07/04/25 - 01:00

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Toluca - Santos Laguna

Mexico Liga MX - Estadio Nemesio Diez

The last game on matchday #14 pits Toluca and Santos Laguna against one another in what is expected to be an unforgettable Liga MX clash at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The match is scheduled to be played on the 7^th, as we are already excited about the upcoming 90 minutes. Stay tuned for the inside scoop on our professional Toluca vs Santos Laguna betting tips.

Make sure to check out the rest of our professional Liga MX predictions this week.

Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction: Laguneros will fail again

Our predictions

• Hot tip: Over 1.5 second-half goals
• Correct score – 3-1
• Paulinho to score anytime

Key Stats

• Hot tip reasoning: We saw at least two goals scored in the second halves of three of the last five meetings.
• Paulinho scored 21 goals since the start of the 2024/25 Liga MX campaign.
• Laguneros have the 3^rd-weakest backline in the league, with 26 goals conceded throughout their 13 Clausura games.
• Toluca won three of their last five Liga MX outings.

Correct score prediction: Toluca 3-1 Santos Laguna

Seeing as the home side lost only one of their previous five domestic league outings, we believe our top Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction will succeed. One of the last eight games between the two clubs resulted in a 3-1 Toluca win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: David vs Goliath clash ahead

• HOME: -476 – 81.3%
• DRAW: +570 – 12.7%
• AWAY: +1200 – 6.0%

*These Toluca vs Santos Laguna odds are subject to change

The home side is the expected winner here, with a massive 81.3% win probability before the start of the game. Sure, Toluca’s odds aren’t exactly what you’d like them to be, but a bet on the visitors is just money wasted.

Over 1.5 second-half goals is also an interesting pick here, as the odds behind our primary Toluca vs Santos Laguna prediction are valued at +114, which translates to a 46.73% likelihood.

Last five H2Hs: Hardly a Toluca advantage

Mexico Liga MX 23/09/24

Santos Laguna

2

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 22/02/24

Toluca

1

Santos Laguna

0

Mexico Liga MX 06/11/23

Santos Laguna

3

Toluca

1

Mexico Clausura 24/02/23

Santos Laguna

0

Toluca

5

Mexico Apertura 17/10/22

Santos Laguna

1

Toluca

2

The charts below contain valuable data regarding the Toluca vs Santos Laguna statistics and match facts.

Toluca team news and form: Can Toluca finish the job?

Currently, Toluca are sitting in 2^nd place in the Clausura ranking. The only team that’s above them is Club America, with a thrifty three-point lead. However, if Paulinho and his colleagues prove our Toluca vs Santos Laguna predictions, we might just see them at the top of the table.

Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Barbosa, Pereira, Mendez, Gallardo, Romero, Ruiz, Dominguez, Angulo, Vega & Paulinho

Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25

W

Club America

0

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25

D

Club America

0

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25

W

Tigres UANL

0

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25

D

Tigres UANL

1

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25

W

Monterrey

1

Toluca

2

Santos Laguna team news and form: Laguneros thinking about next season

Too little, too late. That’s all we could say regarding Laguneros’ display in the last five matches. Sure, they got two victories, but even their mathematical chances of advancing to the knockout phase of the tournament are long gone.

Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Abella, Gutierrez, Sanchez, Mata, Vargas, Guemez, Dajome, Villalba, Sordo & Barticciotto

America Friendlies 29/06/25

L

Cruz Azul

2

Santos Laguna

0

Club Friendly List 28/06/25

D

Chivas Guadalajara

2

Santos Laguna

2

Mexico Liga MX 20/04/25

L

Tijuana

4

Santos Laguna

0

Mexico Liga MX 17/04/25

L

Unam Pumas

2

Santos Laguna

0

Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25

L

Queretaro

2

Santos Laguna

1

Player to watch: Paulinho

Toluca’s Paulinho took part in 30 league games this season. In 28 of those, he was a starter. This means that he was on the bench on only two occasions. Paulinho got booked only five times, but he already suffered through his suspension, which means he will play against Laguneros on the 7^th of April.

Second player to watch: Jesus Angulo

Jesus Ricardo Angulo bagged a match-saving brace against Pachuca on the 30^th of March. His swift first-half goals helped the team achieve a very important win in pursuit of 1^st place.