Monza vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips 18/02/2024

Monza
18/02/24 - 19:45

Finished

4

-

2

AC Milan

Monza - AC Milan

Italy Serie A - Stadio Brianteo

AC Milan staying in the title race – Photo by Icon sport

Monza will host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday, 18 February. Can Milan power their way to a victory over local rivals Monza in the Italian top tier this weekend? Read our Serie A predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed Monza vs AC Milan prediction and preview.

Monza vs AC Milan prediction: Can AC Milan stay in the title race?

Monza vs AC Milan predictions
Our pick

⚽ Winner prediction

AC Milan

⚽ Total goals prediction

Under 2.5 total goals

⚽ Team to score first prediction

AC Milan

With six wins in their last seven games in Serie A, Milan are now just one point behind Juventus, though they remain a bit more behind their city rivals Inter, who are at the top with eight points more. Meanwhile, Monza are a mid-table team in solid form.

Pre-game odds and win probability: AC Milan favoured to win

  • HOME: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.10%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.30%
  • AWAY: 5/6 (1.83) – 54.50%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

These Monza vs AC Milan odds show us that the guests are the expected winners. Given their recent form and the fact that they're 22 points ahead of Monza in the standings, that is expected.

Last five H2Hs: Can AC Milan stay undefeated in duels with Monza?

Italy Serie A 17/12/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

3
Monza

Monza

0

Elite Club Friendlies 08/08/23

Monza

Monza

1 (5)
AC Milan

AC Milan

1 (6)

Italy Serie A 18/02/23

Monza

Monza

0
AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 22/10/22

AC Milan

AC Milan

4
Monza

Monza

1

Elite Club Friendlies 05/09/20

AC Milan

AC Milan

4
Monza

Monza

1

AC Milan and Monza have only met seven times in history, with Rossoneri winning six times. The only time Monza avoided a loss was in a friendly last year, although they did lose that one on penalties as well.

Team news and form guide

Monza: On a solid run of form

While they are undefeated in their last three Serie A games, Monza have been inconsistent in their form lately and for the most of the season, but that's enough to keep them safely in the middle of the standings. Meanwhile, Samuele Vignato and Gianluca Caprari are sidelined through injury, while for Monza while Papu Gomez remains a long-term absentee via his lengthy ban.

Predicted LineupDi Gregorio – Izzo, Mari, Caldirola – Birindelli, Gagliardini, Pessina, Zerbin – Mota, Colpani – Colombo

Italy Serie A 24/02/24

W

Salernitana

Salernitana

0

Monza

Monza

2

Italy Serie A 18/02/24

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Monza

Monza

4

Italy Serie A 11/02/24

D

Verona

Verona

0

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 03/02/24

D

Udinese

Udinese

0

Monza

Monza

0

Italy Serie A 28/01/24

W

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

0

Monza

Monza

1

AC Milan: Still in pursuit of the title

For nine games in a row in Serie A, AC Milan are without a loss and this run helped them stay in the race for the title, even if Inter still have a sizeable advantage over them. Tommaso Pobega, Fikayo Tomori, Davide Calabria, and Pierre Kalulu are currently injured.

Predicted LineupMaignan – Florenzi, Gabbia, Thiaw, Hernandez – Adli, Reijnders – Pulisic, Loftus-Cheek, Leao – Giroud

Italy Serie A 25/02/24

D

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

UEFA Europa League 22/02/24

L

Rennes

Rennes

3

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 18/02/24

L

Monza

Monza

4

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

UEFA Europa League 15/02/24

W

Rennes

Rennes

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 11/02/24

W

it

Napoli

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Our free expert picks: AC Milan to pick up three points and score first

Before we look at our free betting tips for this game in more detail, let's check a few of the most interesting Monza vs AC Milan betting tips and markets.

For example, we like AC Milan to win to nil at 21/10 (3.10) odds, which comes to a 32.30% probability. Another bet to consider is backing Olivier Giroud to score first at 5/1 (6.00) odds and 16.70% probability.

Hot tip – AC Milan to win

  • AC Milan enjoyed a confidence-building 3-0 win at Rennes in Europa League a few days ago.
  • With seven wins in their last eight Serie A games, AC Milan are in great form at the moment.

Other tips

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Monza have averaged just 1.92 total goals per game at home in Serie A this season.
  • We saw a total of one goal in Monza's last three games in the league.

AC Milan to score first

  • AC Milan have scored first in all seven duels with Monza so far.
  • We saw Milan score the first goal in nine of their last 10 games in all competitions.

Player to watch: Olivier Giroud

With 11 goals in Serie A this season, Olivier Giroud only sits behind Vlahovic and Martinez in the list of top scorers in the league. Some might argue that at the age of 37, this is one of Giroud's best seasons.

Olivier Giroud
Will Giroud score first again? – Photo by Icon Sport

Giroud to score first a smart bet

The experienced French forward was the first goalscorer in Serie A many times this season – five of his 11 goals were the first goal of the match and nine of those goals have come in the first half.


Avatar of Vladimir Kovacevic
Vladimir Kovacevic

Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.