The long-anticipated Toluca vs Guadalajara head-to-head is getting closer and closer. The match will be played on the 16th of February at Estadio Nemesio Diez, and we believe the home-field support will play a crucial role in the outcome of this rivalry. How crucial? Find out the answer in our Toluca vs Guadalajara betting tips.
Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.
Contents
Key Stats
- A massive 60.0% of the last 10 Toluca vs Guadalajara head-to-heads resulted in ties.
- Coach Antonio Mohamed has a balanced 8-4-7 record versus the Goats.
- Paulinho is the leading goalscorer for the home side, with 13 goals to his name so far.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 1-1 Guadalajara
As mentioned earlier in our Toluca vs Guadalajara predictions, six of the last 10 matches between the two clubs resulted in ties. Considering Toluca’s last Liga MX match also had no victor, we trust the two teams will divide the points evenly on the 16th of February.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Goats to miss out
- HOME: -142 – 56.3%
- DRAW: +305 – 23.7%
- AWAY: +340 – 20.0%
*These Toluca vs Guadalajara odds are subject to change
We have confidence in our key Toluca vs Guadalajara prediction. Paulinho to score first priced at +215 gives our key betting suggestion an impressive 31.75% chance of success.
As you can see from the odds in our article, the expected winners are clearly Toluca. The home side keeps a remarkable 56.3% shot at the three points and we highly doubt the Goats will be able to do anything about it.
Last five H2Hs: Goats finding difficulties
Stay tuned for the key Toluca vs Guadalajara statistics and match facts in the charts below.
Mexico Liga MX 07/07/24
Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 12/05/24
Toluca
Chivas Guadalajara
Mexico Liga MX 09/05/24
Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 31/01/24
Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 02/10/23
Toluca
Chivas Guadalajara
Toluca team news and form: Toluca did well
Bookies had Toluca down as the underdogs in the match against Club Leon on the 9th of February. However, Paulinho and his colleagues managed to avoid defeat at Estadio Leon, as they recorded a 3-3 draw.
Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Gallardo, Luan, Mendez, Barbosa, Ruiz, Romero, Helinho, Angulo, Paulinho & Vega
Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25
W
Club America
0
Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25
D
Club America
0
Toluca
0
Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25
W
Tigres UANL
0
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25
D
Tigres UANL
1
Toluca
1
Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25
W
Monterrey
1
Toluca
2
Guadalajara team news and form: Goats need a win
The visitors haven’t won a game in four Liga MX matches on the spin. In order to turn the season around, they’d have to do their very best and disprove our key Toluca vs Guadalajara prediction wrong.
Predicted lineup: Rangel (GK), Tapias, Castillo, Mejia, Mozo, Beltran, Romo, Gonzalez, Cowell, Wilke & Alvarado
America Friendlies 30/06/25
W
Mineros de Zacatecas
2
Chivas Guadalajara
3
Club Friendly List 28/06/25
D
Santos Laguna
2
Chivas Guadalajara
2
Mexico Liga MX 20/04/25
D
Atlas
1
Chivas Guadalajara
1
Mexico Liga MX 16/04/25
W
Puebla
0
Chivas Guadalajara
1
Mexico Liga MX 12/04/25
D
Mazatlan FC
1
Chivas Guadalajara
1
Player to watch: Jesus Angulo
Sure, Paulinho is by far the best Liga MX player right now, but we shouldn’t disregard Angulo’s contribution. Since the start of the 2024/25 Liga MX campaign, the attacking midfielder has managed to score six goals while supplying teammates with three valuable assists.
Second player to watch: Mateo Chavez
With his signature runs down the wing, Chavez helped the Goats score two goals. The defender is a key part of our Toluca vs Guadalajara prediction.