Argentina vs Colombia prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/07/2024

Argentina vs Colombia prediction, odds & betting tips – 15/07/2024
Photo by Icon Sport
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Both defences are likely to be tested like never before at this championship and with James Rodriguez on fire for Colombia, there could well be a goal in this for the underdogs.

The Copa America final is this weekend with Argentina up against Colombia at Miami’s Hard Rock Stadium. Our Argentina vs Colombia prediction looks at which team will get their hands on the trophy.

Argentina vs Colombia prediction: La Albiceleste to triumph with Alvarez on target

Key stats

  • Our Argentina vs Colombia betting tips take into account a record that has seen Nestor Lorenzo’s side score at least once in all of their last 13 matches.
  • Meanwhile Argentina have only failed to score in one of their last 35 internationals.
  • Julian Alvarez has scored in five of his last 10 appearances for club and country.

Correct score prediction: Argentina 2-1 Colombia

Colombia are having an exceptional tournament, but Argentina are an experienced side that has been so tough to stop in international football over the past few years. They’re targeting a third straight major tournament title here after the 2021 Copa America and 2022 World Cup. Having won nine of their last 10 games inside 90 minutes, they look capable of edging this.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina favourites to defend title

  • ARGENTINA: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
  • COLOMBIA: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The defending champions are the favourites according to the Argentina vs Colombia odds with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this in regulation time.

They reached this point with a comfortable 2-0 semi-final win over Canada with goals from Alvarez and Messi.

Colombia meanwhile overcame Uruguay in a bruising semi-final that ended 1-0 in their favour with Jefferson Lerma on target.

For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best options from this weekend’s action.

Last five H2Hs: Colombia normally compete well

Our Argentina vs Colombia prediction points to a repeat of the win for La Albiceleste in the most recent meeting. However it’s worth noting that Los Cafeteros have avoided defeat inside 90 minutes in four of the last five meetings overall.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 01/02/22

Argentina

Argentina

1
Colombia

Colombia

0

Copa America 07/07/21

Argentina

Argentina

1 (3)
Colombia

Colombia

1 (2)

South America - World Cup Qualifying 09/06/21

Colombia

Colombia

2
Argentina

Argentina

2

Copa America 15/06/19

Argentina

Argentina

0
Colombia

Colombia

2

International Match 12/09/18

Colombia

Colombia

0
Argentina

Argentina

0

Argentina preview: Favourites at full strength

There are not expected to be any selection issues for Argentina who could go with the same team that won the semi-final with Messi and Alvarez up top.

Predicted Lineup: Emi Martinez (GK), Tagliafico, Lisandro Martinez, Romero, Montiel, Mac Allister, Fernandez, De Paul, Di Maria, Alvarez & Messi

Copa America 15/07/24

W

Colombia

Colombia

0

Argentina

Argentina

1

Copa America 10/07/24

W

Canada

Canada

0

Argentina

Argentina

2

Copa America 05/07/24

W

Ecuador

Ecuador

1 (2)

Argentina

Argentina

1 (4)

Copa America 30/06/24

W

Peru

Peru

0

Argentina

Argentina

2

Copa America 26/06/24

W

Chile

Chile

0

Argentina

Argentina

1

Colombia preview: Muñoz serves suspension

The underdogs will be missing Daniel Muñoz who saw red in the last round while defender Jhon Lucumi is an injury doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Vargas (GK), Mojica, Cuesta, Sanchez, Santiago Arias, Jhon Arias, Lerma, Rios, Diaz, Cordoba & Rodgiuguez

Copa America 15/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Colombia

Colombia

0

Copa America 11/07/24

W

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 06/07/24

W

Panama

Panama

0

Colombia

Colombia

5

Copa America 03/07/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

1

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 28/06/24

W

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Colombia

Colombia

3

Player to watch – James Rodriguez

Almost regardless of the result on Sunday night, Colombia’s James Rodriguez feels destined to be named player of the tournament. He has rolled back the years with an incredible six assists in five matches at Copa America 2024.

argentina vs colombia predictions
James Rodriguez set up another goal in the semi-final – Photo by Icon Sport

Rodriguez outperforming Messi

No other player in this competition has registered more than two assists while James Rodriguez also leads the way with an average of 3.4 key passes per game, slightly more than second placed Messi.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.