alaves vs valencia predictions
Alaves lost a Basque derby on Sunday - Photo by IMAGO.
🔥 Our Hot tip

Valencia or draw & under 2.5 total goals

Valencia haven’t lost to a team outside the top three since Carlos Corberan took charge in December.

Alaves have a crucial home game on Wednesday in their fight for top-flight survival. Our Alaves vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Chacho Coudet’s side will be capable of picking up maximum points.

Alaves vs Valencia prediction: Bore draw in Vitoria

Key stats

  • Our Alaves vs Valencia betting tips take into account that the visitors are unbeaten in 10 matches in La Liga.
  • All of the last seven Alaves games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  • They’ve drawn 45% of their games in all competitions under their current coach.

Correct score prediction: Alaves 0-0 Valencia

All Alaves matches in recent weeks have been tight affairs, in which they’ve competed well, but struggled to offer much of a goal threat.

This game could go the same way, against a Valencia side that is now fighting for a place in Europe. Los Che have been much the more impressive of the two teams, but they’ve still only won twice away from home this season in La Liga, and we could see this one end level.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the clear favourites

  • HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The hosts are the favourites according to the Alaves vs Valencia odds, with an implied probability of 48.8% that they win this match.

They head into the game following a 1-0 defeat away to Athletic Club, with Manu Sanchez scoring a second-half own goal.

As for Valencia, they were convincing 3-0 winners over Getafe at Mestalla at the weekend, with Pepelu and Hugo Duro both converting penalties.

For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.

Most recent H2Hs: Not a happy hunting ground for Los Che

Our Alaves vs Valencia prediction suggests this game will end all square, and that would extend a six-game winless streak for Los Che on this ground.

Alaves have won four of the last six meetings in all competitions in Vitoria, drawing twice.

Spain La Liga 22/12/24

Valencia

Valencia

2
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

2

Elite Club Friendlies 24/07/24

Valencia

Valencia

0
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain La Liga 05/05/24

Valencia

Valencia

0
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain La Liga 02/09/23

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1
Valencia

Valencia

0

Elite Club Friendlies 29/07/23

Valencia

Valencia

2
CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Alaves preview: Abqar sidelined again

The home team are missing centre-back Abdel Abqar to injury once more, but they should be at full strength aside from that, with Kike Garcia expected to be return up top.

Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), M. Sanchez, Mourino, Garces, Tenaglia, Jordan, Blanco, Alena, Guridi, Vicente & K. Garcia

Spain La Liga 11/05/25

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

D

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Spain La Liga 23/04/25

W

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

0

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain La Liga 20/04/25

D

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

Spain La Liga 13/04/25

L

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

1

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

Valencia preview: Guerra serves suspension

Young midfielder Javi Guerra is suspended for the visitors. Corberan is also missing the injured Thierry Correia once more.

Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Tarrega, Mosquera, Diakhaby, D. Lopez, Pepelu, Barrenechea, Rioja, Duro & Mir

Spain La Liga 10/05/25

W

Getafe

Getafe

0

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain La Liga 03/05/25

W

Las Palmas

Las Palmas

2

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain La Liga 22/04/25

D

Espanyol

Espanyol

1

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 19/04/25

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

1

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain La Liga 11/04/25

W

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Valencia

Valencia

1

Player to watch – Hugo Duro

Hugo Duro is a striker with certain limitations, but he’s having another solid season with 11 goals in 28 appearances in La Liga, including one against his old club at the weekend.

alaves vs valencia prediction
Duro in action against Getafe – Photo by IMAGO.

Duro scoring early

The 25-year-old has tended to be more productive earlier in games, with 91% of his league goals this season coming inside an hour.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.