AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/09/2024

AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction
The Liverpool players look dejected against Nottingham Forest - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS - Yes

Both teams have scored in five of AC Milan's last six outings

Liverpool make the trip to Italy to face a very familiar opponent in their opening game of the new Champions League format.

AC Milan have both won and lost Champions League finals against Liverpool over the years and we're expecting another entertaining 90 minutes between the pair on Tuesday night.

AC Milan vs Liverpool prediction: Both teams to score?

Key Stats

  • Five of the last seven competitive and non-competitive meetings between these two clubs have produced goals at both ends of the pitch.
  • Liverpool have only failed to score in two of their last six matches across all competitions.
  • Luis Diaz has scored three goals for Liverpool this season.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 1-2 Liverpool

Liverpool have won five of their last seven encounters with AC Milan in all competitions, claiming a 4-1 win when the pair last locked horns for a friendly in 2022, and we're backing the Premier League side to score at least two goals in this game as they have done in four of their last six fixtures.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against the hosts

  • HOME: 200/67 (3.99) – 25.1%
  • DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
  • AWAY: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Liverpool are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 51.3% and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Liverpool dominate

Liverpool have won four of their last five head-to-heads with AC Milan in all competitions with the pair locking horns in the 2021/22 Champions League.

Elite Club Friendlies 16/12/22

Liverpool

Liverpool

4
AC Milan

AC Milan

1

UEFA Champions League 07/12/21

AC Milan

AC Milan

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

2

UEFA Champions League 15/09/21

Liverpool

Liverpool

3
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Elite Club Friendlies 31/07/16

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
AC Milan

AC Milan

0

AC Milan preview: Slow start to the season

AC Milan picked up their first league win of the season on Saturday against Venezia and will be hoping to build on that result.

The Italian giants had drawn two and lost one of their opening three league games and even with that win they are outside of the European places in Serie A right now.

Ismael Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, Malick Thiaw and Marco Sportiello could miss the Liverpool game due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Hernandez, Gabbia, Royal, Pavlovic, Loftus-Cheek, Pulisic, Reijnders, Fofana, Abraham & Leao

UEFA Champions League 01/10/24

L

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Italy Serie A 27/09/24

W

Lecce

Lecce

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 22/09/24

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

UEFA Champions League 17/09/24

L

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 14/09/24

W

Venezia

Venezia

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

4

Liverpool preview: Slipped up at home on Saturday

Arne Slot's unbeaten start to the new season came to an abrupt end at home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday.

The Dutchman had won his opening three league games against Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United but lost 1-0 unexpectedly at the weekend.

Harvey Elliot has a broken foot and Federico Chiesa isn't match fit so both look set to miss the trip to Italy on Tuesday.

Predicted lineup: Alisson (GK), van Dijk, Robertson, Alexander-Arnold, Konate, Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Gravenberch, Salah, Jota & Diaz

UEFA Champions League 02/10/24

W

Bologna

Bologna

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 28/09/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England EFL Cup 25/09/24

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

5

England Premier League 21/09/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

UEFA Champions League 17/09/24

W

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

3

Player to watch: Mohamed Salah

Mo Salah will be hoping to put in an inspired performance for Liverpool on Tuesday night when he makes a return to Italy where he enjoyed the best part of three seasons with Fiorentina and Roma.

Mo Salah player to watch
A new look Mo Salah dribbles forward with the ball against Sevilla – Photo by Imago

It was during his time in Italy that Salah really found his goalscoring touch, netting 19 goals in 41 games during his final season with Roma before signing for Liverpool.

Liverpool need a big performance from their star player

The Egyptian forward has scored three goals and provided three assists in the Premier League this season, so you can see why we're backing the 32-year-old to shine against AC Milan this week.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things