Following the end of the international break, the San Siro stadium will see Milan take on an important game against Fiorentina in the Serie A on Sunday, October 19.
The Rossoneri have begun the campaign brilliantly, currently sitting second in the table with four wins and one draw in their first five league games. They failed to extend their winning streak before the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers as they played a 0-0 draw against Juventus.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina have struggled significantly, having yet to secure a league win this term, as reflected in their disappointing 2-1 loss against AS Roma in their last league outing.
Read our AC Milan vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check Serie A predictions.
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AC Milan vs Fiorentina prediction: Home team to win
Key statistics
- The Rossoneri have three first-half wins in their last four games this season.
- AC Milan have won four of their last five home games this season.
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of their last five games.
Correct score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Fiorentina
Considering AC Milan's exceptional scoring record at home and Fiorentina's poor defensive record on the road this season, we predict a 3-1 victory for the home team. We believe the host’s attacking edge will prove too much for the Viola. Fiorentina have conceded multiple goals in three of their last five league matches, which could see them struggle to contain the host attack.
Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan are clear favourites
- Home: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.4%
- Draw: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
- Away: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
The odds given by the bookmakers show that AC Milan are clear favourites with a 65.4% chance of victory at 1.53 odds. Fiorentina face an uphill battle with only a 16.7% chance at 6.00 odds, while a draw is valued at 4.20, equating to a 23.8% probability.
Most recent head-to-head: Tight record
Looking at their recent head-to-head record, AC Milan and Fiorentina have shared a tight rivalry in their last five meetings. Milan have two wins, while Fiorentina have claimed two victories and one match ended in a draw. Goals have been a common feature in this fixture, with four of the last six encounters producing over 2.5 goals. Their most recent Serie A game ended in a 2–2 draw in April 2025.
Italy Serie A 05/04/25
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 06/10/24
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 30/03/24
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 25/11/23
AC Milan
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 04/03/23
Fiorentina
AC Milan
After reviewing our key AC Milan vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
AC Milan preview: Key players injured
Massimiliano Allegri is battling with some injuries to key players. Alexis Saelemaekers is doubtful for the upcoming match due to a muscle injury. Ardon Jashari is sidelined through injury, while Christian Pulisic remains unavailable with a hamstring injury, with both players expected to return in November.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Saelemaekers, Fofana, Modric, Loftus-Cheek, Bartesaghi, Leao & Gimenez
Last five fixtures
- 05.10.25 – Juventus 0 – 0 AC Milan
- 28.09.25 – AC Milan 2 – 1 Napoli
- 23.09.25 – AC Milan 3 – 0 Lecce
- 20.09.25 – Udinese 0 – 3 AC Milan
- 14.09.25 – AC Milan 1 – 0 Bologna
Fiorentina preview: Visitors struggling with injuries
Stefano Pioli’s team will be missing the presence of Christian Kouame, who is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury and remains doubtful for the upcoming fixture. Simon Sohm is also a doubt, as he deals with a foot injury.
Moise Kean is sidelined with an ankle injury and is expected to return in late October, while Tariq Lamptey is unavailable due to a knee injury, with a projected comeback in November.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Pongracic, Mari, Ranieri, Dodo, Mandragora, Nicolussi Caviglia, Fazzini, Gosens, Kean & Piccoli
Last five fixtures
- 05.10.25 – Fiorentina 1 – 2 AS Roma
- 02.10.25 – Fiorentina 2 – 0 Sigma Olomouc
- 28.09.25 – Pisa 0 – 0 Fiorentina
- 21.09.25 – Fiorentina 1 – 2 Como
- 13.09.25 – Fiorentina 1 – 3 Napoli
Player to watch: Youssouf Fofana
Looking at the clash, Youssouf Fofana will be a major threat for the visitors at the San Siro. The forward has been in good form for the Rossoneri this season. He has contributed one goal and two assists in his last five games. He will be someone Fiorentina should watch out for in the game.