Man City vs Arsenal prediction, odds & betting tips – 31/03/2024

Man City
31/03/24 - 16:30

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Arsenal

Man City - Arsenal

England Premier League - Etihad Stadium

Man City vs Arsenal; prediction
Manchester City's Josko Gvardiol (left) and Arsenal's Ben White battle for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

It's time for our Premier League predictions ahead of the big game of the weekend between Manchester City and Arsenal. The Gunners could make a real statement if they win at the Etihad but that is going to be much easier said than done as Man City are in great form right now and could replace Arsenal at the top of the table with a win of their own.

Phil Foden and Bakayo Saka are key players for both teams but which one will be on the winning side on Sunday?

Man City vs Arsenal predictions: Man City to edge it

Man City vs Arsenal Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Man City to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Man City 2-1 Arsenal

⚽ Anytime Goalscorer prediction

Erling Haaland

Key Stats

  • Man City have won five of their last seven encounters with Arsenal and head into Sunday's match on the back of five wins from their last six outings. Arsenal are in good form as well but did lose one of their last six matches away at Porto in the Champions League.
  • Man City have scored at least two goals in four of their last six matches and have only kept two clean sheets during that period.
  • Erling Haaland leads the way for Man City this season with 18 Premier League goals and the Norwegian forward has scored eight goals in his last nine appearances for club and country.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers backing a home win

  • HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
  • DRAW: 45/16 (3.81) – 26.2%
  • AWAY: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Man City are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 51.3%, and we agree with this selection.

Man City just edge the form guide with five wins and a draw from their last six matches, compared to Arsaenal's five wins and a defeat.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS on Sunday the odds stand at 8/11 (1.73) with a probability of 57.9%, or you could go the other way and back BTTS – No at 6/5 (2.20) which has a probability of 45.5%.

Last five H2Hs: Arsenal dominate

Algeria Division 1 07/01/24

Man City

Man City

0
Arsenal

Arsenal

0

England Premier League 08/10/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

1
Man City

Man City

0

Community Shield 06/08/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 26/04/23

Man City

Man City

4
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 15/02/23

Arsenal

Arsenal

1
Man City

Man City

3

Arsenal have a very good record against Man City consisting of 91 wins, 42 draws and 57 defeats from the pair's last 190 encounters.

Team news and form guide

Man City: Won five of last seven against the Gunners

No players have been confirmed out of this game by Manchester City who could welcome back Ederson Moraes, Kevin De Bruyne, Kyle Walker, Manuel Akanji, John Stones and Matheus Nunes from minor injuries/knocks just in time to face the Gunners.

Predicted lineup: Ederson (GK), Walker, Aké, Stones, Akanji, De Bruyne, Silva, Rodri, Foden, Haaland & Álvarez

England FA Cup 25/05/24

L

Man Utd

Man Utd

2

Man City

Man City

1

Others 21/05/24

D

Stoke

Stoke

0

Man City

Man City

0

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Man City

Man City

3

England Premier League 14/05/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

0

Man City

Man City

2

England Championship 13/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Man City

Man City

0

Arsenal: Odds against an away win

Jurrien Timber is the only confirmed absentee for Arsenal this weekend with David Raya, Gabriel Martinelli, Gabriel Magalhaes and Bukayo Saka all set to return this weekend.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Gabriel, White, Kiwior, Saliba, Jorginho, Ødegaard, Rice, Havertz, Trossard & Saka

England Premier League 19/05/24

W

Everton

Everton

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

England Premier League 12/05/24

W

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 04/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

3

Others 03/05/24

D

Man Utd

Man Utd

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 01/05/24

W

Man City

Man City

0

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

Player to watch – Kevin De Bruyne

Kevin De Bruyne might not play every game for Man City anymore due to his recent long term injury but when he does play, he often still commands the show.

Kevin De Bruyne player to watch
Kevin De Bruyne of Manchester City runs forward with the ball- Photo by Icon Sport

Man City's veteran playmaker has chipped in with five assists in the Premier League this season and we're backing the Belgian international to play his part in a big win for Pep Guardiola's side this weekend.

Playing his part in Man City's title push

This game is going to be very close and competitive but one moment of magic might be enough to win the game and De Bruyne has a wand of a right foot.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things