Trailing from the first leg last week, Atalanta will be hoping to keep their Champions League dreams alive when they take on Borussia Dortmund on Wednesday, 25 February, at the New Balance Arena.
View our Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund predictions below.
Contents
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Thrilling contest between two in-form teams
Key stats
- Borussia Dortmund are undefeated in their last five matches.
- Atalanta have won four of their last five matches.
- There were fewer than 11 corners in eight of Dortmund's last 10 matches.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 2-1 Borussia Dortmund (Dortmund win 3-2 on aggregate)
Atalanta lost the first leg 2-0 away at Dortmund, but they will get the home advantage in the return leg.
The Bergamo side are in fantastic form at the moment. They are unbeaten in Serie A in 2026, and are heading into this fixture on the back of a 2-1 win against Napoli.
Dortmund drew 2-2 against RB Leipzig in their previous game, but they are unbeaten in their last 16 Bundesliga contests.
Like Atalanta, they have also picked up four wins out of their last five matches, and it is going to be a cracking contest.
Two of the last three home matches for Atalanta have ended in a 2-1 win for the Italian side. On the other hand, at least three goals were scored in four of Dortmund's last five matches, so they are likely to score and secure a 3-2 aggregate win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Atalanta priced as favourites
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.6) – 27.8%
- AWAY: 21/10 (3.1) – 32.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Atalanta are clear favourites for this game, and that's because of their impressive form in 2026. The bookies have priced them at 23/20 (2.15) with 46.5% chances of winning.
Dortmund have been scoring the opening goal in four of their last five matches, and they are backed to do so at 13/10 (2.3) against Atalanta in the Champions League playoff return leg.
Atalanta have scored in four of their last five matches, while Dortmund have scored in each of their last five games. Thus, BTTS – Yes at 4/6 (1.67) with an implied probability of 59.9% is tempting.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Atalanta turn it around in the second leg?
This competition has seen some great comebacks in the second leg, especially from the home team, and Atalanta would love to replicate that.
With the away goal rule no longer in existence, it can offer a breathtaking, entertaining end-to-end contest. Dortmund won 4-3 on aggregate over two legs in the 2017-18 Europa League clash.
UEFA Champions League 17/02/26
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Atalanta preview: Huge game for the home side
The victory over Napoli means Atalanta are only five points off the top-four spot. While the league remains their top priority, surely Raffaele Palladino's men would love to reach the knockout stages of the 2025-26 Champions League.
As with the case in the first leg, the home side are missing forward pair Giacomo Raspadori and Charles De Ketelaere against Dortmund. Otherwise, Palladino has a fully fit squad to choose from.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Kossounou, Djimsiti, Ahanor, Zappacosta, Ederson, De Roon, Bernasconi, Pasalic, Zalewski & Scamacca
Last five matches
- 22/02/26: Atalanta 2-1 Napoli (Serie A)
- 17/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta (UEFA Champions League)
- 14/02/26: Lazio 0-2 Atalanta (Serie A)
- 09/02/26: Atalanta 2-1 Cremonese (Serie A)
- 05/02/26: Atalanta 3-0 Juventus (Coppa Italia)
Borussia Dortmund preview: A draw would be a fantastic result
Runners-up two years ago in this competition, it would be a big blow for Nico Kovac's side if they blow away the handsome lead in the second leg. Even a draw would be a fantastic result for them.
Nico Schlotterbeck missed the previous leg with an injury, but he has since resumed full training and could be available.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Ryerson, Nmecha, Bellingham, Svensson, Brandt, Beier & Guirassy
Last five matches
- 21/02/26: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- 17/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta (UEFA Champions League)
- 13/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 07/02/26: VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- 01/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Heidenheim (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Serhou Guirassy
The 29-year-old forward has been in fine form this season, scoring 11 goals in the Bundesliga and four more in the Champions League.
The Guinea striker has scored six goals in his last five games, and will be looking to add more goals to his tally on Wednesday.
