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Ajax will look to make it three consecutive wins when they welcome Excelsior to the Johan Cruyff Arena on Saturday in round seven of the 2026-27 Eredivisie season.
The hosts have gone winless in the last four editions of this fixture, most recently drawing 2-2 at Stadion Woudestein in February 2026.
In addition to our Ajax vs Excelsior prediction below, check out the rest of today's betting tips for more of our expert predictions.
Ajax vs. Excelsior key stats
- Ajax have led at half time in four of their last five matches.
- Each of the Amsterdam giants' last eight matches has produced three or more goals.
- Both teams have scored in four of Excelsior's last five outings.
- There have been fewer than five cards shown in each of the away side's last nine matches.
Ajax vs. Excelsior preview: Back-to-back defeats for Excelsior
Ajax vs Excelsior — Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | vs | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Position | 6th |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 19 | Goals For | 13 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5th | Home / Away Rank | 5th |
Ajax picked up where they left off against Fortuna Sittard, running riot in their rescheduled matchday three fixture against newly promoted Willem II by cruising to a 5-1 victory on Tuesday.
It marked the first time De Godenzonen have scored five or more goals in back-to-back league matches since September 2021, and their only defeat so far this season against PSV Eindhoven a fortnight ago looks increasingly like a minor blip.
With PSV, AZ Alkmaar, and Feyenoord – the three sides above them – not in action until Sunday, Michel's men can go top of the Eredivisie, at least temporarily, by beating Excelsior.
However, recent history suggests it may not be straightforward, with Ajax winless against their upcoming opponents since January 2023.
Nonetheless, Ajax will back themselves to get the job done given their recent spread of goals, with five different players on target for the second successive match last time out.
Heading into the international break on a high would undoubtedly be an ideal scenario for Saturday's hosts ahead of the start of their Conference League campaign in October.
With 10 points from a possible 18, Excelsior have made a commendable start to the season, but need a boost after conceding stoppage-time goals in back-to-back matches, including a 2-1 defeat to Utrecht on Sunday.
Ruben den Uil's side have collected four more points than at this stage last season, the second-highest positive differential among all 15 ever-present teams, behind only FC Twente's +6.
While talk of a European push may be premature, De Roodzwarten are certainly in the mix after the opening exchanges of the campaign, ranking sixth for goals scored and joint-third for goals conceded.
Having impressed despite a defeat to PSV earlier in the season, Excelsior have reasons to be optimistic as they look to extend their unbeaten run against Ajax, not least their 2-1 win on their last trip to Amsterdam.
Summer signing Aymen Sliti has made an encouraging start to life in Rotterdam, registering two goals and an assist in his last four outings.
Ajax vs. Excelsior form guide & betting tips
| Ajax | vs | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
DWLWW |
Form | LWWDL |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 5th | Form Table | 7th |
| 17 | Goals For | 9 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 7 |
WWLWW |
Form (All Comps) | LWWDL |
Whispers predicts: Ajax 4-1 Excelsior
Ajax are in formidable form and are deservedly strong favourites at 11/50 (1.22) to claim victory here.
However, Excelsior have found the net in each of their last 12 meetings with Ajax, so BTTS – Yes at 3/5 (1.60) is an appealing option.
Kasper Dolberg produced a man-of-the-match display against Willem II, taking his tally to four direct goal contributions in his last two appearances for Ajax.
The Dane is 9/25 (1.36) to score or assist this weekend and looks a solid pick.
> Ajax to win at 11/50 (1.22) | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS – Yes at 3/5 (1.60) | Likelihood: Probable
> Kasper Dolberg to score or assist at 9/25 (1.36) | Likelihood: Probable