USA vs Japan prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/06/2024

The SheBelieves Cup is finally here and we can’t wait for the opening game, which will be the match between Japan and the USA on the 6^th of April. The venue? Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Is the home-field advantage going to prove decisive? Find out the answer in our USA vs Japan betting tips below.

USA vs Japan prediction: Unsurprising US win

Key Stats

• USA won three consecutive games in all tournaments.
• The last head-to-head between the two teams resulted in a thrifty 1-0 win.
• Japan failed to score against the US in the previous direct game, as the Japanese ladies produced only one shot on target in 90 minutes of play.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies’ decision shocks no one

• HOME: -125 – 55.1%
• DRAW: +255 – 27.9%
• AWAY: +310 – 17.0%

*These USA vs Japan odds are subject to change

As predicted, USA are the bookmakers’ expected winners, with a staggering 55.1% win probability at -125. The home-field advantage at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is enough to help the USWNT get a routine win over poor Japan. The visitors have been performing admirably recently as well, but we believe that we will see under 0.5 Japan goals. The odds of that happening look very good, as the bookies give our USA vs Japan prediction a solid 47.62% success chance.

Last five H2Hs: Traditions will be honored

As you see, the last head-to-head resulted in a thrifty 1-0 US win. We believe the fans will see more of the same on the 6^th of April as well.

USA team news and form: Consistent USA want the trophy

SheBelieves Cup hosts USA are eager to get more silverware. To do so, Morgan and her teammates will have to prove our USA vs Japan predictions right by winning over their old rival. The Mexican ladies were the last ones to defeat the USWNT, but ever since then, the USA have been crushing it.

Predicted lineup: Naeher (GK), Fox, Girma, Davidson, Dunn, Coffey, Albert, Rodman, Horan, Morgan & Lavelle

CONCACAF Gold Cup 02/07/25

W

Guatemala

1

USA

2

CONCACAF Gold Cup 29/06/25

W

Costa Rica

2 (3)

USA

2 (4)

CONCACAF Gold Cup 22/06/25

W

Haiti

1

USA

2

CONCACAF Gold Cup 20/06/25

W

Saudi Arabia

0

USA

1

CONCACAF Gold Cup 15/06/25

W

Trinidad & Tobago

0

USA

5

Japan team news and form: Japan don’t impress

Yes, Japan did defeat Korea DPR in their last official outing, but they didn’t really impress anyone with their display. The result on the scoreboard after 90 minutes of play was 2-1 in their favor, but the statistics prove it was anyone’s game for the taking. Korea had more shots on target, but Japan saw more of the ball.

Predicted lineup: Yamashita (GK), Shimizu, Takahashi, Minami, Kitagawa, Kumagai, Fujino, Hasegawa, Nagano, Ueno & Tanaka

Womenu2019s International 27/06/25

L

Spain Women

3

Japan Women

1

Womenu2019s International 02/06/25

L

Brazil Women

2

Japan Women

1

Womenu2019s International 31/05/25

L

Brazil Women

3

Japan Women

1

Womenu2019s International 06/04/25

D

Colombia Women

1

Japan Women

1

Womenu2019s International 27/02/25

W

USA Women

1

Japan Women

2

Player to watch: Alex Morgan

We can all agree that Alex Morgan will be the most influential player on the pitch at Merecedes-Benz Stadium, right? The 34-year-old attacking midfielder is close to the end of her professional career, but we are sure that she’d like another go at the SheBelieves Cup title this year.

Prolific Morgan will make an impact

Alex Morgan is historically speaking the best player that ever played for the USWNT. She has what it takes to prove our USA vs Japan predictions correct, and we can’t see her perform at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.