Coach Peter Vermes’ boys will host Toluca at Children’s Mercy Park on the 6th of August in a must-not-lose game against the Liga MX side. Nothing is going according to plan for the US-born manager in MLS. Will he be able to make up for it with a memorable Leagues Cup display? Check out our top answers in the Toluca vs Sporting KC betting tips below.
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Toluca vs Sporting KC prediction: Vermes to sink further
Key Stats
- Coach Peter Vermes has a positive 2-0-1 record against Toluca.
- Sporting Kansas City have the home-field advantage for this Leagues Cup match.
- Two of the three official Toluca vs Sporting KC head-to-heads resulted in over 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 1-3 Sporting KC
One of Sporting KC’s victories over Toluca had 3-0 on the scoreboard after 90 minutes of soccer. The result on the 22nd of February, 2019, could’ve easily been 1-3, as Toluca managed to produce a total of six shots on target and were very close to a consolation goal, which is surely a plus in favor of our Toluca vs Sporting KC prediction.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Almighty Toluca with points up for grabs
- HOME: +130 – 42.2%
- DRAW: +245 – 26.0%
- AWAY: +195 – 31.8%
*These Toluca vs Sporting KC odds are subject to change
Despite hosting the event, Sporting KC are considered by the experts as the underdogs in this Leagues Cup match. The odds behind a Sporting KC win are priced at +195, meaning Vermes’ boys have only a 31.8% chance of securing the three points, while Toluca are the expected winners, with a mind-blowing 42.2% win probability behind them.
Last five H2Hs: Quite a history between these two
Check out the graphics below for more exclusive Toluca vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head statistics and match facts.
Leagues Cup 05/08/23
Sporting Kansas City
Toluca
CONCACAF Champions Cup 01/03/19
Toluca
Sporting Kansas City
CONCACAF Champions Cup 22/02/19
Sporting Kansas City
Toluca
Toluca team news and form: Unbeatable Toluca hit new records
Under coach Renato Paiva’s rule, Toluca thrives. This seems to be the case this season, as the Liga MX side recorded two victories and two draws in four domestic league outings. The players will do their very best to disprove our top Toluca vs Sporting KC predictions.
Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Gallardo, Pereira, Luan, Garcia, Baeza, Ruiz, Araujo, Vega, Dominguez & Paulinho
Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25
W
Club America
0
Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25
D
Club America
0
Toluca
0
Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25
W
Tigres UANL
0
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25
D
Tigres UANL
1
Toluca
1
Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25
W
Monterrey
1
Toluca
2
Sporting Kansas City team news and form: Sporting with a can’t-miss chance
It’s obvious Sporting KC aren’t going to have a memorable Major League Soccer season. The team is down to 12th place in the Western Conference. However, Petar Vermes’ players could make it up to the fans with success in the Leagues Cup.
Predicted lineup: Melia (GK), Leibold, Shelton, Castellanos, Voloder, Radoja, Walter, Thommy, Salloi, Agada & Russell
USA MLS 29/06/25
D
Real Salt Lake
1
Sporting Kansas City
1
USA MLS 26/06/25
W
Charlotte FC
1
Sporting Kansas City
2
USA MLS 15/06/25
L
FC Dallas
4
Sporting Kansas City
2
USA MLS 09/06/25
L
Los Angeles FC
3
Sporting Kansas City
1
USA MLS 01/06/25
W
Houston Dynamo
1
Sporting Kansas City
3
Player to watch: Willy Agada
Agada is the leading Sporting KC finisher in Major League Soccer in the 2024 campaign thus far. He scored a total of nine goals since the start of the competition and we can’t wait to see how he will do in the Leagues Cup as well.
Second player to watch: Paulinho
You might be interested to find out that Paulinho is the top Liga MX goalscorer right now. He scored on three occasions since the start of the season, which is surely a plus in favor of our key Toluca vs Sporting KC predictions.