Toluca vs Queretaro prediction, odds & betting tips – 02/27/2025
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw & BTTS - Yes

The four draws between the two teams in their last 10 meetings all resulted in BTTS.

The match between Toluca and lackluster Queretaro is going to be played on the 27th of February. With the home-field advantage at Estadio Nemesio Diez behind them, it seems that Toluca have the three points up for grabs. Read more about it in the following Toluca vs Queretaro betting tips.

Make sure to check the rest of our Liga MX predictions on our website.

Toluca vs Queretaro prediction: All even at Estadio Nemesio Diez

Key Stats

  • We saw under 2.5 goals in six of the last 11 Toluca vs Queretaro head-to-heads.
  • Four of the last 10 matches between the two teams resulted in draws.
  • Toluca shared the spoils in three of their seven Clausura games.

Correct score prediction: Toluca 1-1 Queretaro

We believe the match between the two teams on the 27th of February will result in a 1-1 tie, as 75.0% of the last four draws had 1-1 on the scoreboard. Our key Toluca vs Queretaro head-to-head will succeed, as the visitors have been performing surprisingly well this season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: No chance for Queretaro, bookies claim

  • HOME: -415 – 79.4%
  • DRAW: +530 – 14.6%
  • AWAY: +950 – 6.0%

*These Toluca vs Queretaro odds are subject to change

Toluca have the three points up for grabs, as the expected winners this week have a mind-blowing 79.4% win probability before the start of the game. Naturally, this means that the visitors only ‘enjoy’ a 6.0% shot at the three points.

Under 2.5 goals has always been a popular choice amongst bettors. That’s why we have it down in our Toluca vs Queretaro prediction. The odds are priced at -140, giving it a 58.33% chance of success.

Last five H2Hs: Big Toluca advantage

Please, check out these interesting Toluca vs Queretaro statistics before you place a wager on the upcoming Liga MX game.

Mexico Liga MX 19/10/24

Queretaro

Queretaro

0
Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 13/01/24

Queretaro

Queretaro

2
Toluca

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 08/10/23

Toluca

Toluca

3
Queretaro

Queretaro

1

Mexico Clausura 06/03/23

Queretaro

Queretaro

1
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Apertura 02/10/22

Toluca

Toluca

4
Queretaro

Queretaro

1

Toluca team news and form: Antonio Mohamed to rely on the best

Argentine manager Mohamed will be able to utilize his best performers, which is why we believe Toluca will be able to get at least a point from the game at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Paulinho and his teammates will surely put pressure on Queretaro’s defense.

Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Garcia, Luan, Pereira, Gallardo, Vega, Romero, Ruiz, Angulo, Morales & Paulinho

Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25

W

Club America

Club America

0

Toluca

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25

D

Club America

Club America

0

Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25

W

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

0

Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25

D

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

1

Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25

W

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Toluca

Toluca

2

Queretaro team news and form: Jaime Valencia out

Suspended Valencia is suspended and will not take part in the match against Toluca this week. He will be back on the 3rd of March to face top dogs Puebla. However, it will be interesting to see who will fill the Valencia-shaped hole.

Predicted lineup: Allison (GK), Canale, Ruso, Mendoza, Venegas, Escamilla, Soto, Barrera, Camacho, Quintero & Rodriguez

Mexico Liga MX 21/04/25

W

Juarez FC

Juarez FC

0

Queretaro

Queretaro

2

Mexico Liga MX 17/04/25

L

Atlas

Atlas

2

Queretaro

Queretaro

1

Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25

W

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

1

Queretaro

Queretaro

2

Mexico Liga MX 05/04/25

D

Leon

Leon

1

Queretaro

Queretaro

1

Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25

L

Necaxa

Necaxa

2

Queretaro

Queretaro

0

Player to watch: Paulinho

Paulinho of Toluca is Liga MX’s finest goalscorer this season, it seems. With 15 goals to his name already, the former Sporting Lisbon player is proving to be a successful transfer for Toluca. It’s only a matter of time before he wins the Top Goalscorer Award in Liga MX.

Toluca vs Queretaro Prediction 2
Photo by IMAGO

Second player to watch: Rubio Rubin

Rubio Rubin is the top finisher for the visitors. However, with only three goals scored since the start of the season, he isn’t impressing anyone. He’d have to step up his game if he wants to be considered one of the better strikers around.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.