AC Milan vs Como prediction, odds & betting tips – 18/02/2026
AC Milan players celerbating || Credit IMAGO / Gribaudi/ImagePhoto
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BTTS (Yes) and over 2.5 goals

BTTS and over 2.5 goals have been played in their last four meetings.

AC Milan will welcome Como to San Siro on Wednesday in Serie A, looking to keep up the pressure on rivals Inter Milan by winning their game in hand, but also knowing that the visitors will be no pushovers. 

The Rossoneri needed clinical finishing rather than dominance to extend their Serie A unbeaten streak to 23 matches in a row, edging past Pisa 2–1. 

The victory keeps the hosts within sight of leaders Inter, though the eight-point gap to their city rivals leaves little room for error if they are to sustain a title challenge. Returning to San Siro for the first time in a month could provide a timely lift, particularly as Milan are unbeaten in their last 10 home league games.

The visitors, meanwhile, saw their push for European qualification stall with a 2–1 defeat to Fiorentina, their first loss in six matches. However, encouragement can be drawn from their impressive away form, having won five consecutive matches on the road in all competitions. 

With one of Serie A’s strongest defensive records away from home, Como may look to stay compact and frustrate their high-flying host in pursuit of a fourth straight away win.

Read our AC Milan vs Como predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Serie A predictions.

AC Milan vs Como prediction: Home team to get a narrow win

Key statistics

  • Both teams have scored and over 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last four meetings.
  • AC Milan are unbeaten in their last 23 Serie A games. 
  • Como have scored at least a goal in four of their last five games.

Correct score prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Como

Milan are in good form heading into this tie and we expect them to secure a narrow victory in this encounter based on the quality of their team and their eye for the title.

We predict a 2-1 success for Milan, as the home side have a habit of finding ways to win even when they do not entirely dominate the game. 

We believe the visitors will find the net, given that they have also scored a lot of goals this season, but the individual quality of the Milan forwards should see them edge the contest.

Pre-match odds and win probability: AC Milan are slightly favoured

  • Home: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
  • Draw: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • Away: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%

*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*

AC Milan have a narrow edge going into this fixture, with odds of 2.10 implying a 47.6% chance of a home victory. Milan’s quality and home advantage tilt expectations in their favour, though not decisively.

Both the draw and a Como win are priced identically at 3.40, each carrying a 29.4% implied probability. That symmetry highlights expectations of a competitive contest, with Como seen as capable of taking something from the game. 

Most recent head-to-head: Rossoneri maintain control

Looking at the history between these two sides, the recent record is strongly in favour of Milan. The last five meetings between Milan and Como have seen the home side secure five victories.

In their most recent clash in January 2026, Milan secured a 3-1 victory away from home, which followed a hard-fought 2-1 win in early 2025. However, the gap between the two clubs has narrowed significantly due to Como’s recent rise.

Italy Serie A 08/02/26

AC Milan

AC Milan

0
Como

Como

0

Italy Serie A 15/01/26

Como

Como

1
AC Milan

AC Milan

3

Italy Serie A 21/12/25

Como

Como

0
AC Milan

AC Milan

0

Italy Serie A 15/03/25

AC Milan

AC Milan

2
Como

Como

1

Italy Serie A 14/01/25

Como

Como

1
AC Milan

AC Milan

2

After reviewing our key AC Milan vs Como predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.

AC Milan preview: Suspension setback, but options remain

AC Milan will be without Adrien Rabiot due to suspension, while Santiago Gimenez is sidelined through injury. The absence of Rabiot could affect balance in midfield, and Gimenez’s unavailability limits attacking depth, but they still possess enough quality to adjust accordingly.

Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Athekame, Fofana, Modric, Ricci, Bartesaghi, Loftus-Cheek & Nkunku

Last five fixtures

  • 13.02.26 – Pisa 1–2 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • 03.02.26 – Bologna 0–3 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • 25.01.26 – AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan (Serie A)
  • 18.01.26 – AC Milan 1–0 Lecce (Serie A)
  • 15.01.26 – Como 1–3 AC Milan (Serie A)

Como preview: Defensive concerns and suspension  

Como are missing Assane Diao and Edoardo Goldaniga through injury, weakening their defensive and midfield options. In addition, Alvaro Morata is suspended, dealing a blow to their attacking line and forcing a likely reshuffle in the final third.

Predicted lineup: Butez (GK), Vojvoda, Ramon, Kempf, Valle, Perrone, Da Cunha, Kuhn, Paz, Baturina & Douvikas

Last five fixtures

  • 14.02.26 – Como 1–2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
  • 10.02.26 – Napoli 1–1 Como (P) (Coppa Italia)
  • 01.02.26 – Como 0–0 Atalanta (Serie A)
  • 27.01.26 – Fiorentina 1–3 Como (Coppa Italia)
  • 24.01.26 – Como 6–0 Torino (Serie A)

Player to watch: Christopher Nkunku

Christopher Nkunku is the player to watch for the home side, as he has been a creative force during their recent run of form. The forward has contributed three goals in his last six games, showing great versatility in the attacking third. 

Christopher Nkunku scores for AC Milan || Credit - IMAGO / Sportimage
Christopher Nkunku scores for AC Milan || Credit – IMAGO / Sportimage

His ability to find space between the lines and his clinical nature in front of goal make him the primary threat to a Como defence that occasionally leaves gaps while committed to their offensive style.

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