Aston Villa vs Cardiff prediction
Aston Villa in action against Chelsea - Photo by Imago
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Aston Villa & BTTS

Aston Villa have only lost once at home in the league this season and both teams have scored in 80% of their matches at Villa Park.

Championship side Cardiff City make the trip to the Midlands on Friday night to take on Aston Villa of the Premier League in this FA Cup Fifth Round tie.

Aston Villa vs Cardiff prediction: A home banker?

  • Cardiff have only managed to win once on their travels in the Championship this season and both teams have scored in 71% of their away games.
  • Aston Villa have only managed to keep a clean sheet in 13% of their home games in the Premier League this season and Cardiff have only failed to score in 29% of their away trips.
  • Morgan Rogers has scored 12 goals across all competitions for Aston Villa this season, including two in the FA Cup.

Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 3-1 Cardiff

Aston Villa haven't kept a single clean sheet in any of their last ten matches in all competitions and Cardiff have scored at least one goal in each of their last five fixtures. We're expecting Aston Villa's Premier League quality to shine through on Friday against a Bluebirds side that have conceded 13 goals in their last four away trips in league and cup.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the visitors

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Aston Villa are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 81.8% and we expect the Premier League side to progress into the next round.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: All square

The last five meetings between Aston Villa and Cardiff City have been equally split with each team picking up two wins, one draw and suffering two defeats.

Europe Friendlies 30/11/22

Cardiff

Cardiff

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Championship 10/04/18

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 12/08/17

Cardiff

Cardiff

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Championship 02/01/17

Cardiff

Cardiff

1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Championship 26/11/16

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3
Cardiff

Cardiff

1

Aston Villa preview: Edged past Tottenham

Aston Villa had the home advantage in the fourth round of the FA Cup earlier this month against Tottenham Hotspurs.

Marcus Rashford came off the bench to make his Aston Villa debut in this game, a game that got off to a flying start as Jacob Ramsey fired the hosts in front inside the opening minute. Morgan Rogers made it 2-0 in the 64th minute which meant that Tottenham's stoppage-time goal proved only to be a consolation as Aston Villa claimed a 2-1 victory.

Pau Torres, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana and Ross Barkley look set to be joined on the sidelines by goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez after the Argentine picked up an injury at the weekend against Crystal Palace.

Predicted lineup: Olsen (GK), Maatsen, Mings, Konsa, Bogarde, Bailey, McGinn, Tielemans, Rashford, Malen & Asensio

England Premier League 10/05/25

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

W

Fulham

Fulham

0

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England FA Cup 26/04/25

L

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

3

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 22/04/25

L

Man City

Man City

2

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

England Premier League 19/04/25

W

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

Cardiff preview: Needed penalties to defeat Stoke

The Bluebirds made the trip to fellow Championship side Stoke City in the last round of the FA Cup for what turned out to be a six-goal thriller.

Rubin Colwill put the visitors in front after just eight minutes and teammate Yousef Salech doubled Cardiff's lead in the 19th minute. Stoke pulled a goal back shortly before the break and equalised in the first minute of the second half before taking the lead in the 57th minute. Cardiff got back onto level terms in the 68th minute via Colwill's second of the game and the match had to be decided on penalties.

Stoke missed two of their opening four spot kicks while Cardiff converted four of their opening five to book their place in the fifth round.

Ollie Tanner, Jesper Daland and David Turnbull could all miss the trip to Villa Park this week through injury.

Predicted lineup: Horvath (GK), Chambers, Ng, Fish, O'Dowda, Willock, Rinomhota, Mannsverk, Ashford, Robinson & Salech 

England Championship 03/05/25

L

Norwich

Norwich

4

Cardiff

Cardiff

2

England Championship 26/04/25

D

West Brom

West Brom

0

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 21/04/25

D

Oxford Utd

Oxford Utd

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

1

England Championship 18/04/25

L

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

2

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

England Championship 12/04/25

L

Stoke

Stoke

1

Cardiff

Cardiff

0

Player to watch: Marcus Rashford

Marcus Rashford joined Aston Villa in an attemtped to rejuvinate his stagnating career but the former England international has struggled to break into the starting lineup so far.

Marcus Rashford player to watch
Rashford in action against Tottenham – Photo by Imago

Rashford has made five appearacnes in all competitions since joining Villa in January but has only started one of those matches. The Manchester United loanee has shown glimpses of the talent we all know lies inside the 27-year-old but he is yet to stake his claim for a starting role.

Rashford will be desperate to start against Cardiff

We're expecting Rashford to start in the FA Cup on Friday night where he really needs to put in an impressive performance if he wants to to feature in Unai Emery's starting lineup on a regular basis.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.