Albania and Spain clash on Monday in the final round of fixtures in Group B at Euro 2024. Our Albania vs Spain prediction considers whether the Balkans side can spring a surprise to reach the knockout stage.

Albania vs Spain prediction: La Roja to edge game with goals

Key stats

  • Our Albania vs Spain betting tips take into account that all of the last three matches for Sylvinho’s side have seen both teams score.
  • Spain average 3.25 goals per game across all matches during the 2023/24 season.
  • Only one of Albania’s last 16 internationals has resulted in them losing by more than a single goal.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Spain big favourites despite likely rotation

  • ALBANIA: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • DRAW: 18/5 (4.60) – 21.7%
  • SPAIN: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Luis de la Fuente’s side are the favourites according to the Albania vs Spain odds with an implied probability of 69.2% that they win this one.

Spain were outstanding on Thursday against Italy and should have won by more than a 1-0 margin. They’ve already won this group having beaten Croatia 3-0 in their opening game with the exciting wingers in the Spanish squad playing a big role in the tournament so far.

As for Albania, they’ve competed well despite being rank outsiders in this group. They lost 2-1 to Italy on matchday one before holding Croatia to a 2-2 draw with Klaus Gjasula firing in a dramatic 95th minute equaliser.

For more of the latest football picks from Euro 2024 and Copa America, today’s betting tips will guide you through this week’s action.

Last five H2Hs: Spanish dominance

Our Albania vs Spain prediction suggests it’ll be a fourth straight win for La Roja. They won both meetings in 2018 World Cup qualifying and also triumphed 2-1 in a friendly two years ago.

Euro 2024 24/06/24

Albania

Albania

0
Spain

Spain

0

International Match 26/03/22

Spain

Spain

2
Albania

Albania

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 06/10/17

Spain

Spain

3
Albania

Albania

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 09/10/16

Albania

Albania

0
Spain

Spain

2

Albania preview: Competition up front

Chelsea’s Armando Broja was dropped for the Croatia game and didn’t come off the bench and he’ll be hoping to compete with Rei Manaj for the start here. Albania are hoping to have a full squad available for this game.

Predicted Lineup: Strakosha (GK), Mitaj, Djimsiti, Ajeti, Balliu, Ramadani, Asllani, Bajrami, Laci, Asani & Manaj

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/25

W

Andorra

Andorra

0

Albania

Albania

3

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

L

England

England

2

Albania

Albania

0

UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24

L

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

Albania

Albania

1

UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24

D

Czechia

Czechia

0

Albania

Albania

0

UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24

W

Georgia

Georgia

0

Albania

Albania

1

Spain preview: De la Fuente expected to rest his stars

Rodri is suspended for Spain after his second booking of the tournament against Italy. He’d most likely have been rested in any case and Luis de la Fuente could even change his whole eleven with top spot already secured.

Predicted Lineup: Raya (GK), Grimaldo, Nacho, Vivian, Navas, Merino, Zubimendi, Ayoze, Olmo, Ferran & Oyarzabal

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

W

Netherlands

Netherlands

3 (4)

Spain

Spain

3 (5)

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

D

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

Spain

Spain

2

UEFA Nations League A 18/11/24

W

Switzerland

Switzerland

2

Spain

Spain

3

UEFA Nations League A 15/11/24

W

Denmark

Denmark

1

Spain

Spain

2

UEFA Nations League A 15/10/24

W

Serbia

Serbia

0

Spain

Spain

3

Player to watch – Alex Grimaldo

Luis de la Fuente sprung a minor surprise by opting for Marc Cucurella ahead of Alex Grimaldo at left back in this tournament but the Chelsea man has done well. Grimaldo is an exciting option though and he could really make his mark in this game having scored 10 and assisted 13 in the Bundesliga this term.

albania vs spain prediction
Alex Grimaldo is hoping to seize his chance – Photo by Icon Sport

A key attacking force for Leverkusen

Grimaldo was integral to Bayer Leverkusen’s remarkable season. Despite operating as a wing back, he still averaged 2.2 shots and 2.4 key passes per game in the German top flight.

The latest Tweets from each camp

Albania

Spain


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.