AC Milan finish their Serie A campaign with a home clash against bottom-of-the-table Monza at San Siro on Saturday. Our Milan vs Monza prediction and Serie A betting tips consider whether the hosts can end a disappointing season with three points.
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Milan vs Monza prediction: Hosts to record a routine victory
Key stats
- Our Milan vs Monza betting tips take into account that Milan have won 10 of their 11 matches against clubs currently in Serie A's bottom six this season.
- Only two clubs in Serie A history have ever taken fewer points than Monza's current tally of 18, Chievo Verona in 2018-19 and Salernitana last season (both 17).
- Milan have won both previous Serie A matches against Monza by a combined score of 7-1.
- With 3.5 goals conceded per game away to Milan in Serie A, that is Monza's worst record against any club in the top flight.
Correct score prediction: Milan 3-1 Monza
Milan have had a disastrous end to the season, losing in the final of the Coppa Italia, and missing out on Europe in the league, but this is a kind fixture for them to finish with, given Monza's struggles.
The visitors ended an 11-game losing run on the road by beating Udinese two weeks ago, but they followed that up with a 3-1 defeat at home to Empoli last time out, and there is little down for Alessandro Nesta's men here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Milan the clear favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are commanding favourites for this encounter, with an implied probability of 81.8% that they will come away with all three points.
Monza have lost 25 games in Serie A this season, and Milan's strong form against clubs near the bottom suggests they will add to that unwanted tally here.
The visitors have also conceded a whopping 67 goals, while the Rossoneri have been rather prolific in attack, scoring 59, so Milan to win with a (-2) handicap also has good value at 6/4.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe and beyond, today’s betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Hosts targeting a fifth win in six
Our Milan vs Monza prediction suggests we will see a routine win for the home side, after they won 1-0 in the reverse, meaning they have now won four of the five meetings between the clubs in the top flight.
Elite Club Friendlies 13/08/24
AC Milan
Monza
Italy Serie A 18/02/24
Monza
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 17/12/23
AC Milan
Monza
Elite Club Friendlies 08/08/23
Monza
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 18/02/23
Monza
AC Milan
Milan preview: Jovic to deputise for suspended frontman
Rafael Leao was left on the bench last weekend, but in what could be his farewell Milan appearance, the Portuguese winger may well be reinstated to the starting XI on the left-hand side.
Santiago Gimenez will play no part, though, as the Milan striker was sent off at Roma last weekend, and will join Kyle Walker, Theo Hernandez, Warren Bondo and Samuel Chukwueze on the sidelines.
Predicted Lineup: Maignan (GK); Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Musah, Loftus-Cheek, Reijnders, Jimenez, Pulisic, Jovic & Leao
Italy Serie A 09/05/25 W Bologna 1 AC Milan 3 Italy Serie A 05/05/25 W Genoa 1 AC Milan 2 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 W Venezia 0 AC Milan 2 Coppa Italia 23/04/25 W Inter Milan 0 AC Milan 3 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 L Atalanta 1 AC Milan 0
Monza preview: Visitors to bow out of Serie A with weakened XI
Monza are set to be without a number of important first-team players once again, as Roberto Gagliardini and Danilo D’Ambrosio will miss out on a return to San Siro.
On top of that, Nesta is also unable to call on Silvere Ganvoula, Matteo Pessina, Armando Izzo and Omari Forson for this season finale.
Predicted Lineup: Pizzignacco (GK); Pedro Pereira, Brorsson, Caldirola, Birindelli, Castrovilli, Bianco, Akpa Akpro, Kyriakopoulos, Keita Balde & Caprari
Italy Serie A 11/05/25 W Udinese 1 Monza 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 L Atalanta 4 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 L Juventus 2 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 19/04/25 L Napoli 1 Monza 0 Italy Serie A 12/04/25 L Venezia 1 Monza 0
Player to watch: Tijjani Reijnders
There is no doubt about who Milan's player of the season has been, and the Dutchman will hope to have an impact on the final day, with many potential suitors possibly watching on.
Reijnders has scored 15 goals across all competitions for the Rossoneri this season, and is one of just two players to reach double figures in Serie A, along with Christian Pulisic.