Aston Villa vs Tottenham prediction, odds & betting tips – 10/03/2024

10/03/24 - 13:00

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Aston Villa - Tottenham

England Premier League - Villa Park

We're bringing you our Premier League predictions for Sunday's early kick-off which sees Aston Villa host Tottenham Hotspur.

Aston Villa head into this game as the slight favourite with the bookmakers but Spurs will be hoping to take advantage of their hosts' busy schedule as Villa travel to Ajax on Thursday evening in the Europa Conference League.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham predictions: A close and competitive 90 minutes on the cards

Key Stats

• Aston Villa have won four of their last six encounters with Tottenham, including a 2-1 victory in the pair's reverse league fixture in November.
• Four of the last six meetings between Aston Villa and Tottenham have ended with a scoreline of two goals to one, while each of both club's last five matches have ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals being produced.
• Ollie Watkins leads the way in front of goal for Aston Villa this season with 16 Premier League goals and the England striker is in great form right now with seven goals in his last seven appearances in all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa edge the bookmaker's odds

• HOME: 16/11 (2.45) – 40.7%
• DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
• AWAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Aston Villa are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 40.7%, and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this one.

Aston Villa picked up a late 3-2 win against Luton last time out making it four wins and two defeats from their last six outings in league and cup, while Tottenham beat Crystal Palace 3-1 in their last game and have now won three, drawn one and lost two of their last six.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. You can back BTTS in this game at 7/20 (1.35) which has a probability of 74.1%, or you could go the other way and select BTTS – No at 23/10 (3.30) but the probability is just 30.3%.

Last five H2Hs: Villa have had the better of Spurs recently

England Premier League 26/11/23

Tottenham

1

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 13/05/23

Aston Villa

2

Tottenham

1

England Premier League 01/01/23

Tottenham

0

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 09/04/22

Aston Villa

0

Tottenham

4

England Premier League 03/10/21

Tottenham

2

Aston Villa

1

Aston Villa ran out 2-1 winners at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in November to make it three wins on the run against the London club.

Team news and form guide

Aston Villa: Won last three

Aston Villa have injury concerns over several first-team players including Boubacar Kamara, Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Diego Carlos, Jhon Duran and Jacob Ramsey.

Predicted lineup: Martínez (GK), Lenglet, Moreno, Konsa, Cash, McGinn, Tielemans, Bailey, Luiz, Rogers & Watkins

England Premier League 31/08/24

W

Leicester

1

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 24/08/24

L

Arsenal

2

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 17/08/24

W

West Ham

1

Aston Villa

2

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Borussia Dortmund

2

Aston Villa

0

Elite Club Friendlies 07/08/24

W

Athletic Bilbao

2

Aston Villa

3

Tottenham: Back to winning ways 

The visitors could be without the services of Ryan Sessegnon, Fraser Forster, Manor Solomon, Pedro Porro and Richarlison for the trip to Villa Park on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Vicario (GK), Romero, Royal, van de Ven, Udogie, Maddison, Bentancur, Bissouma, Kulusevski, Son & Werner

England Premier League 01/09/24

L

Newcastle

2

Tottenham

1

England Premier League 24/08/24

W

Everton

0

Tottenham

4

TEST Fixtures 20/08/24

D

Liverpool

0

Tottenham

0

England Premier League 19/08/24

D

Leicester

1

Tottenham

1

Elite Club Friendlies 10/08/24

L

Bayern Munich

3

Tottenham

2

Player to watch – Douglas Luiz

Douglas Luiz has made himself one of the first names on the teamsheet at Villa Park and the combative midfielder is now enjoying his fifth season with the club.

Luiz made the move to Aston Villa from Spanish side Girona in 2019 and has never looked back since. Last season we saw the Brazilian midfielder add goals to his game with six scored in the Premier League alone and he has already improved on that tally in 2023/24 with nine goals scored in 26 starts.

This game is likely to be won or lost in midfield

Luiz is also one of Villa's more creative players with five assists to his name, which is largely down to his ability to deliver the ball into dangerous areas from set-pieces. However, the Brazilian's main asset is his ball-winning ability and his work-rate both of which make him one of the toughest central midfielders in the league to play against.