AC Milan, who are looking to close the gap on Inter Milan in the title race, will welcome Parma to the iconic San Siro on Sunday as the Rossoneri look to maintain their push at the top of the Serie A table.
The home side enter this contest with a 10-game unbeaten run, winning six and drawing four. Their triumphant streak was halted by Como last weekend following a 1-1 draw at San Siro.
However, despite the result, they maintain their second position on the league table behind Inter Milan, who are seven points above them in the race for the Scudetto.
The Rossoneri are currently in good form, having avoided defeat in their last 10 league outings, including a dominant 3-0 win against Bologna and a professional 2-1 victory over Pisa.
Meanwhile, the visitors arrive with renewed hope after snapping a winless streak with a vital 2-1 home triumph over Hellas Verona last weekend.
The Gialloblu have struggled with inconsistency but will be buoyed by their recent win, which provided some much-needed breathing space from the bottom three.
Read our AC Milan vs Parma predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Serie A predictions.
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AC Milan vs Parma prediction: Home to get the win
Key statistics
- Both sides have found the net before half-time in each of their last two meetings.
- AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 10 games in Serie A.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in their last five encounters in Serie A.
Correct score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Parma
A win for the home team looks very likely and we believe they will secure a comfortable victory in this fixture. We predict a 3-1 win for Milan based on their exceptional scoring record at the San Siro.
The Rossoneri have been prolific in front of goal lately and are currently unbeaten in their last 10 Serie A games. We believe the attacking depth available will be too much for the visitors to handle over 90 minutes.
We also expect a high-scoring affair where the home side create multiple clear-cut chances, though Parma's threat on the break could also see them score a consolation goal in the game.
Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan are clear favourites
- Home: 4/11 (1.36) – 73.3%
- Draw: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- Away: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
AC Milan head into this fixture as sure favourites, with odds of 1.36 implying a strong 73.3% probability of a home win. The bookmakers expect Milan’s quality and home advantage to prove decisive.
Parma are priced at 8.00, which translates to just a 12.5% chance of an upset, while the draw sits at 4.80 (20.8%), suggesting bookmakers see a limited likelihood of a stalemate. Overall, the odds point towards a match Milan are strongly expected to control and win.
Most recent head-to-head: Recent record favours the Rossoneri
Looking at the history between these two sides, the record is heavily in favour of the home team. The last five meetings between Milan and Parma have seen the Rossoneri claim two victories, while two matches ended in draws and Parma managed one win.
In their recent meeting, the teams played out a thrilling 2-2 draw at the Ennio Tardini, with Parma showing immense character to recover from early goals. Before that, Milan secured a 3-2 home victory in January 2025, following a surprising 2-1 defeat away to the Gialloblu in August 2024.
Italy Serie A 08/11/25
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Italy Serie A 24/08/24
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Italy Serie A 10/04/21
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Italy Serie A 13/12/20
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After reviewing our key AC Milan vs Parma predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
AC Milan preview: Injury setback for key striker
Santiago Gimenez is sidelined with an injury, leaving AC Milan short of options up front. The team will likely have to reshuffle their attacking lineup, relying on alternative forwards to maintain their goal threat.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, De Winter, Pavlovic, Athekame, Ricci, Modric, Jashari, Bartesaghi, Leao & Nkunku
Last five fixtures
- 18.02.26 – AC Milan 1–1 Como (Serie A)
- 13.02.26 – Pisa 1–2 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 03.02.26 – Bologna 0–3 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 25.01.26 – Roma 1–1 AC Milan (Serie A)
- 18.01.26 – AC Milan 1–0 Lecce (Serie A)
Parma preview: Multiple absences disrupt squad depth
Zion Suzuki, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Pontus Almqvist, and Matija Frigan are all out due to injury, while Alessandro Circati is suspended. These multiple absences mean Parma will have to adjust both their defence and attack.
Predicted lineup: Corvi (GK), Del Prato, Drobnic, Valenti, Britschgi, Bernabe, Keita, Sorensen, Valeri, Pellegrino & Strefezza
Last five fixtures
- 15.02.26 – Parma 2–1 Verona (Serie A)
- 08.02.26 – Bologna 0–1 Parma (Serie A)
- 01.02.26 – Parma 1–4 Juventus (Serie A)
- 25.01.26 – Atalanta 4–0 Parma (Serie A)
- 18.01.26 – Parma 0–0 Genoa (Serie A)
Player to watch: Mateo Pellegrino
Mateo Pellegrino has been an important player for the away side this season, with the forward scoring seven goals and providing one assist. The forward also scored a goal in Parma’s win over Verona.
His physical strength and clinical finishing make him the most dangerous threat to AC Milan's defence. We believe his presence in the attack for Parma will be the primary weapon for the visitors in this clash.