Monterrey vs Toluca prediction, odds & betting tips – 09/01/2024

Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction 1
Is the home-field support at Etadio BBVA going to help Rayados? - Photo by IMAGO
🔥 Our Hot tip

Monterrey over 1.5 total goals

Two of Toluca's key defenders are injured and won't be able to partake in this game.

Injury-infested Toluca are going up against Rayados on the 1st of September at the legendary Estadio BBVA. Will coach Martin Demichelis find a way to exploit the visitors’ issues? Find out the answer in the exceptional Monterrey vs Toluca betting tips we have prepared for you.

Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.

Monterrey vs Toluca prediction: Renato Paiva to fail on his third attempt

Key Stats

  • The last 10 games between the two teams resulted in five victories for Monterrey, three draws, and only two Toluca triumphs.
  • BTTS was the case in three of the last five Monterrey vs Toluca head-to-heads.
  • Toluca had the 2nd-best attacking record in Liga MX last season.

Correct score prediction: Monterrey 2-1 Toluca

As we stated earlier in our Monterrey vs Toluca predictions, coach Renato Paiva has to make changes at the back, as neither Juan Escobar nor Federico Pereira will play at Estadio BBVA. A 2-1 Rayados win is to be expected, as this is the most common result we’ve seen in this rivalry recently.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Rayados should edge the three points

  • HOME: -105 – 51.1%
  • DRAW: +240 – 27.9%
  • AWAY: +260 – 21.0%

*These Monterrey vs Toluca odds are subject to change

With tempting odds valued at -105, Monterrey are considered by the experts as the expected winners, with a 51.1% win probability behind them at Estadio BBVA.

Over 1.5 Monterrey goals seems to be the best way to approach this Liga MX match, as our chief Monterrey vs Toluca prediction stands a massive 44.05% success chance at +125.

Last five H2Hs: Nothing separates the two

Our graphics will give you the most interesting Monterrey vs Toluca statistics one should be aware of before placing a Liga MX wager on this game.

Mexico Liga MX 19/02/24

Monterrey

Monterrey

0
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 31/08/23

Toluca

Toluca

1
Monterrey

Monterrey

0

Mexico Liga MX 22/08/23

Toluca

Toluca

0
Monterrey

Monterrey

0

Mexico Clausura 06/02/23

Monterrey

Monterrey

2
Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Apertura 18/08/22

Toluca

Toluca

1
Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Monterrey team news and form: Rayados must react accordingly

Monterrey’s fans were fuming after last week’s 2-2 tie at Estadio Caliente. Not beating the Pack is not something they are accustomed to and now, they expect a swift victory over Toluca. Seeing as the visitors have so many issues at the back, we trust our key Monterrey vs Toluca predictions will succeed.

Predicted lineup: Andrada (GK), Aguirre, Medina, Guzman, Arteaga, Oliver, Rodriguez, Cortizo, Canales, Vazquez & Berterame

Mexico Liga MX 29/09/24

D

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

1

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Mexico Liga MX 22/09/24

D

Mazatlan FC

Mazatlan FC

0

Monterrey

Monterrey

0

Mexico Liga MX 19/09/24

W

Juarez FC

Juarez FC

2

Monterrey

Monterrey

3

Mexico Liga MX 15/09/24

W

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

0

Monterrey

Monterrey

2

Mexico Liga MX 01/09/24

L

Toluca

Toluca

2

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Toluca team news and form: Toluca’s run to come to an abrupt end

Despite avoiding defeat on five occasions, we just don’t see Paiva’s boys as favorites for anything at Estadio BBVA this week. The manager himself won’t be able to count on Victor Camarena either, as he received a red card in the previous Liga MX outing.

Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Luan, Mendez, Gallardo, Garcia, Ruiz, Amaya, Dominguez, Angulo, Vega & Paulinho

Mexico Liga MX 28/09/24

W

Atlas

Atlas

1

Toluca

Toluca

4

Mexico Liga MX 23/09/24

L

Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

2

Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Liga MX 18/09/24

D

Pachuca

Pachuca

2

Toluca

Toluca

2

Mexico Liga MX 14/09/24

W

Tijuana

Tijuana

0

Toluca

Toluca

4

Mexico Liga MX 01/09/24

W

Monterrey

Monterrey

1

Toluca

Toluca

2

Player to watch: German Berterame

With three goals since the start of the season, Berterame is the leading Monterrey finisher in Liga MX. He only needs to score another to reach Henry Martin of Club America at the top of the goalscoring charts.

Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction 2
Berterame's goals will be needed at Estadio BBVA. – Photo by IMAGO

Second player to watch: Sergio Canales

Canales’ presence at Estadio BBVA will also benefit our Monterrey vs Toluca predictions greatly. After all, he has three goal returns since the start of the season – two goals and an assist, and he is surely eager to prove he has what it takes to be a consistent performer for his team.


Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.