Liverpool vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips – 26/07/2025
Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

BTTS & Over 2.5 goals

Liverpool have scored in each of their last 11 matches, despite only winning five, keeping just two clean sheets in that time.

Liverpool and AC Milan will face off in Hong Kong in a pre-season friendly at Kai Tak Sports Park on Saturday. This is Liverpool’s first match on their Far East tour, while Milan have already lost to English opposition in the form of Arsenal a few days ago.

Liverpool vs AC Milan prediction: Arne Slot's men set for another pre-season win

Key Stats

  • Liverpool have won six straight matches against AC Milan, since losing the 2007 Champions League final to the Rossoneri.
  • Milan have lost three of their last four matches, including their opening friendly of preseason against Arsenal on Wednesday.

Correct score prediction: Liverpool 3-1 AC Milan

A summer of significant spending means Liverpool could be a force to be reckoned with next season, and Milan have lost important players over the past month, and are lagging behind in their much-needed rebuild.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Milan

  • HOME: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
  • DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
  • AWAY: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Liverpool are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 66.7% and we agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Liverpool dominant

Famously, Liverpool and AC Milan faced off in both the 2005 and 2007 Champions League finals, in which either side won one each, but the English club have been dominant in the meetings since.

In three Champions League encounters and three friendlies, Liverpool have won all six meetings, including on matchday one of the league phase last September, when Arne Slot’s men won 3-1 at San Siro.

UEFA Champions League 17/09/24

AC Milan

AC Milan

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

3

Elite Club Friendlies 16/12/22

Liverpool

Liverpool

4
AC Milan

AC Milan

1

UEFA Champions League 07/12/21

AC Milan

AC Milan

1
Liverpool

Liverpool

2

UEFA Champions League 15/09/21

Liverpool

Liverpool

3
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Elite Club Friendlies 31/07/16

Liverpool

Liverpool

2
AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Liverpool preview: New-look squad taking shape

Virgil van Dijk, Alexis Mac Allister, Ibrahima Konate, Alisson and Luis Diaz were all absent for the friendly against Preston, but that quintet could all be involved in some capacity during the club’s trip to the Far East.

Florian Wirtz could be in line for his Liverpool debut, after not being involved against Preston, where Jeremie Frimpong, Milos Kerkez and Giorgi Mamardashvili were all handed their first starts.

Predicted lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Frimpong, Konate, Gomez, Kerkez, Gravenberch, Endo, Jones, Salah, Nunez & Ngumoha

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

England Premier League 04/05/25

L

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 27/04/25

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

5

England Premier League 20/04/25

W

Leicester

Leicester

0

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

England Premier League 13/04/25

W

West Ham

West Ham

1

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

AC Milan preview: No recognised striker available

Santiago Gimenez was afforded extended leave after featuring at the Gold Cup for Mexico, so Rafael Leao was moved into a central striking role against Arsenal, following the departures of Luka Jovic, Tammy Abraham and Francesco Camarda.

Samuele Ricci and Luka Modric have come in as Milan seek to replace the influence of Tijjani Reijnders in midfield, but the latter is yet to feature in Rossoneri colours.

Predicted lineup: Terracciano (GK), Tomori, Thiaw, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Ricci, Musah, Loftus-Cheek, Chukwueze, Leao & Okafor

Italy Serie A 09/05/25

W

Bologna

Bologna

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

W

Genoa

Genoa

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Venezia

Venezia

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 23/04/25

W

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 20/04/25

L

Atalanta

Atalanta

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Player to watch: Florian Wirtz

All eyes will be on Liverpool’s new £116m man, if he starts in this one, as fans were left a little disappointed when he was not part of the squad at Preston.

Summer transfer window 2025
Florian Wirtz could make his Liverpool debut this week – Photo by Imago

After another campaign that saw the attacking midfielder register double figures for both goals and assists, his integration into English football will be under the spotlight this season, and this friendly could be a first opportunity for him to showcase his ability.


Andrew graduated with a First Class Honours degree in Sports Journalism from UCFB in Manchester in 2022, and continues to live his dream of writing and reporting on sport. As well as football, Andrew closely follows Golf, Tennis and Athletics, and believes the Olympics is the world's greatest event.