Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction, odds & betting tips 30/12/2025

In what could be one of the most pivotal matches in the race for the Premier League title, Arsenal will host Aston Villa at the Emirates on Tuesday.

Mikel Arteta's Gunners sit top of the pile with 42 points, but they are only three points in front of third-placed Villa, who managed to beat Chelsea 2-1 on Saturday last time out.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction: An opportunity for Villa?

Key stats

• Eight of the 11 Premier League goals Arsenal have conceded have come in their last eight games.
• At least three goals have been scored in 10 of Aston Villa's last 11 matches.
• Four of Arsenal's last five goals scored have either been an own goal or from the penalty spot.

Correct score prediction: Arsenal 2-2 Aston Villa

Arsenal's defensive record is excellent, but they have looked somewhat more vulnerable in recent weeks, and there may be an opportunity for Aston Villa to threaten David Raya's goal.

The Gunners have been excellent at home this term, but it would not be surprising if they were held to a stalemate by Unai Emery's visitors on Tuesday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal predicted to win by the bookmakers

• HOME: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%%

• DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

• AWAY: 13/2 (7.5) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Arsenal are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 69.2%, and the bookmakers have only given Aston Villa a 13.3% chance of coming away from London with three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Aston Villa looking to do the double

Tuesday will be a chance for Arteta to avenge his team's defeat earlier in December, when Villa emerged as 2-1 winners at home thanks to a stoppage-time goal from Emiliano Buendia.

It should be noted that Emery's side have won three, drawn one and only lost one of their past five league encounters with Arsenal, and their last league defeat at the Emirates came in August 2022.

England Premier League 06/12/25

Aston Villa

2

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 18/01/25

Arsenal

2

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 24/08/24

Aston Villa

0

Arsenal

2

England Premier League 14/04/24

Arsenal

0

Aston Villa

2

England Premier League 09/12/23

Aston Villa

1

Arsenal

0

Arsenal preview: Feeling the pressure at the top?

Arsenal are three points ahead of Villa and two points ahead of second-placed Manchester City, and the Gunners have looked far from their best recently, winning their last three league matches by one-goal margins.

If Jurrien Timber is not passed fit ahead of his side's match against Villa, then Declan Rice may have to continue playing as a right-back, which could lead to a start for Mikel Merino in midfield.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Rice, Saliba, Hincapie, Lewis-Skelly, Merino, Zubimendi, Odegaard, Saka, Gyokeres & Eze

Last five results:

• Arsenal 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion
• Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace
• Everton 0-1 Arsenal
• Arsenal 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
• Club Brugge 3-0 Arsenal

Aston Villa preview: Exceptional winning form

Aston Villa will arrive at the Emirates full of confidence considering they have triumphed in each of their past 11 matches, beating the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United in that time.

With centre-back Pau Torres not expected to be part of the squad on Tuesday, perhaps Ezri Konsa will be partnered by Victor Lindelof in the heart of defence.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK), Bogarde, Konsa, Lindelof, Maatsen, Onana, Tielemans, McGinn, Buendia, Rogers & Watkins

Last five results:

• Chelsea 1-2 Aston Villa
• Aston Villa 2-1 Manchester United
• West Ham United 3-2 Aston Villa
• Basel 1-2 Aston Villa
• Aston Villa 2-1 Arsenal

Player to watch: Viktor Gyokeres

When Viktor Gyokeres was signed by Arsenal, many thought he would be the final piece of the puzzle, but the Swede has been one of the Premier League's biggest underperformers.

The number nine has scored just two goals in his last 12 Premier League games, but one of those goals came from the penalty spot, and he failed to net from open play in that period.