League leaders Ajax take on Heracles at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in the Dutch Eredivisie on Sunday, 16 February. Read our Eredivisie predictions for the contest below.
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Ajax vs Heracles prediction: Goals likely in Amsterdam
Key Stats
- The last four meetings between Ajax and Heracles averaged 5.25 goals per game.
- Ajax have won nine of their ten home matches in the Eredivisie this season.
- Ajax notched two goals in four of their last five home assignments in the league.
- Six players were carded when the teams last met in October.
Correct score prediction: Ajax 2-1 Heracles
Ajax have been admirably consistent at home this season, though they haven’t been cutting loose in the final third in Amsterdam of late, netting two goals in four of their last five tests at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax are clear favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ajax went top of the Eredivisie when they beat Fortuna Sittard last weekend and the new league leaders have an 81.8% chance of earning another victory when they host Heracles.
Heracles are in the midst of a six-game unbeaten run in the league, though they are massive 10/1 underdogs ahead of their trip to Amsterdam. Check out our free football tips page for more Europa League predictions.
Most recent H2Hs: Ajax have been dominant
Ajax have won seven of their last eight meetings with Heracles. The Amsterdam giants won 4-3 when the teams last met in October.
Netherlands Eredivisie 20/10/24

Heracles

Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/01/24

Heracles

Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie 12/08/23

Ajax

Heracles
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/02/22

Ajax

Heracles
Netherlands Eredivisie 30/10/21

Heracles

Ajax
Ajax preview: Hato back from a ban
Wout Weghorst, Youri Regeer, Owen Wijndal, Gaston Avila and Amourrichio van Axel Dongen are out injured for Ajax. Jorrel Hato is back from suspension. Ajax won 2-0 at Union St. Gilloise in the Europa League in midweek.
Predicted lineup: Pasveer (GK), Gaaei, Sutalo, Baas, Hato, Fitz-Jim, Henderson, Taylor, Traore, Berghuis, Brobbey
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25
L

NEC
3

Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25
D

Sparta Rotterdam
1

Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 20/04/25
L

FC Utrecht
4

Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25
W

Willem II
1

Ajax
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
W

NAC
1

Ajax
3
Heracles preview: Four out for visitors
Heracles will be without the services of Jizz Hornkamp, Mario Engels, Sava Cestic and Nikolai Laursen on Sunday. Heracles enjoyed a 4-2 win over Go Ahead Eagles in their last Eredivisie assignment.
Predicted lineup: De Keijzer (GK), Wieckhoff, Mirani, Mesik, Rots, Scheperman, De Keersmaecker, Talvitie, Bruns, Podgoreanu, Kulenovic
Netherlands Eredivisie 09/05/25
W

Willem II
1

Heracles
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25
L

Feyenoord
4

Heracles
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/04/25
L

FC Groningen
4

Heracles
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25
W

AZ
0

Heracles
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
D

RKC
0

Heracles
0
Player to watch – Youri Baas
Ajax have the best defensive record in the Eredivisie this season and young centre half Youri Baas has been a key component in the league leader’s backline.

Baas is a consistent performer
Baas, who will turn 22 in March, has been outstanding in defence for Ajax this term and the youngster has been averaging 1.60 interceptions and 3.70 clearances per game in the Eredivisie this season. Expect Baas to play with authority again on Sunday.