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Atlas - Toluca
Mexico Clausura - Estadio Jalisco
1st Round
*These betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Top Atlas vs Toluca Prediction & Tips for Liga MX
The Atlas vs Toluca showdown was postponed a few weeks ago but it’s now time for us to finally see what the two teams are made of.
Contents
BTTS
Our first Atlas vs Toluca pick is for both teams to score at least one goal. It wouldn’t be unheard off if we see goals for both sides as five of the last 10 head-to-head matches ended this way. It’s still very early in the season and neither manager would want to lose points right now.
In the last two games alone the two teams scored 11 goals! How can we possibly make an Alas vs Toluca prediction for anything else than a glamorous event at Estadio Jalisco?
Draw
Neither side has a solid advantage in the head-to-head department so our Atlas vs Toluca pick here has to be a draw. Three of the last 10 matches between the two teams ended with draws, Toluca won four, and three were won by Atlas. Perhaps the narrow advantage for Toluca could be considered a reason to place a bet on the visitors but with home-field support, Atlas’ players will tip the scales right back in an even position as our Atlas vs Toluca prediction proves to be a massive success.
Key Atlas vs Toluca Odds & Head-to-Head Statistics
Don’t rush your bet-making decisions. Make sure you’ve given our match preview a quick read before you place a bet.
Head to Head
08/01/23
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
10/07/22
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
24/04/22
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
21/08/21
Mexico Apertura Mexico
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
27/02/21
Mexico Clausura Mexico
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
Atlas odds: +150 – 39.0%
Draw odds: +220 – 30.0%
Toluca odds: +195 – 31.0%
As you can clearly see from the BetMGM-provided odds above, neither side has a significant advantage with Atlas perhaps having a slightly better chance to earn three points at +150 which gives them a 39.0% chance of success. A draw is estimated to have a 30.0% likelihood at +220 and Toluca’s odds at +195 give coach Ignacio Ambriz’s boys a 31.0% probability to win on the 2nd of February.
Predicted Lineups, Team News, and Last Result
Atlas
After three Liga MX matches played, Atlas didn’t lose a single fixture and it will be surprising if we see the team drop points in a home game at Estadio Jalisco. Our Atlas vs Toluca prediction took into account the fact that with two draws and one victory, coach Benjamin Mora’s boys are eager to continue with the fine display. Two late second-half goals against Santos Laguna on the 27th of January highlighted the strength of character within the squad and we’re convinced that we’ll see more of the same on the 2nd of February.
Predicted lineup – Vargas (GK), Abella, Santamaria, Nervo, Reyes, Marquez, Rocha, Martinez, Herrera, Furch & Quinones
Toluca
Toluca are slightly below Atlas in the Clausura ranking. Currently trailing by one point at 10th place, coach Ignacio Ambriz’s boys could torpedo themselves to a much more desirable spot if they get a good result over Atlas on Thursday. All they have to do is replicate the tremendous display against Guadalajara on the 22nd of January in which they won with a thrifty 1-2 score.
Predicted lineup – Volpi (GK), Araujo, Huerta, Mosquera, Orrantia, Ruiz, Baeza, Fernandez, Meneses, Vergara & Gonalez
Starting Lineups
Atlas
Toluca
*Starting lineups are usually announced 1hr before the kick-off
Player to Watch: Julian Quinones
Some experts expressed their doubts about whether or not Julian Quinones will need time to adapt to his new surroundings at Estadio Jalisco but the 25-year-old proved to be a valuable asset in no time. With three goals since the start of the season, the Colombian player quickly showed that a €2.60m transfer fee is nothing compared to what he brings to the table and our Atlas vs Toluca prediction is mostly based on this tremendous player’s form.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | +/- | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pachuca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 |  Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Atletico San Luis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Unam Pumas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Chivas Guadalajara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Tijuana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Club America | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Queretaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Atlas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Leon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |  Mazatlan FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Necaxa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 |  Juarez FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Monterrey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Puebla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
FAQs About the Upcoming Atlas vs Toluca Showdown:
- Which Guadalajara player scored the goal against Toluca in the last fixture? – No one, Guadalajara’s goal versus Toluca was the very misfortunate Valber Huerta’s own goal.
- Whom do the bookies favor? – BetMGM predicts a draw between Atlas and Toluca.
- Which team has a higher market value? – Toluca’s market value is slightly higher at €50.05m.
