The Premier League action returns to the Emirates Stadium this Saturday as title contenders Arsenal prepare to host a Brighton & Hove Albion side.
Arsenal find themselves top of the Premier League table at Christmas for the fifth time in their history, but that position has never yet led to a title triumph. With Manchester City applying pressure close behind, there is little margin for error at the Emirates Stadium.
Even so, the Gunners continue to turn their home ground into a stronghold, having won ten consecutive matches there, a run extended by a midweek penalty shootout victory over Crystal Palace in the Carabao Cup quarter-finals.
On the other hand, Brighton have endured a difficult run before Christmas that saw them go four matches without a win and drop five points off the top four. Goals have been in short supply for the Seagulls, who have failed to score in their last two league games.
A trip to face the league’s tightest defence only adds to the challenge, particularly given Brighton’s poor festive record. Under Fabian Hurzeler, they have failed to win any of their ten Premier League fixtures played in December.
Read our Arsenal vs Brighton predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Premier League predictions.
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Arsenal vs Brighton prediction: Home team to win comfortably
Key statistics
- The first-half has been won by Arsenal in three of their last five meetings with Brighton.
- Arsenal have won three of their last five encounters with the Seagulls.
- Over 1.5 goals have been scored in their last five meetings.
Correct score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Brighton
The Gunners are currently leading the Premier League table and are in good form heading into this game, unlike Brighton, who are struggling with their performance. We expect Arsenal to get a comfortable victory in this clash.
We expect an open and entertaining game in this encounter. Arsenal have been exceptionally strong at the Emirates Stadium and have not lost there this season.
While the Seagulls have proven they can score against any opponent, the quality in Arsenal’s defence will prove difficult for the visitors. We are therefore predicting a 2-0 victory for Arsenal in this game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Arsenal clear favourites
- Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%
- Draw: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- Away: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The bookmakers strongly favour Arsenal at home based on their form, with odds of 1.44 implying a 69.2% chance of victory. Brighton are priced at 6.50 (15.4%), while the draw sits at 4.80 (20.8%), suggesting Arsenal are expected to control proceedings, although Brighton could still pose a threat if the host falters.
Most recent head-to-head: Arsenal dominate past meetings
Examining their previous records, the last five competitive meetings between Arsenal and Brighton reveal that the Gunners have been in control of the encounters.
In this sequence, Arsenal have secured three victories, Brighton has claimed two wins, and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter resulted in a controversial 2-0 win at the Emirates in 2025 in the EFL Cup, while in the Premier League, they played a 1-1 draw.
Arsenal - Brighton
England Premier League - Emirates Stadium
After reviewing our key Arsenal vs Brighton predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Arsenal preview: Some Injury issues to manage
Arsenal head into this fixture with several notable absentees, as Gabriel Martinelli, Ben White, Cristhian Mosquera, Gabriel, Max Dowman and Kai Havertz are all unavailable due to injury.
The defensive unit has been particularly affected, forcing Mikel Arteta to carefully manage his options at the back and in attack. Despite these setbacks, the Gunners still boast strong depth across the squad and will be confident of coping with the missing personnel.
Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Timber, Saliba, Calafiori, Lewis Skelly, Odegaard, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Gyokeres & Trossard
Last five fixtures
- 23.12.25 – Arsenal 2 – 1 Crystal Palace
- 20.12.25 – Everton 0 – 1 Arsenal
- 13.12.25 – Arsenal 2 – 1 Wolves
- 10.12.25 – Club Brugge KV 0 – 3 Arsenal
- 06.12.25 – Aston Villa 2 – 1 Arsenal
Brighton preview: Selection problems continue
Brighton are also dealing with a stretched squad ahead of the trip, with Carlos Baleba away on international duty, while Jan Paul van Hecke, Adam Webster, Danny Welbeck, Solly March and Stefanos Tzimas are all sidelined through injury.
The absences weaken both the defensive structure and attacking options, meaning Hurzeler may need to reshuffle his lineup once again as the Seagulls look to remain competitive against the league leaders.
Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK), Wieffer, Coppola, Boscagli, Kadioglu, Ayari, Hinshelwood, Minteh, Gruda, De Cuyper & Rutter
Last five fixtures
- 15.11.25 – Lithuania 0 – 0 Israel
- 14.10.25 – Italy 3 – 0 Israel
- 11.10.25 – Norway 5 – 0 Israel
- 08.09.25 – Israel 4 – 5 Italy
- 05.09.25 – Moldova 0 – 4 Israel
Player to watch: Leandro Trossard
Leandro Trossard has been in good form this season and is the Gunners’ most important player in attack. The attacker has scored four goals and provided three assists in the Premier League and has the most goal contributions in the team.
He will be a big threat in attack for Arsenal in this game and the fact that he is facing his former team means he will be looking to get his name on the scoresheet and help his team push forward in their title charge.