Toluca vs Atlas prediction, odds & betting tips – 04/07/2024

Toluca
07/04/24 - 19:00

Finished

4

-

1

Atlas

Toluca - Atlas

Mexico Liga MX - Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca vs Atlas Prediction
Photo by Icon Sport

Estadio Nemesio Diez will host the thrilling Toluca vs Atlas head-to-head on the 7th of April. Sunday’s Liga MX clash will surely be among the most interesting games this week, but it’s also one that our soccer experts thoroughly analyzed. Make sure to check out our free Toluca vs Atlas betting tips before you proceed with your bets.

The key Liga MX predictions can be found on our website.

Toluca vs Atlas prediction: Teams to share the spoils

Toluca vs Atlas predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Draw

⚽ Correct score prediction

0-0 Draw

⬇️ Under 2.5 goals

 

Under 1.5 Goals

Key Stats

  • Four of the last six Toluca vs Atlas head-to-heads resulted in 0-0 draws.
  • We didn’t see any goals in four of the last 10 games between the two teams.
  • Toluca have the 4th-best defensive line in the business, with only 15 goals conceded this season.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Toluca heavy favorites

  • HOME: -192 – 64.1%
  • DRAW: +345 – 21.9%
  • AWAY: +500 – 14.0%

*These Toluca vs Atlas odds are subject to change

The bookies have Toluca down as the expected winners, with a whopping 64.1% win probability ahead of the kick-off, but we believe the two teams are far more likely to share the spoils. A draw is priced at +345, giving our key Toluca vs Atlas prediction a sturdy 21.9% chance of success.

What we expect to see is under 1.5 goals at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The odds are valued at +110, giving our pick a sturdy 47.62% success probability.

Last five H2Hs: History will repeat itself

Mexico Liga MX 27/08/23

Atlas

Atlas

0
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Clausura 02/02/23

Atlas

Atlas

0
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Clausura 08/01/23

Atlas

Atlas

0
Toluca

Toluca

0

Mexico Apertura 10/07/22

Toluca

Toluca

3
Atlas

Atlas

2

Mexico Clausura 24/04/22

Toluca

Toluca

2
Atlas

Atlas

4

After checking out our betting tips, you might be interested to find out more about the latest Toluca vs Atlas head-to-head statistics.

Toluca team news and form: Hot streak will come to an end

Yes, Toluca recorded four victories and a draw in their last five Liga MX outings, but we can’t just ignore the head-to-head stats. We are sure that coach Paiva’s boys will do their best on Sunday, but their best just won’t do, as we expect to see a draw at Estadio Nemesio Diez.

Predicted lineup: Volpi (GK), Garcia, Pereira, Escobar, Orrantia, Belmonte, Ruiz, Meneses, Angulo, Dominguez & Vega

Mexico Liga MX 20/04/24

W

Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis

1

Toluca

Toluca

5

Mexico Liga MX 14/04/24

L

Club America

Club America

5

Toluca

Toluca

1

Mexico Liga MX 07/04/24

W

Atlas

Atlas

1

Toluca

Toluca

4

Mexico Liga MX 31/03/24

W

Pachuca

Pachuca

2

Toluca

Toluca

3

Mexico Liga MX 18/03/24

W

Unam Pumas

Unam Pumas

0

Toluca

Toluca

3

Atlas team news and form: Still a chance for Atlas

With four games left to be played, coach Benat San Jose’s boys can’t afford to make any more mistakes if they want to partake in the final series’ play-offs. The manager himself won’t be able to count on Mauro Manotas, and that is indeed a huge blow to his ambitions this season.

Predicted lineup: Vargas (GK), Murillo, Dominguez, Robles, Reyes, Rocha, de Alba, Solari, Zumaque, Fulgencio & Aguirre

Mexico Liga MX 22/04/24

D

Cruz Azul

Cruz Azul

2

Atlas

Atlas

2

Mexico Liga MX 15/04/24

W

Atletico San Luis

Atletico San Luis

1

Atlas

Atlas

2

Mexico Liga MX 07/04/24

L

Toluca

Toluca

4

Atlas

Atlas

1

Mexico Liga MX 31/03/24

L

Queretaro

Queretaro

3

Atlas

Atlas

2

America Friendlies 24/03/24

D

Chivas Guadalajara

Chivas Guadalajara

0

Atlas

Atlas

0

Player to watch: Alexis Vega

We fancy Alexis Vega’s chances of making something happen at Estadio Nemesio Diez. If the visitors manage to nullify his trademark goalscoring capabilities, then perhaps our Toluca vs Atlas predictions will have a fighting chance.

Toluca vs Atlas Player
Photo by Icon Sport

Alexis Vega is back with a shout

Alexis scored in two consecutive games for Toluca and we fear his hot-streak might continue against Atlas as well. Let’s hope the visitors will pay as much attention to Vega’s doings as we will on the 7th of April.


Avatar of Zack TC
Zack TC

Zack is a longtime football fan, writer, and bettor. He also has experience playing and coaching the game of football at a local level. His interest in the MLS, Liga MX and the Canadian Premier League adds a new dimension to the content we have at FootballWhispers.