AC Milan will take on Bologna on Wednesday, 14 May, in the final of the Coppa Italia.
The hosts come into the match in an interesting situation. While they have been desperately poor in the league, they are seeking their second trophy of the season after winning the Supercoppa Italiana back in January.
Bologna, meanwhile, are chasing their first trophy in more than 50 years, so it will be fascinating to see how they deal with that pressure.
As part of this season's final round of Coppa Italia betting tips, check out our AC Milan vs Bologna prediction below.
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AC Milan vs Bologna prediction: Experience to get the win
Key stats
- AC Milan have scored two or more goals in four of their last six matches against Bologna.
- Bologna have won just two of their last seven matches.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five meetings between these two clubs.
Correct score prediction: AC Milan 2-1 Bologna
The build-up to the Coppa Italia final has been slightly unusual as these two teams only played each other last week. On that occasion, AC Milan ran out as 3-1 winners, and it does feel as if AC Milan are coming into the match in their best form of the season, while Bologna are experiencing their worst run of form of the year.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Milan are the narrow favourites
- HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The AC Milan vs Bologna odds are a perfect illustration of just how tough this match is to call, with the bookies pricing all three results close to each other. Ladbrokes have made AC Milan the slight favourites and have given them a 40% chance of winning, while Bologna have been given a 35.7% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage AC Milan
AC Milan have lost just one of their last 19 matches against Bologna, which only reinforces our prediction of a victory for the Rossoneri on Wednesday night. Bologna did manage to beat AC Milan earlier in the season, though, so this current group do have recent experience of overcoming Milan.
Italy Serie A 09/05/25
AC Milan
Bologna
Italy Serie A 27/02/25
Bologna
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 26/10/24
Bologna
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 27/01/24
AC Milan
Bologna
Italy Serie A 21/08/23
Bologna
AC Milan
AC Milan preview: Key man to return
Rafael Leao will return to the AC Milan starting XI for the final, which will be a concern for Bologna, considering Milan beat them 3-1 last week without their mercurial winger. Injury concerns for AC Milan include Fikayo Tomori, Ricardo Sottil and Warren Bondo.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Jimenez, Reijnders, Fofana, Hernandez, Pulisic, Leao, Jovic
Italy Serie A 09/05/25
W
Bologna
1
AC Milan
3
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
W
Genoa
1
AC Milan
2
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Venezia
0
AC Milan
2
Coppa Italia 23/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
AC Milan
3
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
L
Atalanta
1
AC Milan
0
Bologna preview: Castro to miss out
The biggest blow for Bologna ahead of the cup final is the news that Santiago Castro will miss out due to a foot injury. There are also concerns around Dan Ndoye's availability as the Swiss forward has now missed three matches in a row with a thigh injury. Emil Holm should be fit enough for a return after his layoff.
Predicted lineup: Skorupski (GK), Calabria, Beukema, Lucumi, Miranda, Ferguson, Freuler, Orsolini, Odgaard, Dominguez, Dallinga
Italy Serie A 09/05/25
L
AC Milan
3
Bologna
1
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
D
Juventus
1
Bologna
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
D
Udinese
0
Bologna
0
Coppa Italia 24/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Bologna
2
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
Bologna
1
Player to watch: Rafael Leao
Rafael Leao will be back in the starting XI for AC Milan on Wednesday night after missing the league match with Bologna last week, and he is the type of player who thrives on the big stage. Leao has had one of his quieter seasons for Milan, but the tricky winger is still the man that Bologna will fear the most on the night and rightfully so.