Finished
3
-1
Unam Pumas - Toluca
Mexico Clausura - Estadio Olimpico Universitario
Prediction 1
Toluca to Win
+127
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Over 1.5 Toluca Goals
-120
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Odds from
*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs Toluca Predictions & Betting Lines
Sinking lower and lower, Pumas UNAM will hardly make an impact on Sunday against Toluca at Estadio Olimpico Universitario but who knows? There’s always the possibility that our Pumas UNAM vs Toluca betting tips will be disproved by a team with four back-to-back Clausura losses.
Contents
Toluca to Win
With such a poor defensive record this season, we simply can’t make a case for the home team in our Pumas UNAM vs Toluca prediction as much as we’d like to. Yes, Pumas have the head-to-head advantage but their 2022/23 season isn’t going great.
Coach Antonio Mohamed’s boys are in 15th place and are in danger of missing out on the final series playoffs if they don’t buckle down and win some points. However, luck isn’t on their side as the schedule pits them against a glamorous Toluca team that rarely losses these days.
Over 1.5 Toluca Goals
Our key Pumas UNAM vs Toluca prediction has a staggering 58.6% chance of becoming successful. At least that’s what BetMGM’s -120 odds entail. Another foundation stone for our prognosis is the fact that the previous game between the two prolific Mexican teams ended with a fascinating 2-2 draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez in front of 27,233 people who certainly got their money’s worth.
Furthermore, with a Dani Alves-shaped hole at the back, Pumas UNAM’s defensive line is simply laughable this season. The team conceded goals on 26 occasions. The only four squads to concede more frequently are Liga MX’s punching bag, Mazatlan, Santos Laguna, and Puebla.
Pumas UNAM vs Toluca Odds Section
Did our Pumas UNAM vs Toluca predictions convince you to make a bet? No? Well, head over to the Pumas UNAM vs Toluca head-to-head graphics to convince yourselves just how poorly Pumas have been doing these days. After you reassure yourself, you can always get more Liga MX predictions on our website.
Head to Head
14/12/22
America Friendlies America
Unam Pumas
Toluca
1
1
11/09/22
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Unam Pumas
2
2
11/01/22
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Unam Pumas
Toluca
5
0
21/11/21
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Unam Pumas
1
2
29/08/21
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Unam Pumas
2
1
Last Five - Unam Pumas
30/04/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Monterrey
Unam Pumas
4
1
L
23/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Club America
Unam Pumas
1
1
D
16/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Toluca
Unam Pumas
1
3
W
09/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Atletico San Luis
Unam Pumas
1
3
W
03/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Queretaro
Unam Pumas
1
0
L
Last Five - Toluca
14/05/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
3
W
12/05/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
30/04/23
Mexico Liga MX Mexico
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
W
23/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Juarez FC
Toluca
1
1
D
16/04/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Unam Pumas
Toluca
3
1
L
Pumas UNAM odds: +210 – 31.0%
Draw odds: +245 – 27.0%
Toluca odds: +127 – 42.0%
With the Dani Alves-shaped hole at the back, Pumas UNAM are rightfully the underdog in this race at +210 (31.0%). Toluca’s tremendous form took them all the way up to 2nd place in Clausura’s ranking and that’s the reason why at +127, Toluca are the expected winners with a 42.0% win probability.
Pumas UNAM vs Toluca Lineups & Team News
Pumas UNAM
After a quick review of the ranking, anyone can see that coach Antonio Mohamed’s boys aren’t exactly thriving these days. They are trailing by two points for 12th place and if they want to book a last-minute ticket for the final series, they’ll have to show us something else. The 3-1 victory over Atletico San Luis on the 9th of April was hardly convincing and it could’ve been a fluke as the previous four games all ended in losses.
Predicted lineup – Gonzalez (GK), Reyes, Freire, Sanchez, Bennevendo, Molina, Meritao, Huerta, Salvio, Ruvalcaba & Dinenno
Toluca
The only team that performs more convincingly than Toluca in the Clausura campaign is Monterrey. However, with 55% possession and only four shots on target against Puebla, coach Ignacio Ambriz’s side showed they are no pushovers and are capable of securing three points even in the direst of situations.
Predicted lineup – Volpi (GK), Garcia, Mosquera, Huerta, Angulo, Meneses, Baeza, Ruiz, Araujo, Lopez & Gonzalez
Starting Lineups
Unam Pumas
Toluca
*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off
Player to Watch: Maximiliano Araujo
We can’t stress enough just how important the Dani Alves-shaped hole at the back is for our Pumas UNAM vs Toluca prediction. The Brazilian legend was a right-back. And coach Antonio Mohamed certainly needs someone to contain Toluca’s top finisher. Maximiliano Araujo operates on the left wing. With his lung-bursting runs down the wing, he gave us some Liga MX box-office moments this year to score six goals and provide six assists in the Clausura part of the season alone.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Club America | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mazatlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Puebla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Questions About Our Pumas UNAM vs Toluca Predicitons:
- What’s Ricardo Ambriz’s record over Pumas UNAM? – Toluca’s manager has a 12-10-6 record against Pumas UNAM.
- Where can I watch Pumas UNAM vs Toluca? – You are free to enjoy this Liga MX clash live on Las Estrellas TUDN.
- Which bookmaker offers the best Pumas UNAM vs Toluca odds? – BetMGM has some great odds for you this week. Make sure you pay our favorite bookies a visit.
