The New Balance Arena in Bergamo prepares to host an intense Serie A encounter on Tuesday, October 28, as Atalanta face the league leaders AC Milan in a mouthwatering clash.
La Dea have continued their unbeaten run this season, but not on a positive note, as they have only managed two wins and six draws this season. Their previous league game ended in a 1-1 draw against Cremonese last weekend, leaving them out of the top six on the table.
Meanwhile, the Rossoneri are arguably the most in-form team in the league, having secured five wins in their last eight matches, a run only punctuated by a recent draw. The Rossoneri come into this difficult match off the back of a 2-2 draw against Pisa.
Read our Atalanta vs AC Milan predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.
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Atalanta vs AC Milan prediction: Full-time draw expected
Key statistics
- First-half draws have been played in their last five meetings.
- La Dea have played five full-time draws in their first seven games of the season.
- Four of their last five games have seen BTTS being played.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 1-1 AC Milan
Given the recent history, which has been a high-scoring encounter between these two sides, we are predicting a tense 1-1 draw. While the Rossoneri are the more in-form side, Atalanta's previous meetings with AC Milan have always been difficult. We expect neither side to fight it out, with none of them coming out with a victory.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Even odds given
- Home: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Away: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Both Atalanta and AC Milan enter this match as even odds from bookmakers, each holding a 38.5% chance of victory according to the odds. The draw stands at 3.40 (29.4%), reflecting expectations of a tightly balanced and competitive contest where either side could edge it.
Most recent head-to-head: Previous encounters are closely balanced
Both teams have had a share of wins in their last five meetings, with the home team winning two and the visitors also getting two wins, with just one draw separating them. Their last competitive meetings include back-to-back victories for Atalanta, which were a 1-0 away win in April 2025 and a 2-1 victory in December 2024.
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
AC Milan
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 06/12/24
Atalanta
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 25/02/24
AC Milan
Atalanta
Coppa Italia 10/01/24
AC Milan
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 09/12/23
Atalanta
AC Milan
After reviewing our key Atalanta vs AC Milan predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Atalanta preview: No new injuries in the squad
This season, wins have been hard to come by for Atalanta, but Ivan Juric can take some encouragement from a healthier squad, as the injury list has significantly eased. Only Mitchel Bakker and Giorgio Scalvini remain unavailable for selection.
Captain Marten de Roon was deployed in defence against Cremonese, but it is unclear if he will revert to his usual midfield duties this time around.
Predicted lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Djimsiti, Hien, Ahanor, Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Zalewski, De Ketelaere, Lookman & Scamacca
Last five fixtures
- 25.10.25 – Cremonese 1 – 1 Atalanta
- 22.10.25 – Atalanta 0 – 0 Slavia Prague
- 19.10.25 – Atalanta 0 – 0 Lazio
- 04.10.25 – Atalanta 1 – 1 Como
- 30.09.25 – Atalanta 2 – 1 Club Brugge KV
AC Milan preview: Multiple injuries in the squad
Massimiliano Allegri will have to cope without Pulisic, Adrien Rabiot, Pervis Estupinan, Ardon Jashari and Ruben Loftus-Cheek, though the latter has recently returned to training and could feature in the game.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Ricci, Bartesaghi, Nkunku & Leao
Last five fixtures
- 24.10.25 – AC Milan 2 – 2 Pisa
- 19.10.25 – AC Milan 2 – 1 Fiorentina
- 05.10.25 – Juventus 0 – 0 AC Milan
- 28.09.25 – AC Milan 2 – 1 Napoli
- 23.09.25 – AC Milan 3 – 0 Lecce
Player to watch: Rafael Leao
AC Milan forward Rafael Leao will be eager to extend his fine run of form as he looks to drive his team’s strong momentum forward. The Portuguese winger has netted three goals in his last two outings, including one in the recent 2-2 draw with Pisa. Roma’s defence will have to be at its best to contain Leao’s pace and creativity if they hope to avoid defeat at San Siro.