Toluca vs Necaxa prediction, odds & betting tips – 03/09/2025
Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Toluca & BTTS - Yes

Toluca scored five goals in their last home game while Necaxa bagged four away from home.

Estadio Nemesio Diez will witness greatness, as two lovely Liga MX teams are going up against each other on the 9th of March. Both Toluca and Necaxa enter this clash having acquired a lot of points during the last couple of gameweeks. But where will the three points go this week? The answer to this question is located in the Toluca vs Necaxa betting tips below. Make the most of them.

Make sure to check out the rest of our professional Liga MX predictions this week.

Toluca vs Necaxa prediction: A goal fiesta at Estadio Nemesio Diez

Key Stats

  • 80.0% of the last five Toluca vs Necaxa head-to-heads resulted in over 2.5 goals.
  • Necaxa’s last win over Toluca was on the 31st of October, 2020.
  • The last five matches between the two clubs resulted in three Toluca wins and two draws.

Correct score prediction: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa

Two of the last five matches between the two clubs resulted in 3-1 victories for Toluca. We trust our key Toluca vs Necaxa prediction will succeed, as we haven’t seen the visitors win a direct game in a while.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wonderful clash ahead

  • HOME: -175 – 62.4%
  • DRAW: +350 – 23.6%
  • AWAY: +400 – 14.0%

*These Toluca vs Necaxa odds are subject to change

Toluca & BTTS – Yes is the top Toluca vs Necaxa prediction we have for our readers, as the bookies claim it has a 46.51% chance of success. Surely, the home side at Estadio Nemesio Diez is the expected winner, but the manager should still approach this clash with the utmost focus, as Necaxa are enjoying a solid Clausura run. Their odds are priced at +400, which still gives them a 14.0% chance of scooping the three points away from home.

Last five H2Hs: Necaxa can’t measure up

Mexico Liga MX 28/10/24

Necaxa

Necaxa

1
Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 10/02/24

Necaxa

Necaxa

3
Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 02/07/23

Toluca

Toluca

0
Necaxa

Necaxa

0

Mexico Liga MX 30/04/23

Toluca

Toluca

3
Necaxa

Necaxa

0

Europe Friendlies 27/12/22

Toluca

Toluca

1
Necaxa

Necaxa

0

Check out these interesting Toluca vs Necaxa statistics before you place a Liga MX wager on this game.

Toluca team news and form: No trouble for Toluca

Don’t let the result fool you – Toluca didn’t deserve to get thrashed 3-0 at Estadio Azteca last week. However, such was the case and now, coach Antonio Mohamed’s boys will have to pick themselves up from the dirt to win the game against Necaxa.

Predicted lineup: Lopez (GK), Gallardo, Pereira, Mendez, Garcia, Romero, Ruiz, Vega, Angulo, Dominguez & Paulinho

Mexico Liga MX 26/05/25

W

Club America

Club America

0

Toluca

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 23/05/25

D

Club America

Club America

0

Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 18/05/25

W

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

0

Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 15/05/25

D

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

1

Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 11/05/25

W

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Toluca

Toluca

2

Necaxa team news and form: Full squad for Larcamon

Luckily, the visitors’ manager will be able to rely on his best 11 men for the job at Estadio Nemesio Diez. However, his best 11 just won’t do, as Toluca will utilize the home-field advantage properly.

Predicted lineup: Unsain (GK), Pena, Lara, Alcantar, Rosero, Rodriguez, Palavecino, Sandoval, Paradela, Echavarria & Badaloni

Mexico Liga MX 12/05/25

D

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

2

Necaxa

Necaxa

2

Mexico Liga MX 09/05/25

D

Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL

0

Necaxa

Necaxa

0

Mexico Liga MX 19/04/25

W

Puebla

Puebla

0

Necaxa

Necaxa

1

Mexico Liga MX 16/04/25

D

Juarez FC

Juarez FC

2

Necaxa

Necaxa

2

Mexico Liga MX 12/04/25

L

Pachuca

Pachuca

5

Necaxa

Necaxa

3

Player to watch: Alexis Vega

With seven goal returns since the start of the campaign, Alexis Vega proves why he is wearing the captain’s armband. The winger scored three goals and supplied teammates with four assists to help the team climb the ladder all the way up to 4th position.

Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction 2
Photo by IMAGO

Second player to watch: Fernando Arce

Defensive midfielder Fernando Arce surprisingly recorded three goal returns this season – two goals and an assist.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.