Argentina and Canada clash in the first semi-final at Copa America in New Jersey. Our Argentina vs Canada prediction considers whether Lionel Scaloni’s side can repeat their group phase win over this opposition.
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Argentina vs Canada prediction: La Albiceleste to win by two with Martinez on target
Key stats
- Our Argentina vs Canada betting tips take into account a strong defensive record for La Albiceleste at this tournament with just one goal conceded in four matches.
- It’s now 10 matches undefeated at major tournaments for Argentina since their shock loss to Saudi Arabia in their 2022 World Cup opener.
- There have been just five goals scored in Canada’s last five internationals, with Jesse Marsch’s side only scoring twice over that period.
Correct score prediction: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Argentina will take confidence from their 2-0 win in the group phase over this opposition. While Canada have done brilliantly to reach the last four, they are not scoring freely, with just two scored in their last six internationals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Argentina the clear favourites
- ARGENTINA: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- CANADA: 8/1 (9.00) – 11.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The defending champions are the red hot favourites according to the Argentina vs Canada odds with an implied probability of 73.3% that they win this one.
Argentina survived a scare in their quarter-final, needing penalties to beat Ecuador after Lisandro Martinez scored in a 1-1 draw.
Canada also progressed on spot-kicks following a 1-1 draw against Venezuela with the South Americans missing three penalties in the shootout.
For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best options from this week’s action.
Last five H2Hs: Argentina targeting repeat of group win
Our Argentina vs Canada prediction points to a possible repeat of the 2-0 win for Lionel Scaloni’s side in the group stage. The sides had very rarely met prior to that.
Copa America 21/06/24
Argentina
Canada
Argentina preview: Injury worries easing
Scaloni’s injury issues are easing with Lisandro Martinez and Nicolas Gonzalez having overcome their respective problems while Marcos Acuña is fit again to compete at left back.
Predicted Lineup: Emiliano Martinez (GK), Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martínez, Tagliafico, De Paul, Fernandez, Mac Allister, Messi, Lautaro Martínez & Gonzalez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 10/09/24 L Colombia 2 Argentina 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/09/24 W Chile 0 Argentina 3 Copa America 15/07/24 W Colombia 0 Argentina 1 Copa America 10/07/24 W Canada 0 Argentina 2 Copa America 05/07/24 W Ecuador 1 (2) Argentina 1 (4)
Canada preview: Dream goes on for the Canucks
It has been a great tournament so far for Canada but they’ll be forced into a defensive change here with Derek Cornelius suspended after a booking in the last round.
Predicted Lineup: Crepeau (GK), Johnston, Bombito, Miller, Davies, Eustaquio, Osorio, David, Shaffelburg, Laryea & Larin
International Match 11/09/24 D Mexico 0 Canada 0 International Match 07/09/24 W USA 1 Canada 2 Copa America 14/07/24 L Uruguay 2 (4) Canada 2 (3) Copa America 10/07/24 L Argentina 2 Canada 0 Copa America 06/07/24 W Venezuela 1 (3) Canada 1 (4)
Player to watch – Lautaro Martinez
Lautaro Martinez was forced to largely watch on as his teammates won the World Cup in Qatar, but he’s been key for Argentina at this tournament, scoring four goals in four matches so far.
Martinez scoring late
All of the goals scored by Martinez at this tournament have come in the Second Half. He’s netted in the 85th minute or later on three occasions including an 88th minute strike against Canada on matchday one.
