Valencia vs Alaves prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/05/2024

Valencia
05/05/24 - 17:30

Finished

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CD Alaves

Valencia - CD Alaves

Spain Primera Liga - Mestalla

valencia vs alaves prediction
Kike Garcia celebrates scoring in the reverse fixture – Photo by Icon Sport

Valencia are hoping to boost their European prospects when they host Alaves in La Liga this Sunday. Our Valencia vs Alaves prediction looks at whether the hosts can overcome some key absentees to win the game.

Valencia vs Alaves prediction: Visitors to claim surprise win with Simeone on target

Valencia vs Alaves predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Alaves-Draw Double Chance

⚽ Correct score prediction

Valencia 1-2 Alaves

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Giuliano Simeone

Key Stats

  • Our Valencia vs Alaves betting tips take into account the improved form of the visitors who have won their last two matches to nil, scoring five.
  • Los Che have only scored six times in their last seven league games.
  • Ruben Baraja’s side have been strong defensively overall, but only average 1.19 goals per game at Mestalla this term in La Liga.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Valencia favourites to boost European hopes

  • HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Valencia vs Alaves odds with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this game.

Los Che have been the better of the two sides this season but they come into the match after back-to-back defeats, losing 4-2 at Barcelona last time out with a red card awarded to their keeper Giorgi Mamardashvili the turning point.

Alaves meanwhile have been brilliant in their last two games, beating Celta Vigo 3-0 with Giuliano Simeone opening the scoring last weekend.

For more analysis from the weekend games, today’s football betting tips will guide you around the best bets.

Last five H2Hs: Alaves targeting third straight win over Los Che

Spain Primera Liga 02/09/23

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Valencia

Valencia

0

Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/23

Valencia

Valencia

2
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 13/02/22

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2
Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain Primera Liga 27/08/21

Valencia

Valencia

3
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 24/04/21

Valencia

Valencia

1
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Our Valencia vs Alaves prediction suggests the visitors have every chance of beating this opposition for the third time in a row. They’ve been less successful on recent trips to Mestalla though, losing on four of their last five league visits.

Valencia Preview: Mamardasvhili a huge miss

Young goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvil has been outstanding again this term but is suspended here meaning Jaume Domenech should fill in. Fran Perez is injured while Jose Gaya remains a major doubt.

Predicted Lineup: Domenech (GK), Vazquez, Yarek, Mosquera, Foulquier, Almeida, Guerra, Pepelu, Diego Lopez, Duro, Peter

UK Friendlies 28/05/24

W

Benidorm

Benidorm

1

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Valencia

Valencia

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Girona

Girona

3

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain Primera Liga 16/05/24

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Valencia

Valencia

0

Alaves Preview: Similar eleven expected

Few changes are expected from the visitors who were excellent last time out, but defender Ruben Duarte is a doubt which could result in a slight reshuffle.

Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Javi Lopez, Marin, Tenaglia, Gorosabel, Blanco, Benavidez, Guridi, Simeone, Kike Garcia, Vicente

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 18/05/24

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain Primera Liga 14/05/24

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

5

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain Primera Liga 10/05/24

D

Girona

Girona

2

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Valencia

Valencia

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Player to watch – Giuliano Simeone

Giuliano Simeone, son of Atletico Madrid boss Diego, was hoping to have a big impact in the top flight this season but a serious early season injury put pay to that. He’s bounced back well though and scored his first Alaves goal in just his second start last weekend.

valencia vs alaves predictions
Giuliano Simeone goes down in the win over Celta last weekend – Photo by Icon Sport

Prolific in the lower leagues

Giuliano Simeone may not be well known to fans of La Liga, but he made a real impression in the Segunda Division last season. The 21 year old scored nine times for Real Zaragoza while he managed 25 goals for Atletico Madrid B further down the Spanish football ladder in the 2021/22 season.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.