Argentina vs Ecuador prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/07/2024

Argentina vs Ecuador prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/07/2024
Emiliano Martínez of Argentina collects the cross above the challenge from Paolo Guerrero of Peru - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Argentina to win-to-nil

Argentina have won four of their last five games against Ecuador, keeping a clean sheet on each occasion.

Argentina maintained a 100% record through the group stage with wins against Canada, Chile and Peru and now they go up against the Group D runners-up Ecuador in the last 16.

The Ecuadorians started their 2024 Copa America campaign with a defeat to the surprise group winners Venezuela before beating Jamaica and drawing with Mexico to set up a date with Lionel Messi and co.

Argentina vs Ecuador prediction: Another clean sheet for Argentina?

Key Stats

  • Argentina are yet to concede a single goal at the 2024 Copa America and have won all three games so far.
  • Ecuador failed to score in their last game against Mexico.
  • Lautaro Martínez has scored in each of Argentina's opening three games despite starting the first two on the bench.

Correct score prediction: Argentina 2-0 Ecuador

Ecuador haven't conceded more than two goals in any of their three group games, while Argentina have won two of their three matches at the 2024 Copa America 2-0.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Ecuador

  • HOME: 7/15 (1.47) – 68.2%
  • DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
  • AWAY: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Argentina are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 68.2%, and we completely agree with the bookmakers on this pick.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Argentina lead

Argentina have won four and drawn one of their last five games against Ecuador, running out 1-0 winners just last month in a friendly.

International Match 10/06/24

Argentina

Argentina

1
Ecuador

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/09/23

Argentina

Argentina

1
Ecuador

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 30/03/22

Ecuador

Ecuador

1
Argentina

Argentina

1

Copa America 04/07/21

Argentina

Argentina

3
Ecuador

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/10/20

Argentina

Argentina

1
Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Argentina preview: The champions-elect

Argentina made several changes to their usual starting lineup for the final group game against Peru and still came away with another victory.

Super-sub Lautaro Martinez started his first game at the 2024 Copa America after scoring from the bench in the opening two fixtures and the Inter Milan striker scored both goals in a 2-0 victory for Argentina that maintained their 100% start to the competition.

Predicted lineup: E. Martínez (GK), Tagliafico, Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martínez, De Paul, Mac Allister, Fernández, Messi, González & Lautaro Martínez

Copa America 15/07/24

W

Colombia

Colombia

0

Argentina

Argentina

1

Copa America 10/07/24

W

Canada

Canada

0

Argentina

Argentina

2

Copa America 05/07/24

W

Ecuador

Ecuador

1 (2)

Argentina

Argentina

1 (4)

Copa America 30/06/24

W

Peru

Peru

0

Argentina

Argentina

2

Copa America 26/06/24

W

Chile

Chile

0

Argentina

Argentina

1

Ecuador preview: Scraped through Group D

Enner Valencia was back in the starting lineup against Mexico following a one-game suspension but Ecuador still didn't manage to score against Mexico.

Thankfully for La Tricolor, the Central Americans also failed to score and the game ended in a goalless draw which meant that Ecuador finished in the runners-up spot behind Venezuela.

Predicted lineup: Domínguez (GK), Torres, Preciado, Pacho, Hincapié, Franco, Sarmiento, Caicedo, Páez, Valencia & Rodríguez

Copa America 05/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1 (4)

Ecuador

Ecuador

1 (2)

Copa America 01/07/24

D

Mexico

Mexico

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Copa America 26/06/24

W

Jamaica

Jamaica

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

3

Copa America 22/06/24

L

Venezuela

Venezuela

2

Ecuador

Ecuador

1

International Match 16/06/24

W

Honduras

Honduras

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

2

Player to watch – Lautaro Martínez

Argentina's Lautaro Martinez is on course to claim the Golden Boot award at the 2024 Copa America, despite starting the opening two group games on the bench.

Lautaro Martínez player to watch
Lautaro Martínez of Argentina celebrates his goal in the 88th minute – Photo by Icon Sport

Martinez came on in both of Argentina's opening games against Canada and Chile to score important goals and in the third game, against Peru, the Inter man started and scored twice, taking his competition total to four.

Has surely done enough to start against Ecuador

We're backing Martinez to start against Ecuador and score as the striker has proved that he isn't just a super-sub and should be leading the line for Argentina instead of Manchester City's Julian Alvarez, who only has one-goal to his name.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things