The match between Toluca and lackluster Queretaro is going to be played on the 27th of February. With the home-field advantage at Estadio Nemesio Diez behind them, it seems that Toluca have the three points up for grabs. Read more about it in the following Toluca vs Queretaro betting tips.
Make sure to check the rest of our Liga MX predictions on our website.
Contents
Toluca vs Queretaro prediction: All even at Estadio Nemesio Diez
Key Stats
- We saw under 2.5 goals in six of the last 11 Toluca vs Queretaro head-to-heads.
- Four of the last 10 matches between the two teams resulted in draws.
- Toluca shared the spoils in three of their seven Clausura games.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 1-1 Queretaro
We believe the match between the two teams on the 27th of February will result in a 1-1 tie, as 75.0% of the last four draws had 1-1 on the scoreboard. Our key Toluca vs Queretaro head-to-head will succeed, as the visitors have been performing surprisingly well this season.
Pre-game odds and win probability: No chance for Queretaro, bookies claim
- HOME: -415 – 79.4%
- DRAW: +530 – 14.6%
- AWAY: +950 – 6.0%
*These Toluca vs Queretaro odds are subject to change
Toluca have the three points up for grabs, as the expected winners this week have a mind-blowing 79.4% win probability before the start of the game. Naturally, this means that the visitors only ‘enjoy’ a 6.0% shot at the three points.
Under 2.5 goals has always been a popular choice amongst bettors. That’s why we have it down in our Toluca vs Queretaro prediction. The odds are priced at -140, giving it a 58.33% chance of success.
Last five H2Hs: Big Toluca advantage
Please, check out these interesting Toluca vs Queretaro statistics before you place a wager on the upcoming Liga MX game.
Mexico Liga MX 19/10/24
Queretaro
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 13/01/24
Queretaro
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 08/10/23
Toluca
Queretaro
Mexico Clausura 06/03/23
Queretaro
Toluca
Mexico Apertura 02/10/22
Toluca
Queretaro
Toluca team news and form: Antonio Mohamed to rely on the best
Argentine manager Mohamed will be able to utilize his best performers, which is why we believe Toluca will be able to get at least a point from the game at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Paulinho and his teammates will surely put pressure on Queretaro’s defense.
Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Garcia, Luan, Pereira, Gallardo, Vega, Romero, Ruiz, Angulo, Morales & Paulinho
Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25
W
Club America
0
Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25
D
Club America
0
Toluca
0
Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25
W
Tigres UANL
0
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25
D
Tigres UANL
1
Toluca
1
Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25
W
Monterrey
1
Toluca
2
Queretaro team news and form: Jaime Valencia out
Suspended Valencia is suspended and will not take part in the match against Toluca this week. He will be back on the 3rd of March to face top dogs Puebla. However, it will be interesting to see who will fill the Valencia-shaped hole.
Predicted lineup: Allison (GK), Canale, Ruso, Mendoza, Venegas, Escamilla, Soto, Barrera, Camacho, Quintero & Rodriguez
Mexico Liga MX 21/04/25
W
Juarez FC
0
Queretaro
2
Mexico Liga MX 17/04/25
L
Atlas
2
Queretaro
1
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
W
Santos Laguna
1
Queretaro
2
Mexico Liga MX 05/04/25
D
Leon
1
Queretaro
1
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
L
Necaxa
2
Queretaro
0
Player to watch: Paulinho
Paulinho of Toluca is Liga MX’s finest goalscorer this season, it seems. With 15 goals to his name already, the former Sporting Lisbon player is proving to be a successful transfer for Toluca. It’s only a matter of time before he wins the Top Goalscorer Award in Liga MX.

Second player to watch: Rubio Rubin
Rubio Rubin is the top finisher for the visitors. However, with only three goals scored since the start of the season, he isn’t impressing anyone. He’d have to step up his game if he wants to be considered one of the better strikers around.