There’s an all Midlands affair at Villa Park on Sunday. Our Aston Villa vs Leicester prediction and Premier League betting tips consider whether the hosts can get back to winning ways.
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Aston Villa vs Leicester prediction: Watkins to strike in home win
Key stats
- Our Aston Villa vs Leicester betting tips take into account that the Foxes have lost four on the bounce, conceding 12 times in that period.
- It’s 10 points from four Premier League home games for Villa.
- 74% of league matches this term involving Unai Emery’s team have produced over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 3-1 Leicester
Villa have only managed to keep two clean sheets all season in the Premier League. That suggests there’s every chance Leicester can get on the scoresheet here.
However, the home team should be much too strong at the other end of the pitch, with Ollie Watkins likely to get opportunities, while Youri Tielemans will be eager to impress against his old club.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa the red hot favourites
- HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%
- DRAW: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
- AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Aston Villa vs Leicester odds with an implied probability of 75.0% that they win this match.
They had to settle for a point on Monday though, with goals from Watkins and Morgan Rogers only good enough for a 2-2 draw against Brighton.
As for Leicester, they were beaten 2-0 at home by Man City last time out with Savinho and Erling Haaland doing the damage.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals normally guaranteed
Our Aston Villa vs Leicester prediction suggests we’ll see both teams score for the seventh meeting in a row at Villa Park.
Leicester have won on three of their last four league visits, but Villa did win the reverse fixture earlier this term by a 2-1 margin.
England Premier League 31/08/24
Leicester
Aston Villa
England Premier League 04/04/23
Leicester
Aston Villa
England Premier League 04/02/23
Aston Villa
Leicester
England Premier League 10/09/22
Leicester
Aston Villa
England Premier League 23/04/22
Leicester
Aston Villa
Aston Villa preview: Two suspended for the hosts
The home team are missing both Jhon Duran and Morgan Rogers to suspensions. Pau Torres is out injured.
Predicted Lineup: Martinez (GK), Digne, Mings, Konsa, Cash, Onana, Kamara, McGinn, Tielemans, Bailey & Watkins
England Premier League 10/05/25 W Bournemouth 0 Aston Villa 1 England Premier League 03/05/25 W Fulham 0 Aston Villa 1 England FA Cup 26/04/25 L Crystal Palace 3 Aston Villa 0 England Premier League 22/04/25 L Man City 2 Aston Villa 1 England Premier League 19/04/25 W Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 4
Leicester preview: Injury problems for van Nistelrooy
The Foxes will have to cope without Kasey McAteer, Mads Hermansen, Wilfred Ndidi, Ricardo Pereira and Abdul Fatawu due to injuries. Wout Faes is a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Stolarczyk (GK), Kristiansen, Coady, Vestergaard, Justin, Soumare, Winks, Mavididi, El Khannouss, Ayew & Vardy
England Premier League 11/05/25 D Nottm Forest 2 Leicester 2 England Premier League 03/05/25 W Southampton 0 Leicester 2 England Premier League 26/04/25 L Wolverhampton 3 Leicester 0 England Premier League 20/04/25 L Liverpool 1 Leicester 0 England Premier League 12/04/25 D Brighton 2 Leicester 2
Player to watch – Ollie Watkins
With Duran sidelined, this is a good opportunity for Watkins to reassert himself as Villa’s main striker. The England forward has scored eight and assisted four goals in the Premier League this term.
Watkins striking just before the break
The majority of the 29-year-old’s goals this season have come in the First Half. 50% of his strikes have come after the 30th minute, but before the interval.