Estadio Cuauhtemoc will host the upcoming Puebla vs Leon head-to-head on the 17th of July. We anticipate a tight clash between two point-hungry team who will give their all to get a victory this week. Don’t forget to check out our professional Puebla vs Leon betting tips for more content.
For more exclusive Liga MX predictions, check our designated page.
Contents
Puebla vs Leon prediction: Squad issues to ruin Leon’s chances
Key Stats
- The last four games at Estadio Cuauhtemoc between the two teams resulted in two victories for Puebla, one draw, and only one Leon success.
- Leon scored under 1.5 goals in five of the last nine games versus Puebla.
- Coach Jose Manuel de la Torre has a nice 3-1-2 record against Club Leon.
Correct score prediction: Puebla 2-1 Leon
One of the two Puebla wins we mentioned earlier had 2-1 on the scoreboard after the ref’s final whistle. Furthermore, the 2-1 Puebla win is the most common occurrence in this rivalry, responsible for 30.0% of the last 10 Puebla vs Leon head-to-heads.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Leon picked as favorites
- HOME: +180 – 31.2%
- DRAW: +240 – 29.0%
- AWAY: +140 – 39.8%
*These Puebla vs Leon odds are subject to change
Despite playing away from home, Club Leon are considered by the bookmakers as the favorites to win this match. The expected winners have a solid 39.8% win probability at +140 while Puebla’s odds at +180 imply a 31.2% success chance.
However, we believe we will surely see under 1.5 Leon goals this week, as the odds give our key Puebla vs Leon prediction a solid 47.62% success probability.
Last five H2Hs: H2H Stalemate
The most interesting Puebla vs Leon statistics are located in the charts below. Give them a read.
Mexico Liga MX 17/03/24
Leon
Puebla
Mexico Liga MX 04/11/23
Puebla
Leon
Mexico Clausura 15/02/23
Leon
Puebla
Mexico Apertura 16/07/22
Puebla
Leon
Mexico Clausura 16/04/22
Leon
Puebla
Puebla team news and form: Saved by the ref
Puebla’s opening match this season ended in their favor, but it was the ref who was the key man on the field, as he gave coach Jose Manuel de la Torre’s players a controversial last-second penalty. Cavallini had no issues finding the net.
Predicted lineup: Rodriguez (GK), Gustavo, Gularte, Pereira, Angulo, De Buen, Velasco, Castillo, Waller, Alvarez & Cavallini
Mexico Liga MX 31/08/24
D
Mazatlan FC
1
Puebla
1
Mexico Liga MX 25/08/24
W
Club America
0
Puebla
1
Mexico Liga MX 17/08/24
L
Monterrey
2
Puebla
1
Leagues Cup 01/08/24
L
Tigres UANL
2
Puebla
1
Leagues Cup 28/07/24
L
Inter Miami CF
2
Puebla
0
Leon team news and form: Embarrassment for Leon
Club Leon’s opening match in Liga MX this season did not go well, to say the least. That’s sugar-coating it, as coach Jorge Bava’s boys got obliterated 4-1 at Estadio Universitario by a superior Pumas UNAM side, which is another massive plus in favor of our Puebla vs Leon predictions.
Predicted lineup: Jimenez (GK), Reyes, Bellon, Barreiro, Cervantes, Ambriz, Frias, Guerra, Silva, Hernandez & Alvarado
Mexico Liga MX 31/08/24
L
Tijuana
2
Leon
1
Mexico Liga MX 25/08/24
D
Santos Laguna
1
Leon
1
Leagues Cup 06/08/24
L
Colorado Rapids
1 (4)
Leon
1 (3)
Leagues Cup 29/07/24
L
Portland Timbers
2
Leon
1
Mexico Liga MX 22/07/24
D
Necaxa
1
Leon
1
Player to watch: Oscar Jimenez
We consider Jimenez as a guaranteed starter for Club Leon this week. The 35-year-old shot-stopper is no spring chicken, but he remains one of the best at his position in Liga MX. If Jimenez plays, we fear our Puebla vs Leon predictions might be in jeopardy.
Second player to watch: Alfonso Blanco
Blanco is another one of Club Leon’s key goalkeepers. The battle for the starter’s position is ferocious and it will be interesting to see which one of these top-class goalkeepers will be the one to secure a place among the starting XI long term.
