Pumas UNAM vs Leon prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/07/2024

Pumas UNAM vs Leon Prediction
Both teams make compelling arguments for the three points - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Pumas UNAM to win

Club Leon's last victory over Pumas UNAM was back in 2021

Pumas UNAM and Leon are two old acquaintances who will battle it out on the 7th of July. The venue for this spectacular Liga MX head-to-head? Estadio Universitario, of course! You’d be wise to check out our expert Pumas UNAM vs Leon betting tips before you add the match to your betslip.

Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.

Pumas UNAM vs Leon prediction: Bad run for Club Leon to continue

Key Stats

  • It’s been four years since Club Leon last managed to get a win over Pumas UNAM.
  • Pumas UNAM recorded three consecutive victories at home against this opponent.
  • We saw BTTS in five of the previous six Pumas UNAM vs Leon head-to-heads.

Correct score prediction: Pumas UNAM 2-1 Leon

Two of the last six head-to-heads resulted in 2-1 victories for Pumas UNAM. We are sure that with the home-field advantage at Estadio Universitario behind them, coach Gustavo Lema’s boys will be able to get a thrifty one-goal win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Leon will have to work extra hard

  • HOME: -115 – 51.7%
  • DRAW: +260 – 25.3%
  • AWAY: +290 – 23.0%

*These Pumas UNAM vs Leon odds are subject to change

No surprises here – Pumas UNAM have the three points up for grabs, with a massive 51.7% win probability behind them. The expected winners will do their best to prove the bookies correct on this one, but we are sure Club Leon’s players will go down swinging, as the odds at +290 imply a 23.0% win probability ahead of the kick-off.

A draw is priced at +260, which means the two Liga MX clubs have a 25.33% chance of sharing the spoils at the start of the season.

Last five H2Hs: One-sided battle

We highly recommend you check out the following Pumas UNAM vs Leon statistics in order to find out how the last couple of games between the two teams ended.

Mexico Liga MX 15/04/24

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

1
Leon

Leon

0

Mexico Liga MX 01/11/23

Leon

Leon

1
Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

1

Mexico Clausura 22/01/23

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

4
Leon

Leon

1

Mexico Apertura 10/07/22

Leon

Leon

3
Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

3

Mexico Clausura 13/02/22

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

2
Leon

Leon

1

Pumas UNAM team news and form: Squad issues for Pumas

Coach Gustavo Lema won’t be able to count on a couple of his key players. The likes of Quispe, Huerta, Martinez, and Gonzalez are away on international duty, which might make things tricky for the manager.

Predicted lineup: Alcala (GK), Monroy, Magallan, Natan, Rivas, U. Rivas, Caicedo, Suarez, Lopez, Mori & Rodriguez

Mexico Liga MX 01/09/24

L

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

3

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

1

Mexico Liga MX 25/08/24

L

Atlas

Atlas

2

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

1

Leagues Cup 13/08/24

L

Seattle Sounders

Seattle Sounders

4

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

0

Leagues Cup 08/08/24

W

Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

0

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

2

Leagues Cup 04/08/24

W

Monterrey

Monterrey

1 (0)

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

1 (3)

Leon team news and form: Mena out

36-year-old veteran Mena is performing for Ecuador during the Copa America. He won’t partake in the interesting clash against Pumas UNAM, which does give the home team’s manager hope he will be able to begin the new Liga MX campaign with a nice win.

Predicted lineup: Blanco (GK), Moreno, Barreiro, Frias, Tesillo, Rodriguez, Alvarado, Ambriz, Romero, Guerra & Vinas

Mexico Liga MX 31/08/24

L

Tijuana

Tijuana

2

Leon

Leon

1

Mexico Liga MX 25/08/24

D

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

1

Leon

Leon

1

Leagues Cup 06/08/24

L

Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids

1 (4)

Leon

Leon

1 (3)

Leagues Cup 29/07/24

L

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

2

Leon

Leon

1

Mexico Liga MX 22/07/24

D

Necaxa

Necaxa

1

Leon

Leon

1

Player to watch: Rogelio Funes Mori

It goes without saying that Rogelio Funes Mori will be a starter for coach Gustavo Lema this week. The striker is one of the best finishers in Mexico in recent years, and he will do his best to help his team succeed on the 7th of July.

Pumasm UNAM vs Leon player
Mori's experience is essential for Pumas UNAM's chances – Photo by Icon Sport

Second player to watch: Gil Alcala

Seeing as starting shot-stopper Julio Gonzalez is currently playing for Mexico in the Copa America, we believe it’s Gil Alcala who’ll be under the sticks for the home team. We are sure that his presence will help our Pumas UNAM vs Leon predictions succeed.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.