The French national team is going up against the USMNT on the 24th of July at Marseille Stadium. Sure, the home-field advantage is a massive plus to have, but can the French do it without some of their major stars? Find out the answer to this question and many more in the following France vs USMNT betting tips below!
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France vs USMNT prediction: All even at Marseille Stadium
Key Stats
- Coach Thiery Henry’s record against the USMNT consists of zero wins, one draw, and zero matches lost.
- France did not have a good run in the Euro 2024.
- Six of France’s last seven games resulted in under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: France 1-1 USMNT
As we mentioned earlier in our France vs USA predictions, the Olympics’ hosts haven’t been very productive in terms of goalscoring these days. They came very close to a 1-1 draw in the Euro 2024 semi-final game against Spain as well.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Advantage for the hosts
- HOME: -250 – 70.1%
- DRAW: +380 – 18.9%
- AWAY: +600 – 11.0%
*These France vs USMNT odds are subject to change
As you can see from the odds above, we have France down as the expected winners, with a mind-blowing 70.1% win probability ahead of the kick-off. However, we believe the match at Marseille Stadium will be a difficult one for them, as we are sure we will see under 2.5 goals. The odds are valued at -140, giving our key France vs USMNT prediction a massive 58.33% success probability.
Last five H2Hs: More games needed
Check out the graphics below for more exclusive information about the upcoming game.
France team news and form: France need to step it up a notch
During the Euro 2024, we didn’t see France at their usual best. Yes, the team did reach the semi-finals, but the display was less than impressive. Perhaps with coach Henry in charge, France will be a tad more offensive.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Lukeba, Bade, Truffert, Sildillia, Ugochukwu, Kone, Doure, Olise, Mateta & Lacazette
UEFA Nations League 08/06/25
W
Germany
0
France
2
UEFA Nations League 05/06/25
L
Spain
5
France
4
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Croatia
0
France
2
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Croatia
2
France
0
UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24
W
Italy
1
France
3
USMNT team news and form: US side looking to cause mayhem
The USMNT may have lost the match against Uruguay a couple of weeks ago, but the players certainly showed they are no pushovers. With a solid enough 49.0% possession, USA proved they have what it takes to battle the best.
Predicted lineup: Schulte (GK), Zimmerman, Robinson, Wiley, Davis, Tessmann, Busio, Aaronson, Mihailovic, Yow & McGuire
CONCACAF Gold Cup 02/07/25
W
Guatemala
1
USA
2
CONCACAF Gold Cup 29/06/25
W
Costa Rica
2 (3)
USA
2 (4)
CONCACAF Gold Cup 22/06/25
W
Haiti
1
USA
2
CONCACAF Gold Cup 20/06/25
W
Saudi Arabia
0
USA
1
CONCACAF Gold Cup 15/06/25
W
Trinidad & Tobago
0
USA
5
Player to watch: Alexandre Lacazette
The former Premier League superstar will be the one wearing the captain’s armband for France during the Olympics. During the 2023/24 campaign with Lyon, Lacazette scored 19 goals in 29 league outings, so Walker Zimmerman of the USMNT better be careful with his marking.

Second player to watch: Duncan McGuire
McGuire is the US player who has what it takes to prove our France vs USMNT predictions correct. He is Orlando City’s top finisher in the 2024 campaign, and we are convinced he will do alright against the Olympics hosts.