AC Milan vs Sassuolo prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/12/2025
AC Milan players celebrating with Pulisic || Credit IMAGO / Sportimage
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Over 3.5 goals

Three of their last five meetings have ended in over 3.5 goals scored.

AC Milan will welcome Sassuolo on Sunday to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the Serie A as they push to maintain the top position on the league table.

The Rossoneri have been in good form of late, having secured three wins, one draw and one loss in their last five games in all competitions. They returned to winning ways last weekend following a 3-2 away win over Torino, a result that took them to the top of the league standings. 

On the other hand, the Neroverdi have not had a steady run of form, with two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five games. They also got back to winning ways last weekend after defeating a struggling Fiorentina side 3-1, giving them a boost ahead of their next game.

Read our AC Milan vs Sassuolo predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.

AC Milan vs Sassuolo prediction: Narrow win for the home team 

Key statistics

  • AC Milan have won two of their last five clashes against Sassuolo.
  • Over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five meetings.
  • BTTS has been played in three of their last five encounters.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Sassuolo

The Rossoneri will be looking to maintain the top position and continue their good form and we are expecting them to secure a victory in this clash. AC Milan have been dominant when playing at the San Siro and it will be a huge advantage for them when facing Sassuolo. 

The visitors will be hoping they can cause an upset in this game, but with AC Milan’s firepower, we expect them to secure a narrow win, with the visitors also getting a goal. We are predicting a 2-1 victory for the home team.

Pre-match odds and win probability: Bookmakers tip AC Milan to win

  • Home: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.4%
  • Draw: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • Away: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%

Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.

The bookmakers have favoured AC Milan for this game and they have been given the odds of 1.44, giving them an implied 69.4% chance of winning. Sassuolo are the weaker team at 7.00 (14.3%), while the draw at 4.50 (22.2%) suggests Milan should get an easy win against the visitors.

Most recent head-to-head: Record favours the home side

AC Milan have dominated the last five meetings between the two teams, with two wins, one loss and two draws. They have also won their last two home games against Sassuolo, but the visitors have also claimed three wins in those five home games.

Their recent meeting ended in a comfortable 6-1 victory for AC Milan in the Coppa Italia in 2024, followed by a 3-3 draw in the Serie A in the same year. One notable thing to note is that three of those five meetings have had at least six goals scored.

Coppa Italia 03/12/24

AC Milan

AC Milan

6
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

1

Italy Serie A 14/04/24

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

3
AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 30/12/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

1
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

0

Italy Serie A 29/01/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Sassuolo

Sassuolo

5

Italy Serie A 30/08/22

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

0
AC Milan

AC Milan

0

After reviewing our key AC Milan vs Sassuolo predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

AC Milan preview: Fresh setbacks force changes in attack

Milan face new selection concerns as Rafael Leao has picked up a minor muscular injury, prompting Allegri to adjust his attacking setup for this match. With top scorer Christian Pulisic now fully recovered from illness, the USA forward is expected to partner with Christopher Nkunku, especially with Santiago Gimenez still unavailable. 

Pulisic has been in exceptional form, averaging a Serie A goal every 64 minutes this season. Elsewhere, Milan’s midfield and wing-back options are also affected. Youssouf Fofana is dealing with an adductor issue, while young wing-back Zachary Athekame remains sidelined by a calf strain.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Loftus-Cheek, Modric, Rabiot, Bartesaghi, Pulisic & Nkunku

Last five fixtures

  • 08.12.25 – Torino 2–3 AC Milan
  • 04.12.25 – Lazio 1–0 AC Milan
  • 29.11.25 – AC Milan 1–0 Lazio
  • 23.11.25 – Inter 0–1 AC Milan
  • 08.11.25 – Parma 2–2 AC Milan

Sassuolo preview: Key attacking absence

Sassuolo travel without their talisman, Domenico Berardi, who is ruled out until 2026, forcing changes in their attacking setup. As a result, Armand Lauriente is expected to line up alongside Andrea Pinamonti and Cristian Volpato in the front three.

The visitors continue to struggle with a lengthy list of absentees, as Aster Vranckx, Daniel Boloca, Filippo Romagna, Edoardo Pieragnolo, Stefano Turati, Laurs Skjellerup and Yeferson Paz are all unavailable.

Predicted lineup: Muric (GK), Walukiewicz, Izdes, Muharemovic, Doig, Thorstvedt, Matic, Kone, Volpato, Pinamonti & Lauriente

Last five fixtures

  • 06.12.25 – Sassuolo 3–1 Fiorentina
  • 28.11.25 – Como 2–0 Sassuolo
  • 24.11.25 – Sassuolo 2–2 Pisa
  • 09.11.25 – Atalanta 0–3 Sassuolo
  • 03.11.25 – Sassuolo 1–2 Genoa

Player to watch: Christian Pulisic

Christian Pulisic is the key player to watch in these games, having been the team's most consistent attacker. The American international is currently in superb form, recently netting a decisive brace off the bench against Torino. 

Christian Pulisic celebrating his goal for AC Milan || Credit - IMAGO / Beautiful Sports
Christian Pulisic celebrating his goal for AC Milan || Credit – IMAGO / Beautiful Sports

This season, Pulisic has secured seven goals and provided two assists in the league, showcasing his importance in the final third. His quality, finishing ability and recent scoring form will be essential in ensuring the home side gets a win.

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