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With little separating them in the Eredivisie table, Ajax and Twente lock horns at the Johan Cruyff Arena on Saturday as both teams remain firmly in the mix for European football.
Ajax are currently two points shy of NEC in the race for third place and Champions League football, but they only lead Twente by a point ahead of this weekend's encounter.
In addition to our Ajax vs Twente prediction below, check out the rest of today's betting tips.
Contents
Ajax vs Twente key stats
- Ajax are on a three-match unbeaten run and have lost just one of their last nine matches, though six of those ended in draws.
- De Godenzonen have rarely been involved in ill-tempered affairs of late, with nine of their most recent 10 outings yielding fewer than five bookings; the same can be said for each of Twente's last 10 affairs.
- The Tukkers have also been in fine form of late, with five wins from their last seven outings (L1, D1).
| Ajax | vs | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 5th |
| 48 | Points | 47 |
| 53 | Goals For | 47 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 3rd | Home Rank | 5th |
| 7th | Away Rank | 3rd |
After a 4-0 thrashing of Sparta Rotterdam in Oscar Garcia's managerial debut, Ajax nearly made it two wins from two in the March 22 De Klassieker, but were pegged back by an 85th-minute Jakub Moder penalty.
A win would have lifted the Amsterdam giants to third after NEC's 2-2 draw with Heerenveen, and Garcia was left frustrated by his side's inability to hold on to what would have been a crucial—if somewhat undeserved—victory.
Twente's Bart van Rooij has the joint-most tackles per game (3.1) of any Eredivisie player this term.
With games against PSV Eindhoven, Utrecht and Heerenveen - all currently occupying European places - still to come after their clash with Twente, Ajax face one of the toughest run-ins of any Eredivisie side.
Just under two-thirds of their 48 points this season have come at home, so anything less than a win this weekend—against opponents winless in the last four meetings—would be deemed an underperformance.
Making only his second start since joining as a free agent, Takehiro Tomiyasu was forced off through injury against Feyenoord and is the latest addition to an injury list that already includes Ko Itakura, Vitezslav Jaros, Youri Regeer and Oleksandr Zinchenko.
Since losing their KNVB Cup quarter-final to AZ Alkmaar in early February, Twente have turned a corner in the league—perhaps spurred on by the knowledge that their alternative route to European football was closed off.
After their narrow 2-1 comeback win over Fortuna Sittard last time out, John van den Brom's side now have 16 points from the last 21 available, propelling themselves into the top eight.
With 35 goals conceded, Ajax have the third-best defensive record in the division.
Like Ajax, Twente face a demanding run-in, with the Tukkers set to take on NEC, AZ Alkmaar, Sparta Rotterdam and PSV in the final four gameweeks of the campaign.
Currently without joint top-scorer Daan Rots, Saturday’s visitors will need to find alternative sources of attacking inspiration as they seek a first away win over Ajax since December 2020.
Ajax vs Twente form guide & betting tips
| Ajax | vs | Twente |
|---|---|---|
| D-D-L-W-D | Form | W-W-W-L-W |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 12th | Form Table | 1st |
| 7 | Goals For | 10 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 5 |
| D-L-W-D-D | Form (all comps) | W-W-W-L-W |
Whispers predicts: Ajax 2-2 Twente
Twente arrive as the more in-form side, but no Eredivisie team has left the Johan Cruyff Arena with all three points since early December. As such, we are backing a draw at 3.75.
Five of the last six meetings between these sides have produced three or more goals, so backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.57 looks a worthwhile punt.
Mika Godts has registered eight direct goal contributions in his last eight matches for Ajax and is priced at 1.83 to score or assist again.
> 1x2 - Draw at 3.75 | Likelihood: Probable
> Over 2.5 goals - Yes at 1.57 | Likelihood: Probable
> Player to score or assist anytime - Mika Godts | Likelihood: Probable