Bayern Munich vs Arsenal prediction, odds and betting tips – 17/04/24

17/04/24 - 20:00

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Bayern Munich - Arsenal

UEFA Champions League - Allianz Arena

3rd Round

Here are our Champions League predictions for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal on Wednesday. This tie is finely poised a 2-2 following the first leg at the Emirates Stadium and both teams will be desperate to bounce back following a weekend of disappointment which saw the Gunners slip up in the title race and Bayern have their 11-year reign at the top of German football come to an end.

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal predictions: Another close game expected

Key Stats

• Arsenal have avoided defeat in each of their last three competitive and non-competitive encounters with Bayern Munich and have only lost one of their last six fixtures in all competitions, while Bayern have only managed to win one of their last four outings in league and cup.
• These two sides played out a 2-2 draw in the first leg but under 2.5 goals have been scored in both of Bayern's last two home games, as well as in four of Arsenal's last six matches.
• Harry Kane scored against Arsenal in the first leg and has netted seven goals in the Champions League this season but also heads into Wednesday's match on the back of 11 goals in his last ten appearances across all competitions.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayern the slight favourite

• HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
• DRAW: 45/16 (3.81) – 26.2%
• AWAY: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 41.7%, but we are expecting a tight and tense 90 minutes between the pair.

Bayern Munich ran out 2-0 winners at home to Cologne at the weekend but it wasn't enough to stop them from losing the league title to Bayer Leverkusen, while Arsenal lost ground in the title race as they were beaten 2-0 in their own backyard by Aston Villa.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Both Teams to Score market. If, like us, you want to back BTTS in this game the odds stand at 4/7 (1.57) with a probability of 63.6%, while a bet on BTTS – No is priced at 8/5 (2.60) which has a probability of 38.5%.

Last five H2Hs: Bayern in front

UEFA Champions League 09/04/24

Arsenal

2

Bayern Munich

2

Elite Club Friendlies 18/07/19

Arsenal

2

Bayern Munich

1

Elite Club Friendlies 19/07/17

Bayern Munich

1 (2)

Arsenal

1 (3)

UEFA Champions League 07/03/17

Arsenal

1

Bayern Munich

5

UEFA Champions League 15/02/17

Bayern Munich

5

Arsenal

1

Bayern Munich and Arsenal have met 15 times in all competitions with the German claiming seven wins, three draws and five defeats but the Gunners haven't lost against their hosts since 2017.

Team news and form guide

Bayern: Only won one of last four in all comps

Alphonso Davies is suspended after he picked up another yellow card in the first leg, while Kingsley Coman, Leroy Sane, Serge Gnabry, Sacha Boey, Bouna Sarr, Tarek Buchmann and Gabriel Marusic could all miss Wednesday's huge game due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Dier, de Ligt, Guerreiro, Goretzka, Kimmich, Laimer, Kane, Müller, Tel & Musiala

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Mainz

0

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

Heidenheim

0

Bayern Munich

4

UEFA Champions League 16/04/25

D

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

2

Arsenal: Lost one of last six in league and cup

Jurrien Timber is the only player to officially be ruled out of the trip to Munich this week, while Oleksandr Zinchenko could come into the side at left-back after starting on the bench in the first leg and coming on at halftime.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Gabriel, White, Zinchenko, Saliba, Jorginho, Ødegaard, Rice, Havertz, Saka & Martinelli 

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Liverpool

2

Arsenal

2

UEFA Champions League 07/05/25

L

PSG

2

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Bournemouth

2

Arsenal

1

UEFA Champions League 29/04/25

L

PSG

1

Arsenal

0

England Premier League 23/04/25

D

Crystal Palace

2

Arsenal

2

Player to watch – Harry Kane

Whilst Harry Kane has done what Harry Kane does best, score goals for fun this season, his new club Bayern Munich saw their 11-year run at the top of German football come to an end at the weekend as Bayer Leverkusen lifted the title.

The Champions League is all Bayern have left to play for this season and winning this trophy is probably the only thing that could save Thomas Tuchel's job at this point. The form of Harry Kane could be what takes Bayern through to the semi-finals and possibly the final this season and the former Tottenham star would love nothing more than knocking the Gunners out of the competition this week.

Will the former Tottenham star have the last laugh on Wednesday?

Kane scored a penalty in the first leg and heads into Wednesday's clash having netted 11 times in his last ten matches for Bayern, so he has to be our player to watch in this game.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Bayern Munich

✨ ? ??????? ????????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ✨#MiaSanMia #UCL #FCBARS pic.twitter.com/g0dSE89pDm

— FC Bayern Munich (@FCBayernEN) April 17, 2024

Arsenal

? Early team news
? How to tune in live
?️ What the managers say

All this and more in our FC Bayern Munich preview ?

— Arsenal (@Arsenal) April 17, 2024