Ajax vs Heracles prediction
Expect excitement in Amsterdam when Ajax take on Heracles in the Eredivisie. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals

The last four meetings between Ajax and Heracles averaged 5.25 goals per game.

League leaders Ajax take on Heracles at the Johan Cruijff ArenA in the Dutch Eredivisie on Sunday, 16 February. Read our Eredivisie predictions for the contest below.

Ajax vs Heracles prediction: Goals likely in Amsterdam

Key Stats

  • The last four meetings between Ajax and Heracles averaged 5.25 goals per game.
  • Ajax have won nine of their ten home matches in the Eredivisie this season.
  • Ajax notched two goals in four of their last five home assignments in the league.
  • Six players were carded when the teams last met in October.

Correct score prediction: Ajax 2-1 Heracles

Ajax have been admirably consistent at home this season, though they haven’t been cutting loose in the final third in Amsterdam of late, netting two goals in four of their last five tests at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax are clear favourites

  • HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
  • AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Ajax went top of the Eredivisie when they beat Fortuna Sittard last weekend and the new league leaders have an 81.8% chance of earning another victory when they host Heracles.

Heracles are in the midst of a six-game unbeaten run in the league, though they are massive 10/1 underdogs ahead of their trip to Amsterdam. Check out our free football tips page for more Europa League predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Ajax have been dominant

Ajax have won seven of their last eight meetings with Heracles. The Amsterdam giants won 4-3 when the teams last met in October.

Netherlands Eredivisie 20/10/24

Heracles

Heracles

3
Ajax

Ajax

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 27/01/24

Heracles

Heracles

2
Ajax

Ajax

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 12/08/23

Ajax

Ajax

4
Heracles

Heracles

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/02/22

Ajax

Ajax

3
Heracles

Heracles

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 30/10/21

Heracles

Heracles

0
Ajax

Ajax

0

Ajax preview: Hato back from a ban

Wout Weghorst, Youri Regeer, Owen Wijndal, Gaston Avila and Amourrichio van Axel Dongen are out injured for Ajax. Jorrel Hato is back from suspension. Ajax won 2-0 at Union St. Gilloise in the Europa League in midweek.

Predicted lineup: Pasveer (GK), Gaaei, Sutalo, Baas, Hato, Fitz-Jim, Henderson, Taylor, Traore, Berghuis, Brobbey

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25

L

NEC

NEC

3

Ajax

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25

D

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

1

Ajax

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 20/04/25

L

FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht

4

Ajax

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

W

Willem II

Willem II

1

Ajax

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25

W

NAC

NAC

1

Ajax

Ajax

3

Heracles preview: Four out for visitors

Heracles will be without the services of Jizz Hornkamp, Mario Engels, Sava Cestic and Nikolai Laursen on Sunday. Heracles enjoyed a 4-2 win over Go Ahead Eagles in their last Eredivisie assignment.

Predicted lineup: De Keijzer (GK), Wieckhoff, Mirani, Mesik, Rots, Scheperman, De Keersmaecker, Talvitie, Bruns, Podgoreanu, Kulenovic

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/05/25

W

Willem II

Willem II

1

Heracles

Heracles

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25

L

Feyenoord

Feyenoord

4

Heracles

Heracles

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 23/04/25

L

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

4

Heracles

Heracles

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

W

AZ

AZ

0

Heracles

Heracles

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25

D

RKC

RKC

0

Heracles

Heracles

0

Player to watch – Youri Baas

Ajax have the best defensive record in the Eredivisie this season and young centre half Youri Baas has been a key component in the league leader’s backline.

Ajax vs Heracles Almelo prediction
Youri Baas has been turning heads with his performances for Ajax. (Photo by Imago)

Baas is a consistent performer

Baas, who will turn 22 in March, has been outstanding in defence for Ajax this term and the youngster has been averaging 1.60 interceptions and 3.70 clearances per game in the Eredivisie this season. Expect Baas to play with authority again on Sunday.

 


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.