Guadalajara vs Toluca prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/07/2024

Guadalajara vs Toluca prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/07/2024
These teams are among the favorites to win the Apertura - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Toluca over 1.5 total goals

Toluca had the best attacking record during the 2023/24 Clausura

We believe the fans at Estadio Akron will surely get their money’s worth out of the game on the 7th of July between Chivas Guadalajara and Deportivo Toluca. Both teams did well during the 2023/24 season, but with a new campaign approaching, we are sure the managers are more than eager to show they have what it takes to win the entire thing. Check out these Guadalajara vs Toluca betting tips to find out more about it.

Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.

Guadalajara vs Toluca prediction: Goals galore at Estadio Akron

Key Stats

  • Half of the last 10 Guadalajara vs Toluca head-to-heads resulted in ties.
  • Toluca had the 2nd-best attacking record during last season’s Clausura.
  • We saw goals galore in three of the last five Guadalajara vs Toluca matches.

Correct score prediction: Guadalajara 2-2 Toluca

None of the draws we saw in the last 10 games resulted in 2-2, but we believe the chances of that are high this week, as the players won’t have to deal with much pressure at Estadio Akron. After all, it’s the first game of the season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Goats can emerge victorious at Estadio Akron

  • HOME: +135 – 41.1%
  • DRAW: +255 – 28.0%
  • AWAY: +205 – 30.9%

*These Guadalajara vs Toluca odds are subject to change

With a whopping 41.1% win probability ahead of the ref’s opening whistle, Chivas Guadalajara are the expected winners. The odds are priced at an alluring +135, which should convince you to go with the home team.

However, we expect to see over 1.5 Toluca goals this week, as the visitors had a phenomenal attack last season.

Last five H2Hs: Slight advantage for the Goats

Check out the interesting statistics located in the next couple of graphics.

Mexico Liga MX 12/05/24

Toluca

Toluca

0
Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Mexico Liga MX 09/05/24

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 31/01/24

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

3
Toluca

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 02/10/23

Toluca

Toluca

1
Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1

Mexico Clausura 22/01/23

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1
Toluca

Toluca

2

Guadalajara team news and form: Gago wants more

Fernando Gago had a nice debut season with Chivas Guadalajara, but we are sure that the 38-year-old manager wants to get bigger results. The match on the 7th of July is a good opportunity for him to prove he has the required arsenal to coach a top-class team.

Predicted lineup: Whalley (GK), Sepulveda, Orozco, Briseno, Mozo, Beltran, Gonzalez, Alvarado, Cowell, Marin & Brizuela

Mexico Liga MX 20/07/24

W

Mazatlan FC

Mazatlan FC

0

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

2

Mexico Liga MX 17/07/24

W

Queretaro

Queretaro

0

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

2

Mexico Liga MX 13/07/24

L

Tijuana

Tijuana

4

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

2

Mexico Liga MX 07/07/24

D

Toluca

Toluca

0

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Club Friendly List 23/06/24

L

Pachuca

Pachuca

3

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Toluca team news and form: Manager to use new signings

Seeing as Alexis Vega was on international duty with Mexico up until a few days ago, we believe it’s Paulinho’s turn to shine. Toluca’s new player has a can’t-miss opportunity on his hands, as Vega’s absence will give him plenty of minutes for his new club.

Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Isais, Huerta, Escobar, Orrantia, Camarena, Baeza, Paulinho, Angulo, Araujo & Morales

Mexico Liga MX 21/07/24

D

Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

1

Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 18/07/24

W

Mazatlan FC

Mazatlan FC

0

Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 14/07/24

W

Juarez FC

Juarez FC

2

Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 07/07/24

D

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 12/05/24

D

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Toluca

Toluca

0

Player to watch: Roberto Alvarado

Roberto Alvarado is the player to watch in our Guadalajara vs Toluca prediction, as he’s by far coach Fernando Gago’s most important player. Alvarado has a staggering €7.0m price tag on his head, which makes him the most expensive Guadalajara player.

Guadalajara vs Toluca player
All eyes on Alvarado this week – Photo by Icon Sport

Second player to watch: Paulinho

Speaking of expensive players, Toluca spent a massive €7.7m on Paulinho. The former Sporting Lisbon player will be strutting his stuff at Estadio Nemesio Diez in the foreseeable future, which is nothing but good news for the visitors.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.