Arsenal welcome PSV to the Emirates for the third successive season this week, with the Gunners all but through to the quarter-finals. Read on for our Arsenal vs PSV prediction and more.
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Arsenal vs PSV prediction: Dead rubber
Key facts:
- Arsenal's 7-1 win over PSV last week was the most goals they had scored in a single game since 2013.
- PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight outings.
- Only Barcelona have more Champions League goals than Arsenal this season.
Correct score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 PSV
We expect a fairly routine Arsenal win in this one, as the Gunners' 7-1 win last time out has rendered this game largely moot.
However, with the Premier League now out of reach, Arsenal will still turn up and pour yet more misery on Peter Bosz's leaky side.
Pre-game odds and win probability:
- HOME: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8.%
- AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
Arsenal are this match's expected winner, according to the bookmakers. Their odds of 1/1 imply a probability of 71.4%.
You can find more Champions League tips and analysis on our latest football predictions page.
Recent H2Hs: Familiar foes
Arsenal and PSV have become very accustomed to their trips across the channel, with the pair playing each other home and away in the last three seasons now.
The Gunners have been untouchable at home to De Lampen, winning both games in recent season, conceding no goals in the process.
UEFA Champions League 04/03/25
PSV
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League 12/12/23
PSV
Arsenal
UEFA Champions League 20/09/23
Arsenal
PSV
UEFA Europa League 27/10/22
PSV
Arsenal
UEFA Europa League 20/10/22
Arsenal
PSV
Arsenal preview: Will Arteta rotate?
Arsenal quickly came down from their midweek euphoria with a disappointing draw to Manchester United, where their goalscoring issues resurfaced.
With this tie as close to done as can be, Mikel Arteta may be tempted to rotate his squad. However, we think Arsenal will go fairly strong in this one, particularly with Gabriel Martinelli fit again.
Predicted lineup: Raya (GK); White, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis-Skelly; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Nwaneri, Merino, Martinelli
England Premier League 11/05/25
D
Liverpool
2
Arsenal
2
UEFA Champions League 07/05/25
L
PSG
2
Arsenal
1
England Premier League 03/05/25
L
Bournemouth
2
Arsenal
1
UEFA Champions League 29/04/25
L
PSG
1
Arsenal
0
England Premier League 23/04/25
D
Crystal Palace
2
Arsenal
2
PSV preview: Season over?
The devastation of last week's result was etched into the face of Luuk de Jong last week, as the Dutch striker sat distraught on the PSV bench.
The 7-1 result was bad enough, but it capped off a dire start to 2025 for PSV. The club are out of the KNVB Beker and are miles off the pace in the Eredivisie. Last week's score-line just killed off their Champions League dreams too.
PSV got back to winning ways against Heerenveen at the weekend, but we think Arsenal will have too much for them.
Predicted lineup: Benitez (GK); Ledezma, Flamingo, Boscagli, Junior; Veerman, Saibari; Bakayoko, Til, Lang; de Jong
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25
W
Feyenoord
2
PSV
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25
W
Fortuna Sittard
1
PSV
4
Netherlands Eredivisie 24/04/25
W
FC Twente
1
PSV
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 12/04/25
W
Almere City FC
0
PSV
5
Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25
W
FC Groningen
1
PSV
3
Player to watch: Gabriel Martinelli
Arsenal's attacking injuries have been the story of their 2025 so far, with the Gunners down to just two senior attackers at points this years.
As such Arteta will be delighted to have Gabriel Martinelli back to full fitness. PSV play with a high line that could be easily exploited by the speedy Brazilian.