Ajax vs Groningen prediction, odds and betting tips – 30/11/2025
Fred Grim watches Ajax in action - photo by IMAGO / Ball Raw Images
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Match result: Ajax to win

Ajax have a tremendous record against Groningen and this is the perfect match for them to get back to winning ways.

Ajax are desperate to bounce back to winning ways when they take on Groningen in the Eredivisie at the Johan Cruyff Arena on Sunday.

View our free Ajax vs Groningen predictions below.

Ajax vs Groningen prediction: Both sides are struggling

Key stats:

  • Ajax are winless in their last five games.
  • Groningen are winless in their last three league games.
  • Ajax have never lost against Groningen in Amsterdam since 1994.

Correct score prediction: Ajax 3-1 Groningen

Ajax have been struggling in recent games and have slipped to sixth in the Dutch league table, 14 points behind leaders PSV Eindhoven.

They are winless in their last three league games and are desperately looking to bounce back.

They share the same points as Groningen, but Ajax have historically dominated this fixture, winning by 3-1 in their last four seasons.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax backed to win

  • HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.8%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Ajax have seen a massive fall from grace this season, and they have already lost three home games, including two defeats.

However, considering their impressive record against the rivals at home, the bookmakers have placed them at  8/11 (1.73) with 57.8% chances of winning.

Groningen have won twice in their last seven games in the Dutch league, and they are priced at 10/3 (4.33) with 23.1% chances of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our football betting tips page after analysing our Ajax vs Groningen predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Ajax have dominated the fixture

Ajax have not lost to Groningen in Amsterdam for over 30 years, an incredible record. Last season, they won 3-1 at home, and have won every time at their home turf in the past five seasons.

Netherlands Eredivisie 14/05/25

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

2
Ajax

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/10/24

Ajax

Ajax

3
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 16/05/23

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

2
Ajax

Ajax

3

Netherlands Eredivisie 14/05/23

FC Groningen

FC Groningen

0
Ajax

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 14/08/22

Ajax

Ajax

6
FC Groningen

FC Groningen

1

Ajax preview: Team in deep crisis

Johnny Heitinga paid the price following Ajax's 3-0 loss against Galatasaray, and Fred Grim has taken charge temporarily.

Grim has looked out of depth as Ajax lost three games in a row.

They have now picked up only one win in their last 10 games across all competitions, and just one in six in the Eredivisie.

Predicted lineup: Pasveer, Rosa, Sutalo, Baas, Alders, Regeer, Taylor, Edvardsen, Gloukh, Godts & Weghorst

Ajax’s last five results:

  • Ajax 0-2 Benfica
  • Ajax 1-2 Excelsior
  • Utrecht 2-1 Ajax
  • Ajax 0-3 Galatasaray
  • Ajax 1-1 Heerenveen

Groningen preview: Can they put up a strong fight?

The visitors have not beaten Ajax since October 2020, losing six and drawing one in the past seven meetings.

However, with Ajax out of form and struggling, this represents their best opportunity to pick up a win at Amsterdam and break the jinx.

Predicted lineup: Vaessen, Rente, Blokzijl, Janse, Peersman, De Jonge, Resink, Der Werff, Taha, Schreuders, Van Bergen

Groningen's last five results:

  • Groningen 2-2 PEC Zwolle
  • Nijmegen 2-0 Groningen
  • Groningen 1-1 FC Twente
  • Sittard 1-2 Groningen
  • Groningen 0-2 Rotterdam

Player to watch: Wout Weghorst

After spending time on loan at several clubs, including Manchester United, during his time at Burnley, he joined Ajax in 2024.

Last season, the tall Dutch striker scored 11 goals, and this season he has already scored seven.

Ajax vs Groningen
Wout Weghorst looks on during Ajax vs Benfica – photo by IMAGO / Goal Sports Images


Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.