The international friendly between the USMNT and Mexico will be played on the 16th of October and we do have a favorite to win the clash. Find out who that is in the following professional USA vs Mexico betting tips listed below.
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USA vs Mexico prediction: USA to edge a win over southern neighbors
Key Stats
- 80.0% of the last five USA vs Mexico head-to-heads resulted without goals galore.
- USA won three of the last five matches against this opponent.
- Five of Mexico’s last six games in all competitions didn’t have BTTS after 90 minutes of play.
Correct score prediction: USA 2-0 Mexico
Seeing as Mexico’s last win over the USMNT was recorded on the 7th of July, 2019, we believe our key USA vs Mexico predictions have a solid success chance this week. It’s been some time since the US side last lost a match against Mexico. With Mauricio Pochettino in charge, they should avoid defeat as well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mexico must disprove critics
- HOME: -110 – 51.3%
- DRAW: +305 – 22.0%
- AWAY: +265 – 26.7%
*These USA vs Mexico odds are subject to change
If you check the odds in our USA vs Mexico prediction, you’ll find out that BTTS – No is priced at -125. This means we have about a 55.56% chance of seeing one side failing to score a goal.
In the meantime, USA are the expected winners, with odds priced at -110. They stand a 51.3% chance of securing a win over old nemesis Mexico.
Last five H2Hs: Mexico don’t measure up
The charts below contain the key USA vs Mexico statistics and match facts you should be aware of before placing a wager.
CONCACAF Nations League 25/03/24
USA
Mexico
CONCACAF Nations League 16/06/23
USA
Mexico
International Match 20/04/23
USA
Mexico
North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/22
Mexico
USA
Central America - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/21
USA
Mexico
USA team news and form: Poch to make changes
Surely, the Argentine manager will give some of his substitutes a chance for some first-team action against Mexico. Some of the US’ finest took part in the match against Panama a few days ago. It’s time for the manager to familiarize himself with what the rest can bring to the table.
Predicted lineup: Turner (GK), Fossey, Wiley, McKenzie, Hansen, De La Torre, Musah, Cowell, Aaronson, Pepi & Balogun
International Match 23/01/25
W
Costa Rica
0
USA
3
International Match 18/01/25
W
Venezuela
1
USA
3
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
W
Jamaica
2
USA
4
CONCACAF Nations League 15/11/24
W
Jamaica
0
USA
1
International Match 16/10/24
L
Mexico
2
USA
0
Mexico team news and form: Mexico on the rise
Not only did Mexico avoid defeat in the difficult game against Canada on the 11th of September, but the team was actually close to recording a win against the Canucks! Mexico had 52.0% possession and almost twice as many shots at target.
Predicted lineup: Malagon (GK), Araujo, Guzman, Vazquez, Angulo, Romo, Lira, Alvarado, Pineda, Huerta & Gimenez
African Nations C'ship Qualifying 22/01/25
L
River Plate
2
Mexico
0
CONCACAF Nations League 20/11/24
W
Honduras
0
Mexico
4
CONCACAF Nations League 16/11/24
L
Honduras
2
Mexico
0
International Match 16/10/24
W
USA
0
Mexico
2
Friendlies 13/10/24
D
Valencia
2
Mexico
2
Player to watch: Cesar Huerta
Since the start of the Liga MX campaign, Huerta managed to produce four goal returns. He is undoubtedly one of the key players for the visitors and should be among the starters for coach Javier Aguirre on the 16th of October.
Second player to watch: Christian Pulisic
Pulisic scored a goal and provided a teammate with an assist in recent games. There’s no reason for us to believe he will do poorly against Mexico as well. Moreover, he is the team captain. He will surely be used in the match this week.
