AC Milan and Bari will play their first competitive matches of the 2025/26 season this weekend when they meet in the first round of the Coppa Italia.
The match marks the beginning of potential Milan redemption after they lost out in the final to Bologna at the end of last season.
For Bari, it's a chance to test themselves against one of the strongest teams in Italy ahead of their upcoming Serie B campaign.
As part of the first round of Coppa Italia betting tips, here is our AC Milan vs Bari prediction.
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AC Milan vs Bari prediction: The hosts to cruise through
Key Stats
- AC Milan have won their last four matches against lower league opposition.
- Bari have failed to win four of their last five competitive matches.
- Both teams have scored in three of AC Milan's last four matches.
Correct score prediction: AC Milan 3-1 Bari
While AC Milan are always keen to win silverware, they will be doubly determined to do well in the Coppa Italia this year after their dismal display in last year's final. Bari aren't even one of the better teams in Serie B, so the hosts shouldn't find this one too difficult.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Milan start as big favourites
- HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The AC Milan vs Bari odds suggest that AC Milan should be winning this match with ease, something our prediction aligns with. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a massive 83.3% chance of winning the match inside 90 minutes, while Bari have been given just a 7.7% chance of springing a surprise at the San Siro.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: A first meeting in ten years
There isn't too much to learn from looking at the recent H2H record between AC Milan and Bari, as the two clubs haven't met since 2015, and even then, it was a pre-season friendly. Their last competitive clash came in 2011, and the two squads have changed significantly since then. For what it's worth, AC Milan have won four of the last five H2Hs.
AC Milan preview: A dilemma for Allegri
Max Allegri will be in two minds about what to do this week. On one hand, it's a cup game against lower league opposition, so fringe players should expect a game. However, on the other hand, it's his first competitive match in charge of the club, so he won't want to lose it. Either way, new signings should feautre, including Ardon Jashari and Pervis Estupinan.
Predicted lineup: Terracciano (GK), De Winter, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Estupinan, Ricci, Musah, Jashari, Pulisic, Gimenez, Leao
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Portsmouth
1
Hull
1
England Championship 26/04/25
L
Derby
1
Hull
0
England Championship 21/04/25
W
Preston
1
Hull
2
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Swansea
1
Hull
0
England Championship 14/04/25
D
Coventry
1
Hull
1
Bari preview: A couple of injuries to report
Bari are unlikely to play anything other than their strongest possible XI on Tuesday, with the chance to win at the San Siro not an opportunity many of these players will ever get again. The Serie B side will be without a couple of players, with Vincenzo Colangiuli and Sheriff Kassama both in the treatment room.
Predicted lineup: Cerofolini (GK), Nikolaou, Vicari, Pucino, Braunoder, Bellomo, Pagano, Tripaldelli, Sibilli, Pereiro, Gytkjaer
England Championship 03/05/25
D
Swansea
3
Oxford Utd
3
England Championship 26/04/25
W
Sunderland
0
Oxford Utd
2
England Championship 21/04/25
D
Cardiff
1
Oxford Utd
1
England Championship 18/04/25
L
Leeds
1
Oxford Utd
0
England Championship 12/04/25
W
Sheff Wed
0
Oxford Utd
1
Player to watch: Rafael Leao
For the past few seasons, Rafael Leao has been the subject of severe transfer speculation, but after an indifferent 2024/25 season, the Portuguese winger is almost certainly staying at AC Milan this summer. Leao will be looking to get back to his brilliant best this season ahead of the World Cup next summer. Can he start as he means to go on against Bari?