Toluca and Pachuca are going to face each other on the 30th of March in a can’t-miss Liga MX brawl. You’d be wise to go through our professional Toluca vs Pachuca betting tips before you place a wager on this game. We have some exclusive knowledge to share with you.
Make sure to check out the rest of our professional Liga MX predictions this week.
Contents
Toluca vs Pachuca prediction: Paulinho show at Estadio Nemesio Diez
Key Stats
- Paulinho scored 21 goals this season.
- Toluca have the best attacking record in the league, with 30 goals scored in 12 domestic league outings.
- We saw over 4.5 total goals in Pachuca’s last official Liga MX game.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 3-2 Pachuca
One of the last three games between the two clubs had 3-2 in favor of Toluca on the scoreboard after 90 minutes of play. This is why we consider our primary Toluca vs Pachuca prediction a certain success.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Almada’s troops will suffer
- HOME: -128 – 54.4%
- DRAW: +300 – 23.6%
- AWAY: +325 – 22.0%
*These Toluca vs Pachuca odds are subject to change
We reviewed the bookmakers’ odds and found out that Toluca’s odds are valued at -128, which makes them the expected winners, with a 54.4% win probability behind them.
If you are wondering what the chances behind our key Toluca vs Pachuca prediction are, you should know that Paulinho to score anytime is priced at +150. This gives the striker a 40.00% chance of finding the net.
Last five H2Hs: Three-year barren spell for Pachuca
Mexico Liga MX 18/09/24
Pachuca
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 31/03/24
Pachuca
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 03/09/23
Toluca
Pachuca
Mexico Clausura 20/02/23
Pachuca
Toluca
Mexico Apertura 31/10/22
Pachuca
Toluca
The charts below contain valuable information regarding the key Toluca vs Pachuca statistics and match facts.
Toluca team news and form: Scary-good attack by Toluca
With 30 goals scored since the start of the 2024/25 Liga MX season, it’s fair to claim that Toluca are among the best teams in the league. Paulinho, Alexis Vega, and Jesus Gallardo scored the goals in the 0-3 victory at Estadio Cuauhtemoc against Puebla.
Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Gallardo, de Villar, Pereira, Briseno, Herrera, Vega, Dominguez, Ruiz, Lopez & Paulinho
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
W
Atlas
2
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 07/04/25
W
Santos Laguna
1
Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
W
Pachuca
2
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/03/25
W
Puebla
0
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 08/03/25
W
Necaxa
2
Toluca
5
Pachuca team news and form: Can Almada break the curse?
Yes, coach Almada has a good 6-3-3 record against this opponent, but Pachuca’s last win against Toluca came on the 31st of October, 2022. Seeing as the home side is performing at such a high level this season, we are confident in our professional Toluca vs Pachuca predictions.
Predicted lineup: Moreno (GK), Eduardo, Rodriguez, Aceves, Gonzalez, Homenchenko, Montiel, Gonzalez, Kennedy, Idrissi & Rondon
Mexico Liga MX 12/04/25
W
Necaxa
3
Pachuca
5
Mexico Liga MX 05/04/25
W
Club America
0
Pachuca
1
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
L
Toluca
3
Pachuca
2
Club Friendly List 23/03/25
D
El Salvador
1
Pachuca
1
Mexico Liga MX 17/03/25
W
Tijuana
1
Pachuca
4
Player to watch: Salomon Rondon
Veteran goalscorer Salomon Rondon has been one of the most important Pachuca players in recent seasons. He even managed to score in Pachuca’s last official game. He could’ve bagged a brace had he used his second-half chances more efficiently. We see him as a key threat to our professional Toluca vs Pachuca predictions.
Second player to watch: Jesus Angulo
Since the start of the 2024/25 Liga MX season, Angulo has managed to score on six occasions. However, the attacking midfielder also added three assists to his tally, which definitely makes him a quality player.
