Alaves have a crucial home game on Wednesday in their fight for top-flight survival. Our Alaves vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Chacho Coudet’s side will be capable of picking up maximum points.
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Alaves vs Valencia prediction: Bore draw in Vitoria
Key stats
- Our Alaves vs Valencia betting tips take into account that the visitors are unbeaten in 10 matches in La Liga.
- All of the last seven Alaves games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- They’ve drawn 45% of their games in all competitions under their current coach.
Correct score prediction: Alaves 0-0 Valencia
All Alaves matches in recent weeks have been tight affairs, in which they’ve competed well, but struggled to offer much of a goal threat.
This game could go the same way, against a Valencia side that is now fighting for a place in Europe. Los Che have been much the more impressive of the two teams, but they’ve still only won twice away from home this season in La Liga, and we could see this one end level.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Alaves vs Valencia odds, with an implied probability of 48.8% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a 1-0 defeat away to Athletic Club, with Manu Sanchez scoring a second-half own goal.
As for Valencia, they were convincing 3-0 winners over Getafe at Mestalla at the weekend, with Pepelu and Hugo Duro both converting penalties.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Not a happy hunting ground for Los Che
Our Alaves vs Valencia prediction suggests this game will end all square, and that would extend a six-game winless streak for Los Che on this ground.
Alaves have won four of the last six meetings in all competitions in Vitoria, drawing twice.
Spain La Liga 22/12/24 Valencia CD Alaves Elite Club Friendlies 24/07/24 Valencia CD Alaves Spain La Liga 05/05/24 Valencia CD Alaves Spain La Liga 02/09/23 CD Alaves Valencia Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/23 Valencia CD Alaves
Alaves preview: Abqar sidelined again
The home team are missing centre-back Abdel Abqar to injury once more, but they should be at full strength aside from that, with Kike Garcia expected to be return up top.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), M. Sanchez, Mourino, Garces, Tenaglia, Jordan, Blanco, Alena, Guridi, Vicente & K. Garcia
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 L Athletic Bilbao 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 D Atletico Madrid 0 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Real Sociedad 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25 D Sevilla 1 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0
Valencia preview: Guerra serves suspension
Young midfielder Javi Guerra is suspended for the visitors. Corberan is also missing the injured Thierry Correia once more.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Diakhaby, D. Lopez, Pepelu, Barrenechea, Rioja, Duro & Mir
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25 D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25 W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Player to watch – Hugo Duro
Hugo Duro is a striker with certain limitations, but he’s having another solid season with 11 goals in 28 appearances in La Liga, including one against his old club at the weekend.
Duro scoring early
The 25-year-old has tended to be more productive earlier in games, with 91% of his league goals this season coming inside an hour.