The cherry on top of matchday #2 in Liga MX? Undoubtedly, that’s the Toluca vs Monterrey head-to-head on the 19th of January. The match will be played at Estadio Nemesio Diez, which gives us hope that the home side will be able to record some points. Stay tuned to get the full scoop on our essential Toluca vs Monterrey betting tips to find out what you can expect from this game.
Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.
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Toluca vs Monterrey prediction: Thriller at Estadio Nemesio Diez is expected
Key Stats
- Left-back Gallardo scored four goals for Toluca this season.
- Toluca won two of the last three head-to-heads.
- Monterrey haven’t won a game against this opponent since the 6th of February, 2023.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 2-1 Monterrey
Monterrey lost to Toluca 2-1 in their previous meeting. This is why we believe that our top Toluca vs Monterrey predictions could succeed. Moreover, the home side’s tremendous attacking form shouldn’t be disregarded either.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Toluca with a hard-earned triumph
- HOME: +110 – 48.7%
- DRAW: +260 – 24.0%
- AWAY: +235 – 27.3%
*These Toluca vs Monterrey odds are subject to change
Rayados’ odds are valued at +235, meaning the visitors are the underdogs at Estadio Nemesio Diez, with only a 27.3% shot at the three points. Naturally, this means Toluca are the expected winners, with a whopping 48.7% win probability before the kick-off.
Last five H2Hs: Toluca with a slight head start
If you are on the hunt for the top Toluca vs Monterrey statistics, you’ve come to the right place.
Mexico Liga MX 01/09/24

Monterrey

Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 19/02/24

Monterrey

Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 31/08/23

Toluca

Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX 22/08/23

Toluca

Monterrey
Mexico Clausura 06/02/23

Monterrey

Toluca
Toluca team news and form: Mohammed has the answers
Toluca’s men in charge brought the manager for a good reason. He has quite the know-how when it comes to beating some of the top teams in the league. Take a look at his track record against Rayados, for example. In 15 games, he achieved six wins, six draws, and only three losses.
Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Gallardo, Luan, Mendez, Barbosa, Angulo, Ruiz, Camarena, Vega, Paulinho & Morales
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
W

Atlas
2

Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 07/04/25
W

Santos Laguna
1

Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
W

Pachuca
2

Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/03/25
W

Puebla
0

Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 08/03/25
W

Necaxa
2

Toluca
5
Monterrey team news and form: Is Martin Demichelis the right man?
We doubt Monterrey’s fans are happy about their favorite team dropping points against the likes of Puebla. Sure, Rayados completely dominated the game, with a massive 69.0% possession at Estadio BBVA last week, but it’s the result that matters and that game ended in a disappointing 1-1 tie.
Predicted lineup: Andrada (GK), Aguirre, Medina, Guzman, Arteaga, Oliver, Rodriguez, Ochoa, Canales, de la Rosa & Echavarria
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
L

Tigres UANL
2

Monterrey
1
Mexico Liga MX 06/04/25
W

Chivas Guadalajara
1

Monterrey
3
Mexico Liga MX 30/03/25
L

Tijuana
2

Monterrey
1
Mexico Liga MX 17/03/25
W

Unam Pumas
1

Monterrey
3
CONCACAF Champions Cup 13/03/25
D

Vancouver Whitecaps
2

Monterrey
2
Player to watch: Sergio Canales
The Spanish attacking midfielder will be the key player in giving coach Antonio Mohammed a headache. Since the start of the 2024/25 Liga MX campaign, Canales has managed to score eight goals. None of his teammates come remotely close to these fantastic numbers and it will be interesting to see if he will be able to disprove our primary Toluca vs Monterrey predictions.

Second player to watch: Jordi Cortizo
The visitors also have in-form Jordi Cortizo on their side. He bagged two goals for his team and supplied a teammate with an assist, even though he is not a firm starter for Rayados. Surely, he is eager to prove his worth at Estadio Nemesio Diez.