The much-anticipated Toluca vs Atletico San Luis head-to-head will be played on the 25th of August at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Will the home-field support help coach Renato Paiva’s boys defeat in-form Atletico? Find out the answer to this question in our key Toluca vs Atletico San Luis betting tips below.
Top Liga MX predictions can be easily accessed by visiting FW’s website.
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Toluca vs Atletico San Luis prediction: Toluca mustn’t disrespect Atletico
Key Stats
- Toluca scored seven goals since the start of the season.
- We saw over 2.5 Toluca goals in two consecutive games against this opponent.
- Coach Paiva has a tremendous 2-0-0 record versus Atletico San Luis.
Correct score prediction: Toluca 3-1 Atletico San Luis.
As we said earlier in our Toluca vs Atletico San Luis prediction, Paiva sure knows how to get the better of Atletico San Luis. He won both head-to-heads. One of them even ended 3-1 in his favor.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Coach Paiva’s boys could easily win
- HOME: -180 – 63.3%
- DRAW: +340 – 21.7%
- AWAY: +430 – 15.0%
*These Toluca vs Atletico San Luis odds are subject to change
The expected winners at Estadio Nemesio Diez are the hosts Toluca, as they have a whopping 63.3% win probability at -180.
We think that even a tie at +340 is a bit far-fetched for the visitors, as Atletico San Luis have only a 21.7% shot at winning a point away from home this week.
Last five H2Hs: Toluca can’t lose
If you check the following graphic out, you’ll be able to see the key Toluca vs Atletico San Luis statistics before the kick-off.
Mexico Liga MX 20/04/24
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
Mexico Liga MX 29/10/23
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
Mexico Clausura 26/02/23
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
Mexico Apertura 21/08/22
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
Mexico Clausura 12/02/22
Atletico San Luis
Toluca
Toluca team news and form: Injury issues burden the manager
Coach Renato Paiva won’t be able to count on two of his key defenders for the game against this opponent. Federico Pereira and Juan Escobar are both injured, which is another plus in favor of one of our key Toluca vs Atletico San Luis predictions.
Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Luan, Garcia, Mendez, Orrantia, Amaya, Ruiz, Meneses, Angulo, Dominguez & Paulinho
Mexico Liga MX 13/04/25
W
Atlas
2
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 07/04/25
W
Santos Laguna
1
Toluca
2
Mexico Liga MX 29/03/25
W
Pachuca
2
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 15/03/25
W
Puebla
0
Toluca
3
Mexico Liga MX 08/03/25
W
Necaxa
2
Toluca
5
Atletico San Luis team news and form: Hard-to-crack Atletico San Luis looking forward
With only one loss in five domestic league games, Atletico San Luis are definitely showing they are no pushovers. However, the visitors rarely play well against Toluca, so we expect them to finally drop some more points.
Predicted lineup: Alba (GK), Piccini, Dominguez, Castro, Sanabria, Macias, Dourado, Vitinho, Reyna, Bonatini & Sales-Lamonge
Mexico Liga MX 11/04/25
L
Tijuana
2
Atletico San Luis
1
Mexico Liga MX 06/04/25
W
Mazatlan FC
1
Atletico San Luis
2
Mexico Liga MX 30/03/25
W
Santos Laguna
2
Atletico San Luis
3
Mexico Liga MX 16/03/25
L
Cruz Azul
3
Atletico San Luis
0
Mexico Liga MX 08/03/25
W
Juarez FC
0
Atletico San Luis
1
Player to watch: Brian Garcia
Yes, Paulinho is the name we keep hearing. And yes, he is performing quite admirably since he boosted Toluca. However, so has right-back Garcia. He scored one goal since the start of the Liga MX campaign and did well to protect the flank, which is why we are featuring him as the player to watch in our key Toluca vs Atletico San Luis prediction.
Second player to watch: Paulinho
As we said earlier, Paulinho is among the best players on Toluca’s team, with three goals since the start of the season. Toluca had to pay a massive €7.75m to Sporting Lisbon for their player’s services, but it seems that he is proving his worth with each passing game.
