Lazio vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/03/2024

Lazio
01/03/24 - 19:45

Finished

0

-

1

AC Milan

Lazio - AC Milan

Italy Serie A - Stadio Olimpico

Lazio vs AC Milan prediction
AC Milan have a strong recent record against Lazio – Photo by Icon Sport

Lazio are aiming to get their quest for continental qualification back on track on Friday evening when they host AC Milan in Serie A at the Stadio Olimpico. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the tussle below.

Lazio vs AC Milan predictions: Can Milan eke out a victory in the capital?

Lazio vs AC Milan Predictions
Our pick

💥 Both teams to score

Yes

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

⚽ Draw no Bet

AC Milan

Lazio’s form has dipped of late and their return of three defeats from their last five league assignments has knocked them down the standings. Milan meanwhile, have lost only once in 11 league matches and will be targeting more points on Friday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts are priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The bookmakers have given AC Milan the edge and their run of just one loss in 11 Serie A fixtures suggests the market makers have set the prices right. Lazio have failed to win four of their last seven tests on home soil.

Last five H2Hs: Milan targeting hattrick of successive wins

Italy Serie A 30/09/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Lazio

Lazio

0

Italy Serie A 06/05/23

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Lazio

Lazio

0

Italy Serie A 24/01/23

Lazio

Lazio

4
AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Italy Serie A 24/04/22

Lazio

Lazio

1
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

Coppa Italia 09/02/22

AC Milan

AC Milan

4
Lazio

Lazio

0

AC Milan’s 2-0 win over Lazio in September was their second win on the bounce over the Biancocelesti and their five wins in six meetings with their rivals overall since 2021.

Team news and form guide

Lazio: Hosts aiming to bounce back

Defender Patric and midfielder Nicolo Rovella are injured and unavailable for Lazio. The hosts conceded twice in the second half in their loss to Fiorentina last time out.

Predicted lineup: Provedel – Lazzari, Casale, Romagnoli, Marusic – Guendouzi, Cataldi, Alberto – Isaksen, Anderson, Immobile

Italy Serie A 26/05/24

D

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

1

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 19/05/24

D

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

1

Lazio

Lazio

1

Italy Serie A 12/05/24

W

Empoli

Empoli

0

Lazio

Lazio

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/24

D

Monza

Monza

2

Lazio

Lazio

2

Italy Serie A 27/04/24

W

Verona

Verona

0

Lazio

Lazio

1

AC Milan: Visitor’s squad looks strong

Tommaso Pobega has a hamstring injury and won't play on Friday while Luka Jovic is suspended and won't be involved either.

Predicted lineup: Maignan – Florenzi, Thiaw, Gabbia, Hernandez – Adli, Bennacer, Pulisic, Loftus-Cheek, Leao – Giroud

Italy Serie A 25/05/24

D

Salernitana

Salernitana

3

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 18/05/24

L

Torino

Torino

3

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

Italy Serie A 11/05/24

W

Cagliari

Cagliari

1

AC Milan

AC Milan

5

Italy Serie A 05/05/24

D

Genoa

Genoa

3

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 27/04/24

D

Juventus

Juventus

0

AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Our free expert picks: AC Milan to nick 2-1 victory in Rome?

If you’re on the lookout for more expert football betting tips, visit our page to see our predictions for the weekend’s schedule.

AC Milan are Friday’s expected winners and they are also worth weighing up as an option in the double chance market for more cautious bettors at 1/3 (1.33). That outcome has a 75% probability of hitting the mark according to the latest figures.

Hot tip – Both Teams to Score

  • Lazio scored at least one in five of their last six home games in all competitions.
  • 80% of Milan’s last ten matches have featured goals from both teams.

Other tips

Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

  • Lazio scored once in three of their last four assignments.
  • Milan notched exactly twice in 70% of their last ten away games.

AC Milan Draw no Bet

  • AC Milan have won five of their last six tussles with Lazio.
  • Lazio dropped points in three of their last five home contests in Serie A.
Lazio vs AC Milan prediction
Rafael Leao dazzled against Lazio earlier in the campaign – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Rafael Leão

Rafael Leão was the star of the show when Milan beat Lazio 2-0 in September and the Portuguese winger provided assists for both of the Rossoneri’s goals in their comfortable triumph.

Leão can be impossible to stop

Rafael Leão has match-winning potential in his boots and the powerful wide attacker has already scored four goals and claimed seven assists in Serie A this term. Leão tore Lazio to shreds in September and he could be a significant menace again in Friday’s rematch.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.