalanta

Atalanta

1

Italy Serie A 24/09/23

Atalanta

Atalanta

2
Cagliari

Cagliari

0

Italy Serie A 06/02/22

Atalanta

Atalanta

1
Cagliari

Cagliari

2

After reviewing our key Atalanta vs Cagliari predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

Atalanta preview: No new injury concerns

Atalanta are nearly at full strength for Saturday’s match, with Kamaldeen Sulemana still sidelined by an adductor injury until next week and Mitchel Bakker expected to return early in the new year. Ademola Lookman is set for his final appearance before departing for the Africa Cup of Nations and will likely feature alongside De Ketelaere and Scamacca in Atalanta’s familiar attacking trio.

Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Hien, Djimsiti, Zappacosta, De Roon, Ederson, Zalewski, De Ketelaere, Lookman & Scamacca

Last five fixtures

  • 09.12.25 – Atalanta 2–1 Chelsea
  • 06.12.25 – Verona 3–1 Atalanta
  • 03.12.25 – Atalanta 4–0 Genoa
  • 30.11.25 – Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina
  • 26.11.25 – Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 Atalanta

Cagliari preview: Long-term absentees not yet available 

Cagliari will again be without long-term absentees Mattia Felici and Andrea Belotti, while Portuguese defender Ze Pedro is also sidelined. Yerry Mina is also a doubt for the game, leaving the manager weighing his options.

Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Rodriguez, Luperto, Palestra, Adopo, Deiola, Folorunsho, Obert, Esposito & Borrelli

Last five fixtures

  • 07.12.25 – Cagliari 1–0 AS Roma
  • 03.12.25 – Napoli 2–1 Cagliari
  • 29.11.25 – Juventus 2–1 Cagliari
  • 22.11.25 – Cagliari 3–3 Genoa
  • 08.11.25 – Como 0–0 Cagliari

Player to watch: Ademola Lookman

Ademola Lookman scores for Atalanta || Credit - IMAGO / STEINSIEK.CH
Ademola Lookman scores for Atalanta || Credit – IMAGO / STEINSIEK.CH

Lookman has thrived for Atalanta in recent weeks under the new manager. After a slow start to the season, the Nigerian forward has emerged as a key attacking threat. He has already scored three goals and provided one assist for La Dea this season and will aim to boost his tally before joining up for the African Cup of Nations (AFCON).

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