🔥 Our Hot tip

Ajax to win, over 3.5 goals

Ajax boast a superb record against Zwolle and are in fine form, but the hosts have seen an average of over four goals in their last five games

All-conquering Ajax travel to stuttering Zwolle on Sunday afternoon, hoping to further solidify their grasp on the Eredivisie title. Read on for our Zwolle vs Ajax prediction and more.

Zwolle vs Ajax prediction: Ajax to march on

Key stats:

  • Zwolle are without a clean sheet in nine, but have netted ten in their last five games.
  • Ajax are on a nine game winning run in the Eredivisie.
  • Ajax have won nine of their last ten matchups with Zwolle.

Correct score prediction: Zwolle 1-3 Ajax

Ajax may have the league's meanest defence, but we think free=scoring Zwolle might just be able to crack it,

However, Ajax will likely make serious inroads at the other end, making this a comfortable win.

Pre-game odds and win probability:

HOME: 4/1  (5.00) – 80.0%
DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 13.3%
AWAY: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As is to be expected, the bookmakers' expected winner in this game is Ajax. Their odds of 3/5 imply a 62.5% likelihood of victory, a probability that's hard to argue with.

Feel free to take a look at our football betting tips page to check out our other predictions and tips!

Recent H2Hs: Amsterdam dominance

Ajax are, unsurprisingly, the dominant force in this matchup, winning nine and drawing one of the last ten competitive meetings.

Netherlands Eredivisie 24/11/24

Ajax

Ajax

2
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

0

Europe Friendlies 05/07/24

Ajax

Ajax

0
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 31/03/24

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1
Ajax

Ajax

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 17/12/23

Ajax

Ajax

2
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 30/04/22

Ajax

Ajax

3
PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

0

Ajax preview: Back on top

After a few down years, Ajax are back to their dominant domestic best, and could make it ten wins in a row on Sunday afternoon.

However, things have not gone quite so smoothly on the continent, with the Amsterdam side losing 2-1 at home midweek to Frankfurt.

Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Gaaei, Rugani, Baas, Hato, Klaassen, Fitz-Jim, Taylor, Berghuis, Brobbey, Edvardsen

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

W

Willem II

Willem II

1

Ajax

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25

W

NAC

NAC

1

Ajax

Ajax

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 30/03/25

W

PSV

PSV

0

Ajax

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 16/03/25

D

AZ

AZ

2

Ajax

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 13/03/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

4

Ajax

Ajax

1

Zwolle preview: Warning signs

Zwolle have largely avoided second season syndrome on their return to the Eredivisie, but there have been a few worrying trends in recent weeks.

De Blauwvingers have been leaking goals for fun at the back, with no clean sheet since 8 December and they conceded four to Heracles last time out.

Zwolle should be okay, but we think Ajax are a tall order.

Predicted lineup: Schendelaar (GK), Aertsson, Graves, McNulty, van der Haar, El Azzouzi, van den Berg, Krastev, Mbayo, Vente

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

D

FC Twente

FC Twente

1

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25

D

Almere City FC

Almere City FC

2

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 29/03/25

W

RKC

RKC

0

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 15/03/25

D

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

1

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/03/25

L

Ajax

Ajax

1

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

0

Player to watch: Kenneth Taylor

Our player to watch in this one is Ajax's Kenneth Taylor, who goes from strength to strength in Amsterdam.

Kenneth Taylor has been running the show – Photo by Icon Sport

The well-rounded midfielder has been key to Ajax's recent successes, with three goals in his last six starts, including the winner against Almere last weekend.


William Evans is a football and politics fanatic. A first-class graduate of UEA's Broadcast and Digital Journalism MA course, he also achieved a first class degree in politics and media studies during his time at UEA.