The league leaders Ajax head into their final four games of the season with a six-point lead over second-placed PSV but face a potentially tricky test at home against an in-form Sparta Rotterdam on Sunday.
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Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction: Home win but BTTS?
Key Stats
- Both teams have scored in 57% of Sparta's away games in the Eredivisie this season.
- Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 71% of Ajax's home games in the league this season.
- Sparta Rotterdam have only failed to score in 28% of their Eredivisie games this season.
Correct score prediction: Ajax 2-1 Sparta
With Ajax scoring an average of 2.50 goals per home game and their guests Sparta scoring an average of exactly 1.00 goals per away game, we're backing Ajax to pinch a 2-1 victory on Sunday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax the clear favourite
- HOME: 10/21 (1.48) – 67.7%
- DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ajax are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 67.7% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Ajax dominate
Sunday's hosts have won four and drawn one of their last five league meetings with Sparta, claiming a 2-0 victory when the two sides met in December.
Netherlands Eredivisie 22/12/24
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 17/03/24
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 09/12/23
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie 19/02/23
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie 21/08/22
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Ajax preview: Thrashed in Utrecht
Ajax will be looking to move on from their last result as soon as possible following a poor display away at Utrecht.
The home side opened the scoring in the 29th minute and went on to score three more times without reply to beat Ajax 4-0. To add insult to injury, midfielder Jordan Henderson picked up another yellow card and is now suspended for the Sparta Rotterdam game this Sunday.
The hosts could be without Youri Baas, Branco van den Boomen and Amourricho van Axel Dongen due to injury, as well as the suspended Henderson this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Sutalo, Kaplan, Gaaei, Hato, Traore, Klaassen, Taylor, Berghuis, Brobbey & Godts
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25
L
NEC
3
Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25
D
Sparta Rotterdam
1
Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 20/04/25
L
FC Utrecht
4
Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25
W
Willem II
1
Ajax
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
W
NAC
1
Ajax
3
Sparta preview: On top against Heerenveen
Sparta were looking to make it six league games without defeat when they played host to mid-table Heerenveen last time out.
Former Heerenveen player Mitchell van Bergen handed Sparta the lead just before the half-hour mark and a second-half penalty from Tobias Laurutsen made it 2-0. Substitute Nokkvi Porisson added a third goal before Heerenveen pulled a goal back in stoppage time to make the final scoreline 3-1 to the hosts.
Forward Shunsuke Mito is the only injury concern for the visitors ahead of their trip to Amsterdam this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Olij (GK), van Aanholt, Bakari, Eerdhuijzen, Young, Eiting, Hlynsson, Zechiel, Lauritsen, van Bergen & Ideho
Netherlands Eredivisie 10/05/25
W
Almere City FC
0
Sparta Rotterdam
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 04/05/25
L
FC Twente
2
Sparta Rotterdam
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25
D
Ajax
1
Sparta Rotterdam
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 12/04/25
W
Heerenveen
1
Sparta Rotterdam
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
W
NEC
0
Sparta Rotterdam
2
Player to watch: Davy Klaassen
Davy Klaassen is back at Ajax and loving life once again following a brief spell in Serie A with Inter Milan.
The Dutch international, who has often struggled to perform outside of the Eredivisie, has scored eight league goals so far this season, making him Ajax's second-top goalscorer.
Ajax's veteran midfielder has eight Eredivisie goals
The 32-year-old adds an extra touch of class and quality to this Ajax midfield and we're expecting Klaassen to shine this weekend in what should be a tough game at home against an in-form Sparta side.